ScoreProb
Botola 2 Morocco Round 7 2026

El Massira vs Wydad Fès

El Massira Home · Elo 1,507
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wydad Fès Away · Elo 1,486
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: El Massira win
El Massira winPick
46.7%
Draw
29.4%
Wydad Fès win
23.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.8%
No53.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.538.1%
Under 2.561.9%

How much we know

El Massira history48 matches
Wydad Fès history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why El Massira are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,507 against 1,486. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Wydad Fès score more

    0.98 goals a game over 48 matches for El Massira, against 1.18 over 45 for Wydad Fès.

  • El Massira concede fewer

    El Massira concede 0.79 a game, Wydad Fès 1.07.

  • Wydad Fès games more often go over 2.5 goals

    27% of El Massira matches, against 36% for Wydad Fès. The model puts this match at 38% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
El Massira
Wydad Fès
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1506.8
ELO
1485.7
48
ELO · Matches
45
1506.8
Current Team ELO
1485.7
1485.7
Current Opponent ELO
1506.8
21.07
Current ELO Difference
-21.07
0.53
Expected score
0.47
48
History Matches
45
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.01
50.41
Overperformance
49.09
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
0.90
0.80
Goals for per game
1.10
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
0.98
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
45
1.46
PPG
1.29
35.4%
Win rate
33.3%
39.6%
Draw rate
28.9%
25.0%
Loss rate
37.8%
52.1%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
27.1%
Over 2.5 rate
35.6%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.29
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
22
2.13
PPG
0.95
58.3%
Win rate
22.7%
37.5%
Draw rate
27.3%
4.2%
Loss rate
50.0%
58.3%
Over 1.5 rate
63.6%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
27.3%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
13.6%
0.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.31
24
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.98
Goals for per game
1.18
60.4%
Scoring rate
73.3%
37.5%
BTTS rate
46.7%
1.42
Goals for per game
0.91
87.5%
Scoring rate
59.1%
45.8%
BTTS rate
45.5%
48
History Matches
45
0.98
Goals Mean
1.18
1.01
Goals Std
0.90
60.4%
Scored 1+ rate
73.3%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.8%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
6.7%
1.42
Venue Goals Mean
0.91
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.79
Goals against per game
1.07
60.4%
Conceding rate
68.9%
0.58
Goals against per game
1.14
45.8%
Conceding rate
81.8%
48
History Matches
45
0.79
Conceded Mean
1.07
0.79
Conceded Std
0.93
14.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.9%
4.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.9%
0.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.14
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
31.1%
39.6%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
54.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
31.1%
39.6%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
54.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
39.6%
Clean-sheet rate
31.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
45
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.27
Goal Difference Std
1.29
1.60
Stability score
0.54
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
44
10
Lead Matches
10
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.87
10
Trailing Matches
16
30.0%
Non-loss rate
18.8%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.40
First Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
109.9
Rest days
126.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
19
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.58
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.10
Portability PPG Std
0.01
0.20
Portability PPG Range
0.02
83.33
Portability Score
97.75
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO21.07
PPG0.17
GF-0.20
GA-0.28
PPG1.17
PPG0.00
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate8.5%
Failed-to-score rate12.9%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate36.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.28
History Matches3
Goals Mean-0.20
Goals Std0.11
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.13
Scored 3+ rate5.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.51
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.15
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.28
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate8.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.55
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.12
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.02
Stability score1.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.14
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate11.3%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.09
Portability PPG Range0.18
Portability Score-14.42
Rest days-16.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match3.00
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.37
Current Team ELO21.07
Current Opponent ELO-21.07
Current ELO Difference42.14
Expected score0.06
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.32
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

El Massira

L
Yacoub El Mansour2–1El Massira31 Oct · away
Pick: Yacoub El Mansour 37% · hit
W
El Massira2–1Union Sportive Boujaad25 Oct · home
Pick: El Massira 50% · hit
L
KAC Kenitra1–0El Massira17 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
D
Riadi Salmi0–0El Massira4 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 35% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wydad Fès

W
Wydad Fès3–1Chabab Ben Guerir31 Oct · home
Pick: Wydad Fès 39% · hit
D
Yacoub El Mansour2–2Wydad Fès24 Oct · away
Pick: Yacoub El Mansour 41% · missed
W
Wydad Fès4–1USM Oujda18 Oct · home
Pick: Wydad Fès 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

El Massira and Wydad Fès meet in Botola 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: El Massira win 46.7%, draw 29.4%, Wydad Fès win 23.8%. The pick is El Massira win. Over 2.5 goals: 38.1%. Both teams to score: 46.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.