Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Karitsa
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Karitsa
Match result probability Model pick: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou winPick
73.5%
Draw
14.3%
Karitsa win
12.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes54.1%
No45.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%
How much we know
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou history40 matches
Karitsa history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.5%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.
Why Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou are rated 93 Elo points higher
Elo 1,593 against 1,500. On rating alone Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Karitsa
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1593.0
ELO
1500.0
40
ELO · Matches
0
1593.0
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1593.0
93.00
Current ELO Difference
-93.00
0.63
Expected score
0.37
40
History Matches
0
0.12
Residual Mean
—
57.86
Overperformance
—
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
0
1.20
PPG
—
1.80
Goals for per game
—
2.20
Goals against per game
—
40.0%
Win rate
—
10
Matches
0
1.80
PPG
—
2.00
Goals for per game
—
1.50
Goals against per game
—
60.0%
Win rate
—
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.18
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
1.12
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
1.69
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
40
Matches
0
1.65
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
15.0%
Draw rate
—
35.0%
Loss rate
—
77.5%
Over 1.5 rate
—
55.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
42.5%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
0
1.75
PPG
—
55.0%
Win rate
—
10.0%
Draw rate
—
35.0%
Loss rate
—
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
35.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
20
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.80
Goals for per game
—
80.0%
Scoring rate
—
55.0%
BTTS rate
—
1.80
Goals for per game
—
80.0%
Scoring rate
—
45.0%
BTTS rate
—
40
History Matches
0
1.80
Goals Mean
—
1.38
Goals Std
—
80.0%
Scored 1+ rate
—
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
—
35.0%
Scored 3+ rate
—
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.30
Goals against per game
—
75.0%
Conceding rate
—
1.10
Goals against per game
—
65.0%
Conceding rate
—
40
History Matches
0
1.30
Conceded Mean
—
0.95
Conceded Std
—
45.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
1.10
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
40
History Matches
0
0.91
Result entropy
—
1.70
Goal Difference Std
—
9.11
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
40
Eligible Matches
0
15
Lead Matches
0
86.7%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.89
Lead Points Retention
—
8
Trailing Matches
0
0.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
0.95
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
0.85
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
175.0
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
25
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.88
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
11
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.18
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
0
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.92
Portability PPG Std
—
2.25
Portability PPG Range
—
35.09
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
40
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO93.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches40
History Matches20
History Matches40
History Matches40
History Matches40
Eligible Matches40
Lead Matches15
Trailing Matches8
Halftime Coverage Matches40
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches25
Long Rest History Matches11
Current Team ELO93.00
Current Opponent ELO-93.00
Current ELO Difference186.0
Expected score0.26
History Matches40
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
W
Digenis Neochori0–5Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou1 Nov · away
Pick: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 45% · hit W
Sarakinos1–3Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou17 Oct · away
Pick: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 51% · hit W
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou1–0Feraios4 Oct · home
Pick: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 73% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Karitsa
L
Karitsa0–2Trikala1 Nov · home
Pick: Trikala 39% · hit D
Pierikos1–1Karitsa25 Oct · away
Pick: Pierikos 65% · missed L
Karitsa0–1Anthoupoli17 Oct · home
Pick: Anthoupoli 36% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou and Karitsa meet in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win 73.5%, draw 14.3%, Karitsa win 12.3%. The pick is Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.3%. Both teams to score: 54.1%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.