ScoreProb
Division 1 United Arab Emirates Round 9 2026

Al Bataeh vs Al Fujairah SC

Al Bataeh Home · Elo 1,449
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Fujairah SC Away · Elo 1,490
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Fujairah SC win
Al Bataeh win
26.7%
Draw
25.4%
Al Fujairah SC winPick
47.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.6%
No50.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%

How much we know

Al Bataeh history43 matches
Al Fujairah SC history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:45 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Al Fujairah SC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Fujairah SC are rated 40 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,490 against 1,449. On rating alone Al Fujairah SC would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Al Fujairah SC score far more

    0.95 goals a game over 43 matches for Al Bataeh, against 1.64 over 45 for Al Fujairah SC.

  • Al Bataeh concede fewer

    Al Bataeh concede 1.35 a game, Al Fujairah SC 1.58.

  • Al Fujairah SC games more often go over 2.5 goals

    40% of Al Bataeh matches, against 62% for Al Fujairah SC. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Bataeh
Al Fujairah SC@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1449.4
ELO
1489.7
43
ELO · Matches
45
1449.4
Current Team ELO
1489.7
1489.7
Current Opponent ELO
1449.4
-40.22
Current ELO Difference
40.22
0.44
Expected score
0.56
43
History Matches
45
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.01
46.55
Overperformance
48.99
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.40
0.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.10
0.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.91
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
0.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.21
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
45
0.98
PPG
1.38
20.9%
Win rate
35.6%
34.9%
Draw rate
31.1%
44.2%
Loss rate
33.3%
65.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
39.5%
Over 2.5 rate
62.2%
30.2%
Over 3.5 rate
42.2%
1.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.55
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
23
0.87
PPG
1.00
17.4%
Win rate
21.7%
34.8%
Draw rate
34.8%
47.8%
Loss rate
43.5%
60.9%
Over 1.5 rate
91.3%
43.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.6%
39.1%
Over 3.5 rate
39.1%
1.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
23
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.95
Goals for per game
1.64
69.8%
Scoring rate
75.6%
55.8%
BTTS rate
64.4%
0.87
Goals for per game
1.39
65.2%
Scoring rate
78.3%
52.2%
BTTS rate
73.9%
1.00
Goals for per game
6.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
43
History Matches
45
0.95
Goals Mean
1.64
0.81
Goals Std
1.40
69.8%
Scored 1+ rate
75.6%
20.9%
Scored 2+ rate
53.3%
4.7%
Scored 3+ rate
17.8%
0.87
Venue Goals Mean
1.39
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.35
Goals against per game
1.58
76.7%
Conceding rate
82.2%
1.52
Goals against per game
1.74
73.9%
Conceding rate
91.3%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
43
History Matches
45
1.35
Conceded Mean
1.58
1.08
Conceded Std
1.04
37.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.3%
18.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
1.74
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
24.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
8.7%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
24.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
8.7%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
45
0.96
Result entropy
1.00
1.24
Goal Difference Std
1.55
3.91
Stability score
0.13
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
45
9
Lead Matches
10
44.4%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.59
Lead Points Retention
0.83
17
Trailing Matches
20
23.5%
Non-loss rate
45.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.70
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
0.53
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.90
Rest days
77.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
13
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.77
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
29
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.16
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
6.00
5
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.21
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.42
Portability PPG Range
0.18
70.27
Portability Score
84.85
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-40.22
PPG-0.40
GF-0.69
GA-0.23
PPG0.00
PPG-0.13
PPG-0.40
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate5.5%
Failed-to-score rate5.8%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate17.4%
Failed-to-score rate13.0%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.69
Goals Std-0.60
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.32
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean-0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.31
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.23
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate5.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean-0.22
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.34
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.31
Stability score3.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.34
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.36
Lead Points Retention-0.24
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.21
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.24
Portability Score-14.58
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.81
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.06
Current Team ELO-40.22
Current Opponent ELO40.22
Current ELO Difference-80.44
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Bataeh

L
Palm City1–0Al Bataeh1 Nov · away
Pick: Al Bataeh 55% · missed
L
Al Bataeh2–3Forte Virtus18 Oct · home
Pick: Al Bataeh 52% · missed
D
Al Jazira Al Hamra0–0Al Bataeh29 Aug · away
Pick: Al Bataeh 55% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Fujairah SC

L
Al Fujairah SC0–1Al Wahda FC23 Oct · home
Pick: Al Wahda FC 45% · hit
L
Al Fujairah SC2–4Palm City16 Oct · home
Pick: Al Fujairah SC 81% · missed
L
Al Arabi4–1Al Fujairah SC29 Aug · away
Pick: Al Fujairah SC 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Bataeh and Al Fujairah SC meet in Division 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:45 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Al Bataeh win 26.7%, draw 25.4%, Al Fujairah SC win 47.9%. The pick is Al Fujairah SC win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.6%. Both teams to score: 49.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.