Brodarac U19 vs Jedinstvo U. U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Brodarac U19 win
Brodarac U19 win Result
36.5%
Draw
22.6%
Jedinstvo U. U19 winPick
40.8%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickJedinstvo U. U19 win · 40.8%
What happenedBrodarac U19 win · we gave it 36.5%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 70.7%
What happenedOver · 4 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 59.8%
What happenedYes · 3–1
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Brodarac U19 win. In our numbers it ranked second of the three.
37%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 2.7
on average A pick at 41% is expected to miss about 6 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes59.8%
No40.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.570.7%
Under 2.529.3%
How much we know
Brodarac U19 history1 match
Jedinstvo U. U19 history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–1Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Jedinstvo U. U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,488 against 1,510. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Jedinstvo U. U19 score far more
1.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Brodarac U19, against 3.50 over 2 for Jedinstvo U. U19.
-
Defences are close
Brodarac U19 concede 3.00 a game, Jedinstvo U. U19 3.00.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
100% of Brodarac U19 matches, against 100% for Jedinstvo U. U19. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jedinstvo U. U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1488.2
ELO
1510.1
1
ELO · Matches
2
1488.2
Current Team ELO
1510.1
1510.1
Current Opponent ELO
1488.2
-21.90
Current ELO Difference
21.90
0.47
Expected score
0.53
1
History Matches
2
-0.50
Residual Mean
0.25
47.62
Overperformance
52.28
-0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.25
Recent form16 signals 160
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
3.50
3.00
Goals against per game
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
3.50
3.00
Goals against per game
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.00
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.50
Overall performance9 signals 90
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.00
Goals for per game
3.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
2
1.00
Goals Mean
3.50
—
Goals Std
0.50
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
100.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
4.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
3.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
2
3.00
Conceded Mean
3.00
—
Conceded Std
0.00
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
100.0%
3.00
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
1
History Matches
2
0.00
Result entropy
0.63
—
Goal Difference Std
0.50
100.0
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Non-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
1
Eligible Matches
2
1
Lead Matches
1
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals 50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
3.00
0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
3.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
74.33
Rest days
74.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
1
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
1
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
1
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-21.90
PPG-2.00
GF-2.50
GA0.00
PPG-2.00
PPG-3.00
PPG-2.00
PPG-2.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-2.50
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate-1.00
Scored 3+ rate-1.00
Venue Goals Mean-3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.50
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.63
Stability score63.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.63
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-1.00
Lead Points Retention-1.00
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-2.00
First Half Goals Against Mean-1.50
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.50
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days0.29
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-21.90
Current Opponent ELO21.90
Current ELO Difference-43.80
Expected score-0.06
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.75
Overperformance-4.67
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.75
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Brodarac U19
No earlier results with our pick yet
Jedinstvo U. U19
L
Usce U192–1Jedinstvo U. U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Usce U19 42% · hit L
Vojvodina U193–0Jedinstvo U. U1912 Oct · away
Pick: Vojvodina U19 66% · hit L
Jedinstvo U. U190–4Crvena Zvezda U187 Oct · home
Pick: Crvena Zvezda U18 45% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Brodarac U19 and Jedinstvo U. U19 finished 3–1 in U19 league on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 2–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Brodarac U19 win 36.5%, draw 22.6%, Jedinstvo U. U19 win 40.8%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.