Dordoi Bishkek vs Asiagoal
What we said before kickoff Result: Dordoi Bishkek win
Dordoi Bishkek winPick Result
60.4%
Draw
22.0%
Asiagoal win
17.6%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickDordoi Bishkek win · 60.4%
What happenedDordoi Bishkek win · we gave it 60.4%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 58.5%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 56.3%
What happenedNo · 3–0
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Dordoi Bishkek win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
60%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.7
on average A pick at 60% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Timeline
Newest at the bottom
Goal
45+8' Goal
45+8' Goal
90+1' Both teams to score
Yes56.3%
No43.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%
How much we know
Dordoi Bishkek history50 matches
Asiagoal history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full time: 3–0Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
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The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Dordoi Bishkek are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Dordoi Bishkek are rated 134 Elo points higher
Elo 1,520 against 1,387. On rating alone Dordoi Bishkek would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.
-
Dordoi Bishkek score more
1.52 goals a game over 50 matches for Dordoi Bishkek, against 1.07 over 45 for Asiagoal.
-
Dordoi Bishkek concede fewer
Dordoi Bishkek concede 1.28 a game, Asiagoal 2.04.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
56% of Dordoi Bishkek matches, against 56% for Asiagoal. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Asiagoal@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1520.4
ELO
1386.8
50
ELO · Matches
45
1520.4
Current Team ELO
1386.8
1386.8
Current Opponent ELO
1520.4
133.6
Current ELO Difference
-133.6
0.68
Expected score
0.32
50
History Matches
45
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.11
51.37
Overperformance
42.15
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.60
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.70
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
1.30
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.04
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals 90
50
Matches
45
1.66
PPG
0.69
48.0%
Win rate
15.6%
22.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
30.0%
Loss rate
62.2%
82.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.6%
56.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.57
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
20
1.68
PPG
0.50
48.0%
Win rate
10.0%
24.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
28.0%
Loss rate
70.0%
84.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
56.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.0%
32.0%
Over 3.5 rate
45.0%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.40
25
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.52
Goals for per game
1.07
78.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
60.0%
BTTS rate
62.2%
1.68
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
68.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.43
Goals for per game
1.20
66.7%
Scoring rate
75.0%
57.1%
BTTS rate
70.0%
50
History Matches
45
1.52
Goals Mean
1.07
1.27
Goals Std
0.95
78.0%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
42.0%
Scored 2+ rate
31.1%
22.0%
Scored 3+ rate
8.9%
1.68
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.28
Goals against per game
2.04
74.0%
Conceding rate
88.9%
1.20
Goals against per game
2.05
80.0%
Conceding rate
95.0%
1.43
Goals against per game
1.80
81.0%
Conceding rate
85.0%
50
History Matches
45
1.28
Conceded Mean
2.04
1.17
Conceded Std
1.66
34.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.1%
12.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.9%
1.20
Venue Conceded Mean
2.05
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
22.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
22.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
50
History Matches
45
0.95
Result entropy
0.84
1.88
Goal Difference Std
1.57
4.73
Stability score
16.36
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
50
Eligible Matches
44
21
Lead Matches
8
76.2%
Lead Win Rate
62.5%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.67
11
Trailing Matches
18
36.4%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.02
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
72.92
Rest days
73.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
24
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.72
24
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.65
Competition & season17 signals 170
21
Matches
20
1.19
PPG
0.85
33.3%
Win rate
15.0%
19.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
47.6%
Loss rate
45.0%
90.5%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
35.0%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
21
Current Competition Matches
20
1.19
Current Competition PPG
0.85
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.60
5
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.15
0.89
Portability PPG Range
0.31
53.01
Portability Score
76.43
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
50
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO133.6
PPG0.97
GF0.45
GA-0.76
PPG0.34
PPG1.18
PPG0.80
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate14.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate15.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.45
Goals Std0.32
Scored 1+ rate11.3%
Scored 2+ rate10.9%
Scored 3+ rate13.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.68
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.92
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.76
Conceded Std-0.49
Clean-sheet rate14.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.17
Conceded 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Conceded Mean-0.85
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.26
History Matches5
Result entropy0.12
Goal Difference Std0.31
Stability score-11.62
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.67
Eligible Matches6
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate13.7%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate19.7%
Trailing Win Rate18.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches6
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.34
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.60
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.58
Portability Score-23.42
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.24
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.68
Current Team ELO133.6
Current Opponent ELO-133.6
Current ELO Difference267.2
Expected score0.37
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance9.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Dordoi Bishkek
W
Toktogul2–3Dordoi Bishkek31 Oct · away
Pick: Toktogul 36% · missed D
Bishkek City0–0Dordoi Bishkek27 Oct · away
Pick: Dordoi Bishkek 42% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Asiagoal
No earlier results with our pick yet
Match report
Dordoi Bishkek and Asiagoal finished 3–0 in Premier League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 2–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Dordoi Bishkek win 60.4%, draw 22.0%, Asiagoal win 17.6%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.