ScoreProb
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Germany NOFV- Sud - 11 2026

Einheit Rudolstadt vs Weissenfels

Einheit Rudolstadt Home · Elo 1,434
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Weissenfels Away · Elo 1,520
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Weissenfels win
Einheit Rudolstadt win
23.2%
Draw
19.6%
Weissenfels winPick
57.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes41.6%
No58.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%

How much we know

Einheit Rudolstadt history51 matches
Weissenfels history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Weissenfels are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Weissenfels are rated 86 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,520 against 1,434. On rating alone Weissenfels would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Weissenfels score more

    1.45 goals a game over 51 matches for Einheit Rudolstadt, against 2.00 over 2 for Weissenfels.

  • Weissenfels concede fewer

    Einheit Rudolstadt concede 2.10 a game, Weissenfels 0.00.

  • Einheit Rudolstadt games more often go over 2.5 goals

    71% of Einheit Rudolstadt matches, against 50% for Weissenfels. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Einheit Rudolstadt
Weissenfels
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1433.5
ELO
1519.5
51
ELO · Matches
2
1433.5
Current Team ELO
1519.5
1519.5
Current Opponent ELO
1433.5
-86.01
Current ELO Difference
86.01
0.38
Expected score
0.62
51
History Matches
2
-0.07
Residual Mean
0.49
45.02
Overperformance
54.44
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.49
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.00
PPG
3.00
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
0.00
20.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
2
1.00
PPG
3.00
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.90
Goals against per game
0.00
20.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.00
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.00
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
2
1.06
PPG
3.00
27.5%
Win rate
100.0%
23.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
49.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
88.2%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
70.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
49.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.26
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
1
1.42
PPG
3.00
37.5%
Win rate
100.0%
29.2%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
24
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.45
Goals for per game
2.00
78.4%
Scoring rate
100.0%
62.7%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.54
Goals for per game
3.00
79.2%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
2.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
51
History Matches
2
1.45
Goals Mean
2.00
1.23
Goals Std
1.00
78.4%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
35.3%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
21.6%
Scored 3+ rate
50.0%
1.54
Venue Goals Mean
3.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.10
Goals against per game
0.00
80.4%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1.38
Goals against per game
0.00
62.5%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
0.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
51
History Matches
2
2.10
Conceded Mean
0.00
1.62
Conceded Std
0.00
60.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
39.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
0.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
2
0.95
Result entropy
0.00
2.26
Goal Difference Std
1.00
4.90
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
2
11
Lead Matches
2
45.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.61
Lead Points Retention
1.00
20
Trailing Matches
0
15.0%
Non-loss rate
—
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
1.50
1.04
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.84
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.02
Rest days
85.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
25
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.08
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
24
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.50
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.06
Portability PPG Std
—
0.14
Portability PPG Range
—
89.31
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-86.01
PPG-1.94
GF-0.55
GA2.10
PPG-2.50
PPG-1.58
PPG-2.00
PPG-2.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches49
Clean-sheet rate-0.80
Failed-to-score rate21.6%
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate-0.63
Failed-to-score rate20.8%
History Matches49
Goals Mean-0.55
Goals Std0.23
Scored 1+ rate-0.22
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.28
Venue Goals Mean-1.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.02
History Matches49
Conceded Mean2.10
Conceded Std1.62
Clean-sheet rate-0.80
Conceded 2+ rate60.8%
Conceded 3+ rate39.2%
Venue Conceded Mean1.38
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.30
History Matches49
Result entropy0.95
Goal Difference Std1.26
Stability score-95.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.43
Eligible Matches49
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate-0.55
Lead Points Retention-0.39
Trailing Matches20
Halftime Coverage Matches49
First Half Goals For Mean-0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days-1.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches24
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.92
Long Rest History Matches24
Current Team ELO-86.01
Current Opponent ELO86.01
Current ELO Difference-172.0
Expected score-0.24
History Matches49
Residual Mean-0.56
Overperformance-9.41
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.50

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Einheit Rudolstadt

L
Krieschow4–0Einheit Rudolstadt31 Oct · away
Pick: Krieschow 42% · hit
L
Einheit Rudolstadt0–3Empor Glauchau25 Oct · home
Pick: Einheit Rudolstadt 57% · missed
D
Einheit Wernigerode1–1Einheit Rudolstadt17 Oct · away
Pick: Einheit Wernigerode 46% · missed
L
Dresden II5–1Einheit Rudolstadt30 Aug · away
Pick: Dresden II 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Weissenfels

W
Weissenfels2–1Eilenburg31 Oct · home
Pick: Weissenfels 53% · hit
L
SC Freital3–2Weissenfels24 Oct · away
Pick: SC Freital 40% · hit
W
Weissenfels2–1Dresden II17 Oct · home
Pick: Weissenfels 57% · hit
L
ZFC Meuselwitz3–2Weissenfels30 Aug · away
Pick: Weissenfels 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Einheit Rudolstadt and Weissenfels meet in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Einheit Rudolstadt win 23.2%, draw 19.6%, Weissenfels win 57.2%. The pick is Weissenfels win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.4%. Both teams to score: 41.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.