ScoreProb
Serie C - Girone B Italy Girone B - 13 2026

Torres vs Latina

Torres Home · Elo 1,495
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Latina Away · Elo 1,491
Vanni Sanna, Sassari Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Torres win
Torres winPick
39.6%
Draw
30.0%
Latina win
30.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.3%
No50.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%

How much we know

Torres history59 matches
Latina history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.6%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Torres are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,495 against 1,491. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.02 goals a game over 59 matches for Torres, against 0.92 over 63 for Latina.

  • Defences are close

    Torres concede 1.39 a game, Latina 1.27.

  • Torres games more often go over 2.5 goals

    44% of Torres matches, against 33% for Latina. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Torres
Latina
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1494.6
ELO
1491.0
59
ELO · Matches
63
1494.6
Current Team ELO
1491.0
1491.0
Current Opponent ELO
1494.6
3.66
Current ELO Difference
-3.66
0.51
Expected score
0.49
59
History Matches
63
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.00
49.43
Overperformance
49.72
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.40
Goals for per game
1.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.20
1.30
Goals for per game
1.30
1.40
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
63
1.19
PPG
1.17
27.1%
Win rate
28.6%
37.3%
Draw rate
31.7%
35.6%
Loss rate
39.7%
74.6%
Over 1.5 rate
63.5%
44.1%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
22.0%
Over 3.5 rate
17.5%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
31
1.50
PPG
0.87
35.7%
Win rate
16.1%
42.9%
Draw rate
38.7%
21.4%
Loss rate
45.2%
67.9%
Over 1.5 rate
74.2%
35.7%
Over 2.5 rate
41.9%
14.3%
Over 3.5 rate
29.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
28
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.02
Goals for per game
0.92
66.1%
Scoring rate
65.1%
55.9%
BTTS rate
47.6%
1.07
Goals for per game
0.97
60.7%
Scoring rate
67.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
61.3%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
59
History Matches
63
1.02
Goals Mean
0.92
0.93
Goals Std
0.91
66.1%
Scored 1+ rate
65.1%
28.8%
Scored 2+ rate
20.6%
5.1%
Scored 3+ rate
3.2%
1.07
Venue Goals Mean
0.97
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.39
Goals against per game
1.27
74.6%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.65
71.4%
Conceding rate
83.9%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
59
History Matches
63
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.27
1.33
Conceded Std
1.27
37.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.2%
15.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.3%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
39.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
39.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.3%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
63
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.61
Goal Difference Std
1.54
0.84
Stability score
0.88
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
59
Eligible Matches
63
16
Lead Matches
10
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.87
19
Trailing Matches
18
26.3%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.51
First Half Goals For Mean
0.30
0.64
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.51
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.71
Rest days
76.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
34
Normal Rest History Matches
47
0.88
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
22
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.41
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
9
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.29
Portability PPG Std
0.39
0.57
Portability PPG Range
0.88
63.64
Portability Score
56.18
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO3.66
PPG0.01
GF0.10
GA0.12
PPG-1.00
PPG0.63
PPG-0.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate12.4%
Failed-to-score rate7.0%
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.10
Goals Std0.02
Scored 1+ rate1.0%
Scored 2+ rate8.2%
Scored 3+ rate1.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.45
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.12
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate7.1%
Conceded 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches-4
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.07
Stability score-0.04
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.03
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.10
Portability PPG Range-0.30
Portability Score7.46
Rest days-1.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match2.50
Normal Rest History Matches-13
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.31
Long Rest History Matches9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.10
Current Team ELO3.66
Current Opponent ELO-3.66
Current ELO Difference7.31
Expected score0.01
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Torres

D
Pescara0–0Torres31 Oct · away
Pick: Pescara 55% · missed
W
Torres2–0Guidonia Montecelio 193725 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 38% · missed
L
Reggiana2–0Torres17 Oct · away
Pick: Reggiana 47% · hit
D
Campobasso FC1–1Torres4 Oct · away
Pick: Campobasso FC 53% · missed
W
Torres1–0Sambenedettese29 Aug · home
Pick: Torres 38% · hit

Latina

D
Latina1–1Pianese1 Nov · home
Pick: Latina 44% · missed
L
Campobasso FC2–0Latina28 Oct · away
Pick: Campobasso FC 53% · hit
D
Spezia1–1Latina24 Oct · away
Pick: Spezia 40% · missed
W
Latina1–0Vis Pesaro18 Oct · home
Pick: Latina 45% · hit
W
Latina2–0Atalanta II14 Oct · home
Pick: Latina 43% · hit

About this match

Torres and Latina meet in Serie C - Girone B on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. The match is played at Vanni Sanna, Sassari. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Torres win 39.6%, draw 30.0%, Latina win 30.4%. The pick is Torres win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.6%. Both teams to score: 49.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.