ScoreProb
2. SNL Slovenia Round 14 2026

Beltinci vs Dravinja

Beltinci Home · Elo 1,562
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dravinja Away · Elo 1,455
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Beltinci win
Beltinci winPick
65.3%
Draw
18.9%
Dravinja win
15.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.2%
No44.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.7%
Under 2.534.3%

How much we know

Beltinci history62 matches
Dravinja history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Beltinci are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Beltinci are rated 107 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,562 against 1,455. On rating alone Beltinci would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Beltinci score far more

    1.98 goals a game over 62 matches for Beltinci, against 1.08 over 49 for Dravinja.

  • Beltinci concede fewer

    Beltinci concede 1.27 a game, Dravinja 1.47.

  • Beltinci games more often go over 2.5 goals

    61% of Beltinci matches, against 51% for Dravinja. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Beltinci
Dravinja
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1562.3
ELO
1455.3
62
ELO · Matches
49
1562.3
Current Team ELO
1455.3
1455.3
Current Opponent ELO
1562.3
107.0
Current ELO Difference
-107.0
0.65
Expected score
0.35
62
History Matches
49
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.05
54.57
Overperformance
46.79
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.70
2.40
Goals for per game
1.10
1.90
Goals against per game
1.10
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.56
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.18
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
49
1.71
PPG
1.14
50.0%
Win rate
30.6%
21.0%
Draw rate
22.4%
29.0%
Loss rate
46.9%
83.9%
Over 1.5 rate
77.6%
61.3%
Over 2.5 rate
51.0%
45.2%
Over 3.5 rate
16.3%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
Venue performance10 signals
100
35
Matches
25
1.63
PPG
0.88
45.7%
Win rate
24.0%
25.7%
Draw rate
16.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
60.0%
91.4%
Over 1.5 rate
88.0%
68.6%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
54.3%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
2.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
35
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.98
Goals for per game
1.08
88.7%
Scoring rate
65.3%
56.5%
BTTS rate
49.0%
2.26
Goals for per game
1.16
85.7%
Scoring rate
64.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
44.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
33.3%
BTTS rate
33.3%
62
History Matches
49
1.98
Goals Mean
1.08
1.68
Goals Std
1.16
88.7%
Scored 1+ rate
65.3%
53.2%
Scored 2+ rate
26.5%
25.8%
Scored 3+ rate
8.2%
2.26
Venue Goals Mean
1.16
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.27
Goals against per game
1.47
61.3%
Conceding rate
77.6%
1.31
Goals against per game
1.72
65.7%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
62
History Matches
49
1.27
Conceded Mean
1.47
1.35
Conceded Std
1.21
35.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.9%
21.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.2%
1.31
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
38.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
11.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.7%
34.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
38.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
11.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.7%
34.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
38.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
49
0.94
Result entropy
0.96
2.38
Goal Difference Std
1.87
5.96
Stability score
4.17
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
49
24
Lead Matches
11
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
90.9%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.94
17
Trailing Matches
21
23.5%
Non-loss rate
19.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.89
First Half Goals For Mean
0.49
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
1.10
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.92
Rest days
77.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
37
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.70
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
21
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.94
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
0.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
7
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.61
1.07
Portability PPG Range
1.36
52.50
Portability Score
44.94
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO107.0
PPG0.57
GF0.90
GA-0.20
PPG2.00
PPG0.75
PPG0.00
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate14.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches13
Goals Mean0.90
Goals Std0.52
Scored 1+ rate23.4%
Scored 2+ rate26.7%
Scored 3+ rate17.6%
Venue Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.86
History Matches13
Conceded Mean-0.20
Conceded Std0.13
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.41
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.47
History Matches13
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.51
Stability score1.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.43
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate4.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.16
Portability PPG Range-0.29
Portability Score7.56
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.67
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.47
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.77
Current Team ELO107.0
Current Opponent ELO-107.0
Current ELO Difference213.9
Expected score0.30
History Matches13
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance7.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Beltinci

W
Brežice0–6Beltinci2 Nov · away
Pick: Beltinci 57% · hit
L
Beltinci3–4Triglav28 Oct · home
Pick: Beltinci 51% · missed
W
Tromejnik Montpreis0–5Beltinci25 Oct · away
Pick: Beltinci 59% · hit
W
Dren Vrhnika1–2Beltinci18 Oct · away
Pick: Beltinci 50% · hit
W
Ilirija2–4Beltinci4 Oct · away
Pick: Ilirija 55% · missed

Dravinja

W
Dravinja1–0Dekani31 Oct · home
Pick: Dekani 39% · missed
W
Krško0–6Dravinja28 Oct · away
Pick: Dravinja 42% · hit
W
Dravinja2–1Jesenice16 Oct · home
Pick: Dravinja 46% · hit
L
Dravinja1–4Triglav29 Aug · home
Pick: Triglav 57% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Beltinci and Dravinja meet in 2. SNL on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Beltinci win 65.3%, draw 18.9%, Dravinja win 15.8%. The pick is Beltinci win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.7%. Both teams to score: 55.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.