ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland Group 1 - 13 2026

Azzurri vs Prishtina Bern

Azzurri Home · Elo 1,491
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Prishtina Bern Away · Elo 1,557
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Prishtina Bern win
Azzurri win
27.1%
Draw
22.5%
Prishtina Bern winPick
50.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.2%
No38.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.4%
Under 2.530.6%

How much we know

Azzurri history5 matches
Prishtina Bern history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Prishtina Bern are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Prishtina Bern are rated 66 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,557 against 1,491. On rating alone Prishtina Bern would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.80 goals a game over 5 matches for Azzurri, against 1.84 over 57 for Prishtina Bern.

  • Prishtina Bern concede fewer

    Azzurri concede 3.00 a game, Prishtina Bern 1.53.

  • Azzurri games more often go over 2.5 goals

    80% of Azzurri matches, against 58% for Prishtina Bern. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Azzurri
Prishtina Bern
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1490.9
ELO
1556.9
5
ELO · Matches
57
1490.9
Current Team ELO
1556.9
1556.9
Current Opponent ELO
1490.9
-65.94
Current ELO Difference
65.94
0.41
Expected score
0.59
5
History Matches
57
-0.11
Residual Mean
0.04
47.75
Overperformance
53.01
-0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
3.00
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
5
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.80
Goals for per game
2.20
3.00
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.47
3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
2.53
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
3.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
5
Matches
57
1.20
PPG
1.72
40.0%
Win rate
50.9%
0.0%
Draw rate
19.3%
60.0%
Loss rate
29.8%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.7%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.9%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
3.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.83
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
31
1.50
PPG
1.52
50.0%
Win rate
45.2%
0.0%
Draw rate
16.1%
50.0%
Loss rate
38.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.1%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.3%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
32.3%
5.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
2
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.80
Goals for per game
1.84
60.0%
Scoring rate
87.7%
60.0%
BTTS rate
64.9%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.68
50.0%
Scoring rate
90.3%
50.0%
BTTS rate
64.5%
1.67
Goals for per game
2.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
5
History Matches
57
1.80
Goals Mean
1.84
1.83
Goals Std
1.36
60.0%
Scored 1+ rate
87.7%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.9%
40.0%
Scored 3+ rate
24.6%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.68
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
3.00
Goals against per game
1.53
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.4%
5.00
Goals against per game
1.68
100.0%
Conceding rate
74.2%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
5
History Matches
57
3.00
Conceded Mean
1.53
2.53
Conceded Std
1.29
80.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.4%
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.5%
5.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
9.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
9.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
5
History Matches
57
0.61
Result entropy
0.93
3.87
Goal Difference Std
1.83
38.74
Stability score
6.96
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
4
Eligible Matches
49
1
Lead Matches
20
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.83
1
Trailing Matches
15
0.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.92
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.86
2.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.10
Rest days
77.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
1
Normal Rest History Matches
26
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
3
Long Rest History Matches
27
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.93
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
2.33
33.3%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.67
3
Competition Season Count
8
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.32
—
Portability PPG Range
0.83
—
Portability Score
60.97
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
5
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-65.94
PPG-0.52
GF-0.04
GA1.47
PPG-1.33
PPG-0.02
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-52
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate27.7%
History Matches-29
Clean-sheet rate-0.26
Failed-to-score rate40.3%
History Matches-52
Goals Mean-0.04
Goals Std0.47
Scored 1+ rate-0.28
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate15.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.36
History Matches-52
Conceded Mean1.47
Conceded Std1.24
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Conceded 2+ rate32.6%
Conceded 3+ rate2.5%
Venue Conceded Mean3.32
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.83
History Matches-52
Result entropy-0.32
Goal Difference Std2.04
Stability score31.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.45
Eligible Matches-45
Lead Matches-19
Lead Win Rate25.0%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches-14
Non-loss rate-0.20
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-45
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean0.27
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.47
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days-0.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-25
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Long Rest History Matches-24
Long Rest Points Per Match0.07
Current Team ELO-65.94
Current Opponent ELO65.94
Current ELO Difference-131.9
Expected score-0.19
History Matches-52
Residual Mean-0.15
Overperformance-5.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Azzurri

W
Lausanne Sport II0–1Azzurri31 Oct · away
Pick: Lausanne Sport II 61% · missed
W
Meyrin0–1Azzurri24 Oct · away
Pick: Meyrin 77% · missed
W
Azzurri1–0Chênois30 Aug · home
Pick: Chênois 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Prishtina Bern

W
Prishtina Bern5–1Meyrin31 Oct · home
Pick: Prishtina Bern 40% · hit
W
Echallens0–4Prishtina Bern24 Oct · away
Pick: Prishtina Bern 49% · hit
W
Prishtina Bern6–0Servette II29 Aug · home
Pick: Prishtina Bern 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Azzurri and Prishtina Bern meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Azzurri win 27.1%, draw 22.5%, Prishtina Bern win 50.4%. The pick is Prishtina Bern win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.4%. Both teams to score: 61.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.