Don Bosco vs Saint Eloi Lupopo
Match result probability Model pick: Saint Eloi Lupopo win
Don Bosco win
25.5%
Draw
32.5%
Saint Eloi Lupopo winPick
42.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes45.1%
No54.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
How much we know
Don Bosco history61 matches
Saint Eloi Lupopo history68 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Saint Eloi Lupopo
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,387 matches.
Why Saint Eloi Lupopo are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Saint Eloi Lupopo are rated 58 Elo points higher
Elo 1,625 against 1,567. On rating alone Saint Eloi Lupopo would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
Saint Eloi Lupopo score more
1.16 goals a game over 61 matches for Don Bosco, against 1.38 over 68 for Saint Eloi Lupopo.
-
Saint Eloi Lupopo concede fewer
Don Bosco concede 0.87 a game, Saint Eloi Lupopo 0.60.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
34% of Don Bosco matches, against 32% for Saint Eloi Lupopo. The model puts this match at 39% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 20 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Saint Eloi Lupopo@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1566.9
ELO
1624.9
61
ELO · Matches
68
1566.9
Current Team ELO
1624.9
1624.9
Current Opponent ELO
1566.9
-57.97
Current ELO Difference
57.97
0.42
Expected score
0.58
61
History Matches
68
0.06
Residual Mean
0.08
54.36
Overperformance
56.31
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.80
0.80
Goals for per game
1.00
1.60
Goals against per game
0.20
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.10
0.90
Goals for per game
0.70
1.30
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.14
Overall performance9 signals 90
61
Matches
68
1.62
PPG
1.90
44.3%
Win rate
54.4%
29.5%
Draw rate
26.5%
26.2%
Loss rate
19.1%
57.4%
Over 1.5 rate
54.4%
34.4%
Over 2.5 rate
32.4%
13.1%
Over 3.5 rate
14.7%
1.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
Venue performance10 signals 100
32
Matches
37
1.78
PPG
1.59
50.0%
Win rate
45.9%
28.1%
Draw rate
21.6%
21.9%
Loss rate
32.4%
65.6%
Over 1.5 rate
48.6%
46.9%
Over 2.5 rate
29.7%
15.6%
Over 3.5 rate
10.8%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
32
History Matches
37
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.16
Goals for per game
1.38
65.6%
Scoring rate
73.5%
36.1%
BTTS rate
30.9%
1.31
Goals for per game
1.14
68.8%
Scoring rate
62.2%
37.5%
BTTS rate
24.3%
61
History Matches
68
1.16
Goals Mean
1.38
1.13
Goals Std
1.34
65.6%
Scored 1+ rate
73.5%
34.4%
Scored 2+ rate
32.4%
11.5%
Scored 3+ rate
17.6%
1.31
Venue Goals Mean
1.14
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.87
Goals against per game
0.60
57.4%
Conceding rate
45.6%
0.91
Goals against per game
0.76
56.3%
Conceding rate
48.6%
61
History Matches
68
0.87
Conceded Mean
0.60
1.00
Conceded Std
0.79
18.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
10.3%
8.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.4%
0.91
Venue Conceded Mean
0.76
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
42.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.4%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
51.4%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
42.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.4%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
51.4%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
42.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
61
History Matches
68
0.98
Result entropy
0.91
1.51
Goal Difference Std
1.63
2.43
Stability score
9.04
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
46
Eligible Matches
64
12
Lead Matches
24
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
91.7%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.94
8
Trailing Matches
11
12.5%
Non-loss rate
45.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.37
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.25
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.41
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.36
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
146.1
Rest days
146.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
18
Short Rest History Matches
18
1.44
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.89
28
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.82
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.59
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.41
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.39
0.05
Portability PPG Range
0.84
95.52
Portability Score
56.32
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
61
Clean History Matches
68
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-57.97
PPG-0.27
GF-0.22
GA0.27
PPG0.19
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate8.0%
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-7
Goals Mean-0.22
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate2.1%
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean0.27
Conceded Std0.21
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate7.7%
Conceded 3+ rate3.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.43
History Matches-7
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score-6.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.33
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.36
Portability PPG Range-0.80
Portability Score39.20
Rest days0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.44
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.84
Current Team ELO-57.97
Current Opponent ELO57.97
Current ELO Difference-115.9
Expected score-0.17
History Matches-7
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.96
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Don Bosco
W
Don Bosco1–0Butras30 Oct · home
Pick: Don Bosco 64% · hit D
AS New Soger0–0Don Bosco26 Oct · away
Pick: Don Bosco 47% · missed D
Don Bosco1–1Malole20 Oct · home
Pick: Don Bosco 58% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Saint Eloi Lupopo
W
Butras0–2Saint Eloi Lupopo26 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 36% · missed D
Saint Eloi Lupopo0–0AS New Soger20 Oct · home
Pick: Saint Eloi Lupopo 70% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Don Bosco and Saint Eloi Lupopo meet in Ligue 1 on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Don Bosco win 25.5%, draw 32.5%, Saint Eloi Lupopo win 42.0%. The pick is Saint Eloi Lupopo win. Over 2.5 goals: 39.4%. Both teams to score: 45.1%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.