Football probability markets
Explore ScoreProb’s five published probability markets with certified historical calibration and the strongest current probabilities.
Home win
44.8%
Mean predicted
46.2%
Observed rate
0.227
Brier score
1.4%
Calibration error
90.1%
· FK Rabotnicki – Shkupi 1927
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Draw
23.5%
Mean predicted
20.4%
Observed rate
0.162
Brier score
3.2%
Calibration error
47.2%
· Teungueth – Ouakam
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Away win
31.7%
Mean predicted
33.4%
Observed rate
0.205
Brier score
2.0%
Calibration error
89.2%
· Viktoria Plzeň W – Slavia Praha W
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Over 2.5 goals
56.5%
Mean predicted
59.2%
Observed rate
0.229
Brier score
2.9%
Calibration error
92.3%
· Råde – Brumunddal
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Both teams to score
53.6%
Mean predicted
54.9%
Observed rate
0.243
Brier score
1.6%
Calibration error
74.0%
· Stuttgart U19 – 1860 München U19
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