ScoreProb
Ligue 2 Algeria Round 9 2026

CR Béni Thour vs NC Magra

CR Béni Thour Home · Elo 1,467
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
NC Magra Away · Elo 1,462
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: NC Magra win
CR Béni Thour win
29.9%
Draw
33.6%
NC Magra winPick
36.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.3%
No53.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%

How much we know

CR Béni Thour history30 matches
NC Magra history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.5%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why NC Magra are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,467 against 1,462. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    0.90 goals a game over 30 matches for CR Béni Thour, against 0.86 over 44 for NC Magra.

  • NC Magra concede fewer

    CR Béni Thour concede 1.33 a game, NC Magra 1.05.

  • CR Béni Thour games more often go over 2.5 goals

    40% of CR Béni Thour matches, against 27% for NC Magra. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 10 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
CR Béni Thour
NC Magra
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1467.1
ELO
1462.3
30
ELO · Matches
44
1467.1
Current Team ELO
1462.3
1462.3
Current Opponent ELO
1467.1
4.87
Current ELO Difference
-4.87
0.51
Expected score
0.49
30
History Matches
44
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.04
46.75
Overperformance
47.14
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.20
1.20
Goals for per game
0.40
1.20
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
0.80
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.73
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.20
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.47
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
30
Matches
44
1.17
PPG
1.14
30.0%
Win rate
27.3%
26.7%
Draw rate
31.8%
43.3%
Loss rate
40.9%
63.3%
Over 1.5 rate
63.6%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
27.3%
23.3%
Over 3.5 rate
11.4%
1.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
Venue performance10 signals
100
15
Matches
22
1.60
PPG
0.82
40.0%
Win rate
18.2%
40.0%
Draw rate
27.3%
20.0%
Loss rate
54.5%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
68.2%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
40.9%
13.3%
Over 3.5 rate
13.6%
0.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
15
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.90
Goals for per game
0.86
56.7%
Scoring rate
59.1%
46.7%
BTTS rate
36.4%
1.07
Goals for per game
0.86
66.7%
Scoring rate
63.6%
53.3%
BTTS rate
45.5%
30
History Matches
44
0.90
Goals Mean
0.86
1.01
Goals Std
1.08
56.7%
Scored 1+ rate
59.1%
20.0%
Scored 2+ rate
15.9%
13.3%
Scored 3+ rate
4.5%
1.07
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.33
Goals against per game
1.05
76.7%
Conceding rate
61.4%
0.87
Goals against per game
1.36
66.7%
Conceding rate
72.7%
30
History Matches
44
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.05
1.04
Conceded Std
1.07
40.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
31.8%
13.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.8%
0.87
Venue Conceded Mean
1.36
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.6%
43.3%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.6%
43.3%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
30
History Matches
44
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.38
Goal Difference Std
1.70
2.06
Stability score
1.30
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
29
Eligible Matches
44
8
Lead Matches
11
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
72.7%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.79
8
Trailing Matches
13
0.0%
Non-loss rate
23.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
29
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
0.41
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
181.0
Rest days
181.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
17
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.53
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.41
12
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.90
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.08
—
Portability PPG Range
0.16
—
Portability Score
86.54
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
30
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO4.87
PPG0.03
GF0.04
GA0.29
PPG0.78
PPG1.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate2.4%
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate6.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-14
Goals Mean0.04
Goals Std-0.07
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate4.1%
Scored 3+ rate8.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.53
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean0.29
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate8.2%
Conceded 3+ rate6.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches-14
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.31
Stability score0.76
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.07
Eligible Matches-15
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate2.3%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-15
First Half Goals For Mean0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.12
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Current Team ELO4.87
Current Opponent ELO-4.87
Current ELO Difference9.75
Expected score0.01
History Matches-14
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

CR Béni Thour

L
CR Béni Thour1–2USM Annaba24 Oct · home
Pick: USM Annaba 36% · hit
L
Azazga3–0CR Béni Thour19 Oct · away
Pick: CR Béni Thour 37% · missed
W
CR Béni Thour2–1IRB Nezla13 Oct · home
Pick: CR Béni Thour 62% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

NC Magra

D
JS Jijel1–1NC Magra24 Oct · away
Pick: JS Jijel 41% · missed
L
JSM Skikda2–1NC Magra13 Oct · away
Pick: JSM Skikda 35% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

CR Béni Thour and NC Magra meet in Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: CR Béni Thour win 29.9%, draw 33.6%, NC Magra win 36.5%. The pick is NC Magra win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.0%. Both teams to score: 46.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.