ScoreProb
Oberliga - Niedersachsen Germany Niedersachsen - 14 2026

Eintracht Braunschw. II vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden

Eintracht Braunschw. II Home · Elo 1,470
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden Away · Elo 1,532
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Braunschw. II win
Eintracht Braunschw. II winPick
48.5%
Draw
20.6%
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win
30.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.3%
No36.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%

How much we know

Eintracht Braunschw. II history52 matches
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Eintracht Braunschw. II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Schwarz-Weiß Rehden are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,532 against 1,470. On rating alone Schwarz-Weiß Rehden would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.73 goals a game over 52 matches for Eintracht Braunschw. II, against 1.74 over 53 for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden.

  • Schwarz-Weiß Rehden concede fewer

    Eintracht Braunschw. II concede 1.96 a game, Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1.62.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    71% of Eintracht Braunschw. II matches, against 68% for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eintracht Braunschw. II
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1470.3
ELO
1532.3
52
ELO · Matches
53
1470.3
Current Team ELO
1532.3
1532.3
Current Opponent ELO
1470.3
-61.98
Current ELO Difference
61.98
0.41
Expected score
0.59
52
History Matches
53
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.02
48.10
Overperformance
51.58
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.23
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.60
2.40
Goals for per game
2.20
2.40
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.10
2.20
Goals for per game
1.90
2.30
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.45
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.77
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.14
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
53
1.17
PPG
1.47
34.6%
Win rate
41.5%
13.5%
Draw rate
22.6%
51.9%
Loss rate
35.8%
94.2%
Over 1.5 rate
86.8%
71.2%
Over 2.5 rate
67.9%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
41.5%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
29
1.42
PPG
1.69
46.2%
Win rate
48.3%
3.8%
Draw rate
24.1%
50.0%
Loss rate
27.6%
96.2%
Over 1.5 rate
86.2%
76.9%
Over 2.5 rate
65.5%
57.7%
Over 3.5 rate
41.4%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
26
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.73
Goals for per game
1.74
80.8%
Scoring rate
81.1%
67.3%
BTTS rate
66.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.97
92.3%
Scoring rate
86.2%
69.2%
BTTS rate
65.5%
3.33
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
53
1.73
Goals Mean
1.74
1.42
Goals Std
1.51
80.8%
Scored 1+ rate
81.1%
48.1%
Scored 2+ rate
49.1%
26.9%
Scored 3+ rate
22.6%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.97
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.96
Goals against per game
1.62
84.6%
Conceding rate
77.4%
1.92
Goals against per game
1.55
76.9%
Conceding rate
75.9%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
53
1.96
Conceded Mean
1.62
1.29
Conceded Std
1.43
63.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.2%
32.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.8%
1.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.55
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
53
0.89
Result entropy
0.97
2.02
Goal Difference Std
1.84
11.03
Stability score
2.69
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
50
17
Lead Matches
13
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
84.6%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.85
24
Trailing Matches
16
12.5%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.94
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
1.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
24
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.13
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
27
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.26
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.67
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
66.7%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.67
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.67
5
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.83
Portability PPG Std
0.66
2.33
Portability PPG Range
1.60
37.71
Portability Score
42.98
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-61.98
PPG-0.30
GF-0.01
GA0.34
PPG0.67
PPG-0.27
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate0.4%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.01
Goals Std-0.09
Scored 1+ rate0.00
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate4.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.39
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.34
Conceded Std-0.15
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate16.3%
Conceded 3+ rate11.9%
Venue Conceded Mean0.37
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.18
Stability score8.33
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.41
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.16
Portability PPG Range0.73
Portability Score-5.27
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.22
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.41
Current Team ELO-61.98
Current Opponent ELO61.98
Current ELO Difference-124.0
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eintracht Braunschw. II

L
BW Lohne3–0Eintracht Braunschw. II30 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Braunschw. II 41% · missed
W
Eintracht Braunschw. II2–0Borussia Hildesheim23 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Braunschw. II 61% · hit
W
Drochtersen/Assel II2–3Eintracht Braunschw. II18 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Braunschw. II 44% · hit
W
Vorsfelde0–2Eintracht Braunschw. II4 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Braunschw. II 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden

L
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden1–3Heeslinger SC30 Oct · home
Pick: Heeslinger SC 44% · hit
D
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden1–1Wilhelmshaven16 Oct · home
Pick: Wilhelmshaven 40% · missed
W
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden4–1Nordhorn29 Aug · home
Pick: Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 75% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Eintracht Braunschw. II and Schwarz-Weiß Rehden meet in Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Eintracht Braunschw. II win 48.5%, draw 20.6%, Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win 30.9%. The pick is Eintracht Braunschw. II win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.7%. Both teams to score: 63.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.