Deeper evidence behind every probability
ScoreProb Premium is being built as an analytical layer over the same certified pre-kickoff probabilities already published publicly. It adds historical support, calibration context, reliability grading and deeper fixture evidence without changing the underlying model output.
What Premium adds
Evidence-rated probabilities
Every analytical case receives a separate evidence score based on probability strength, separation, historical calibration and sample depth.
Calibration context
See how probabilities in the same historical band actually behaved, including sample size and predicted-versus-observed gap.
Advanced fixture analysis
Combine the public 362-feature view with evidence grading, historical segment context, strongest interpretable signals and saved analysis workflows.
Research segmentation
Study ScoreProb performance by outcome family, probability band, margin, uncertainty and competition with minimum-sample rules.
How Premium Evidence Score works
The Evidence Score is a product-level research metric. It does not change ScoreProb probabilities and is not part of the proprietary prediction formula.
Today’s research status
Evidence-rated probabilities
The current fixture-level shortlist stays private until customer identity and entitlement are connected. Public pages continue to show the underlying probabilities and model evidence.
Most reliable supported probability bands
| Event | Band | Sample | Predicted | Observed | Gap | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 10–20% | 550 | 16.02% | 15.82% | 0.20% | A |
| Away | 50–60% | 199 | 53.99% | 54.27% | 0.28% | B |
| BTTS Yes | 60–70% | 689 | 63.39% | 63.72% | 0.32% | A |
| BTTS No | 30–40% | 689 | 36.61% | 36.28% | 0.32% | A |
| Draw | 10–20% | 869 | 17.21% | 17.61% | 0.39% | A |
| Home | 40–50% | 907 | 45.05% | 44.54% | 0.51% | A |
| Away | 0–10% | 65 | 7.01% | 7.69% | 0.68% | C |
| BTTS No | 50–60% | 1,013 | 53.31% | 54.10% | 0.78% | A |
Premium access status
Customer identity, entitlement and payment must be connected before ScoreProb can honestly sell Premium access. The analytical engine is live; the commercial gate is intentionally still closed.