ScoreProb
Ligue 1 Algeria Round 9 2026

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad

Ben Aknoun Home · Elo 1,565
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
CR Belouizdad Away · Elo 1,635
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: CR Belouizdad win
Ben Aknoun win
25.9%
Draw
26.8%
CR Belouizdad winPick
47.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.3%
No50.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%

How much we know

Ben Aknoun history48 matches
CR Belouizdad history71 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:45 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why CR Belouizdad are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • CR Belouizdad are rated 69 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,635 against 1,565. On rating alone CR Belouizdad would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • CR Belouizdad score more

    1.38 goals a game over 48 matches for Ben Aknoun, against 1.61 over 71 for CR Belouizdad.

  • CR Belouizdad concede fewer

    Ben Aknoun concede 0.96 a game, CR Belouizdad 0.85.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    42% of Ben Aknoun matches, against 42% for CR Belouizdad. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ben Aknoun
CR Belouizdad
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1565.4
ELO
1634.7
48
ELO · Matches
71
1565.4
Current Team ELO
1634.7
1634.7
Current Opponent ELO
1565.4
-69.29
Current ELO Difference
69.29
0.40
Expected score
0.60
48
History Matches
71
0.07
Residual Mean
0.10
54.64
Overperformance
57.51
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.60
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.60
Goals against per game
1.10
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.28
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
71
1.71
PPG
1.85
45.8%
Win rate
50.7%
33.3%
Draw rate
32.4%
20.8%
Loss rate
16.9%
62.5%
Over 1.5 rate
71.8%
41.7%
Over 2.5 rate
42.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
26.8%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
34
2.08
PPG
1.50
62.5%
Win rate
35.3%
20.8%
Draw rate
44.1%
16.7%
Loss rate
20.6%
70.8%
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
35.3%
29.2%
Over 3.5 rate
20.6%
1.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.45
24
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.38
Goals for per game
1.61
77.1%
Scoring rate
78.9%
50.0%
BTTS rate
49.3%
1.71
Goals for per game
1.29
87.5%
Scoring rate
76.5%
50.0%
BTTS rate
52.9%
48
History Matches
71
1.38
Goals Mean
1.61
1.11
Goals Std
1.34
77.1%
Scored 1+ rate
78.9%
41.7%
Scored 2+ rate
46.5%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
23.9%
1.71
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.96
Goals against per game
0.85
60.4%
Conceding rate
57.7%
0.92
Goals against per game
0.94
58.3%
Conceding rate
58.8%
48
History Matches
71
0.96
Conceded Mean
0.85
0.98
Conceded Std
0.90
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
21.1%
10.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.2%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
0.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
22.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
22.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
71
0.96
Result entropy
0.92
1.22
Goal Difference Std
1.59
4.37
Stability score
8.07
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
71
15
Lead Matches
25
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
96.0%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.97
5
Trailing Matches
12
60.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
71
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
155.0
Rest days
155.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
23
Normal Rest History Matches
51
1.52
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.90
23
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.87
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.39
Portability PPG Std
0.23
0.90
Portability PPG Range
0.63
56.44
Portability Score
68.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
71
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-69.29
PPG-0.14
GF-0.23
GA0.11
PPG0.58
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-23
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate1.8%
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate0.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-23
Goals Mean-0.23
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Goals Mean0.41
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.28
History Matches-23
Conceded Mean0.11
Conceded Std0.08
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate3.9%
Conceded 3+ rate6.2%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.17
History Matches-23
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.37
Stability score-3.70
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.13
Eligible Matches-23
Lead Matches-10
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate26.7%
Trailing Win Rate3.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-23
First Half Goals For Mean0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std0.15
Portability PPG Range0.27
Portability Score-11.92
Rest days-0.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-28
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.38
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.01
Current Team ELO-69.29
Current Opponent ELO69.29
Current ELO Difference-138.6
Expected score-0.20
History Matches-23
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.87
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ben Aknoun

D
MB Rouisset1–1Ben Aknoun31 Oct · away
Pick: MB Rouisset 34% · missed
D
JS Saoura0–0Ben Aknoun24 Oct · away
Pick: JS Saoura 43% · missed
L
Olympique Akbou2–1Ben Aknoun16 Oct · away
Pick: Olympique Akbou 36% · hit
D
Ben Aknoun2–2JS El Biar7 Oct · home
Pick: Ben Aknoun 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

CR Belouizdad

W
CR Belouizdad1–0JS Saoura2 Nov · home
Pick: CR Belouizdad 53% · hit
D
USM Alger2–2CR Belouizdad24 Oct · away
Pick: USM Alger 42% · missed
W
JS El Biar2–3CR Belouizdad12 Oct · away
Pick: CR Belouizdad 44% · hit
W
CR Belouizdad1–0Khenchela7 Oct · home
Pick: CR Belouizdad 58% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Ben Aknoun and CR Belouizdad meet in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:45 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Ben Aknoun win 25.9%, draw 26.8%, CR Belouizdad win 47.3%. The pick is CR Belouizdad win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.9%. Both teams to score: 49.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.