Draw
Draw. Explore ScoreProb’s five published probability markets with certified historical calibration and the strongest current probabilities.
4365certified settled fixtures
23.5%Mean predicted
20.4%Observed rate
0.162Brier score
3.2%Calibration error
Strongest current probabilities
2026-10-17 17:00 UTC
Teungueth – Ouakam
Ligue 1
47.2%
2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Mufulira Wanderers – Nkwazi
Super League
45.8%
2026-10-18 13:00 UTC
Green Buffaloes – Nkwazi
Super League
44.2%
2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
NAPSA Stars – Nkana
Super League
44.1%
2026-10-17 17:00 UTC
HLM – Casa Sport
Ligue 1
43.1%
2026-10-17 15:00 UTC
Al-Jolan SC – Duhok
Iraqi League
43.0%
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Mutondo Stars – Green Buffaloes
Super League
42.0%
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
APS Bomet – Bandari
FKF Premier League
41.1%
2026-10-19 17:00 UTC
Enppi – El Mokawloon
Premier League
41.0%
2026-10-17 15:00 UTC
Kamjani – Kozuv Gevgelija
Second League
40.8%
2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Green Eagles – Red Arrows
Super League
40.7%
2026-10-18 13:00 UTC
Calcio Avola – Sambiase
Serie D - Girone I
40.7%
2026-10-15 15:00 UTC
Al Arabi – Shabab Al Ordon
League
40.6%
2026-10-17 13:00 UTC
Kansanshi Dynamos – Konkola Blades
Super League
40.6%
2026-10-17 17:00 UTC
Jaraaf – AJEL
Ligue 1
40.5%
2026-10-17 20:00 UTC
San Martin Tucuman – Midland
Primera Nacional
40.5%
2026-10-17 12:00 UTC
Kedus Giorgis – Ethiopia Bunna
Premier League
40.2%
2026-10-17 12:00 UTC
Gamo Chencha – Sidama Bunna
Premier League
40.2%
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Makeni All Stars – Zanaco
Super League
40.1%
2026-10-18 15:00 UTC
Inter Lagos – Nasarawa United
NPFL
40.0%
2026-10-14 12:00 UTC
AFC Leopards – Bandari
FKF Premier League
39.7%
2026-10-18 15:30 UTC
Basake Holy Stars – Bechem United
Premier League
39.6%
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Chirundu Utd – Kabwe Warriors
Super League
39.6%
2026-10-19 15:00 UTC
Shahin Bandar Ameri – Mes Soongoun
Azadegan League
39.1%
2026-10-17 13:00 UTC
Platinum – CAPS United
Premier Soccer League
39.0%
2026-10-17 15:00 UTC
Sefwi All Stars – Nations
Division One League
39.0%
2026-10-17 15:00 UTC
Espoir Savalou – Buffles
Championnat National
38.9%
2026-10-17 13:00 UTC
Etoile de l'Est – Mukura
National Soccer League
38.9%
2026-10-18 15:00 UTC
Egabrense – Xerez Deportivo
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
38.9%
2026-10-17 13:00 UTC
Red Arrows – Kabwe Warriors
Super League
38.7%
Probability calibration
Probability band
Sample
Predicted
Observed
0–10%
38
7.6%
10.5%
10–20%
996
17.1%
16.6%
20–30%
2914
24.6%
20.5%
30–40%
406
32.5%
29.3%
40–50%
11
42.0%
27.3%
Method
Historical metrics use the latest certified pre-kickoff ScoreProb prediction per settled fixture. Current candidates use only published predictions whose effective kickoff still matches the certified prediction record.