1º de Maio vs Ferroviario do Cabo
1º de Maio
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ferroviario do Cabo
Match result probability Model pick: 1º de Maio win
1º de Maio winPick
50.0%
Draw
26.0%
Ferroviario do Cabo win
24.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
No46.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
How much we know
1º de Maio history0 matches
Ferroviario do Cabo history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours 1º de Maio
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 17:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 18:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (50.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why 1º de Maio are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,500 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
1º de Maio
Ferroviario do Cabo
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Residual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
1500.0
ELO
1500.0
0
ELO · Matches
0
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
0.00
Current ELO Difference
0.00
0.50
Expected score
0.50
0
History Matches
0
Recent form16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGoals for per gameGoals against per gameWin ratePPGGoals for per gameGoals against per gameWin rateRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
0
Matches
0
0
Matches
0
Overall performance9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
0
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
0
0
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals Mean
0
History Matches
0
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rateGoals against per gameConceding rateGoals against per gameConceding rateConceded MeanConceded StdConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded Mean
0
History Matches
0
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rate
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Result entropyGoal Difference StdStability score
0
History Matches
0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
0
Eligible Matches
0
0
Lead Matches
0
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals 50
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
First Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against Mean
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Rest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
0
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches0
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO0.00
Current Opponent ELO0.00
Current ELO Difference0.00
Expected score0.00
History Matches0
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
1º de Maio
L
1º de Maio0–4Afogados1 Nov · home
Pick: 1º de Maio 38% · missed L
Petrolina3–11º de Maio28 Oct · away
Pick: Petrolina 51% · hit L
Facilnet2–11º de Maio23 Oct · away
Pick: Facilnet 50% · hit D
1º de Maio0–0Salgueiro21 Oct · home
Pick: 1º de Maio 50% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Ferroviario do Cabo
D
Ferroviario do Cabo1–1Salgueiro28 Oct · home
Pick: Ferroviario do Cabo 50% · missed L
Afogados2–0Ferroviario do Cabo24 Oct · away
Pick: Afogados 52% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
1º de Maio and Ferroviario do Cabo meet in Pernambucano - 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: 1º de Maio win 50.0%, draw 26.0%, Ferroviario do Cabo win 24.1%. The pick is 1º de Maio win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.9%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.