ScoreProb
2. Division Denmark Round 15 2026

FA 2000 vs VSK Århus

FA 2000 Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
VSK Århus Away · Elo 1,533
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: VSK Århus win
FA 2000 win
31.1%
Draw
26.3%
VSK Århus winPick
42.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.4%
No50.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%

How much we know

FA 2000 history65 matches
VSK Århus history65 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why VSK Århus are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • VSK Århus are rated 28 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,533 against 1,504. On rating alone VSK Århus would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • VSK Århus score more

    1.26 goals a game over 65 matches for FA 2000, against 1.51 over 65 for VSK Århus.

  • Defences are close

    FA 2000 concede 1.23 a game, VSK Århus 1.20.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    43% of FA 2000 matches, against 42% for VSK Århus. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FA 2000
VSK Århus
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.3
ELO
1532.7
65
ELO · Matches
65
1504.3
Current Team ELO
1532.7
1532.7
Current Opponent ELO
1504.3
-28.43
Current ELO Difference
28.43
0.46
Expected score
0.54
65
History Matches
65
0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
50.79
Overperformance
51.33
-0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
3.00
1.20
Goals for per game
3.20
1.80
Goals against per game
0.40
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
2.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.70
Goals against per game
0.80
30.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.79
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.09
Overall performance9 signals
90
65
Matches
65
1.45
PPG
1.45
40.0%
Win rate
35.4%
24.6%
Draw rate
38.5%
35.4%
Loss rate
26.2%
70.8%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
43.1%
Over 2.5 rate
41.5%
24.6%
Over 3.5 rate
33.8%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
Venue performance10 signals
100
35
Matches
35
1.69
PPG
1.37
48.6%
Win rate
31.4%
22.9%
Draw rate
42.9%
28.6%
Loss rate
25.7%
77.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
48.6%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
34.3%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.13
35
History Matches
35
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.26
Goals for per game
1.51
70.8%
Scoring rate
70.8%
46.2%
BTTS rate
50.8%
1.51
Goals for per game
1.46
80.0%
Scoring rate
71.4%
51.4%
BTTS rate
51.4%
1.25
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
65
History Matches
65
1.26
Goals Mean
1.51
1.23
Goals Std
1.48
70.8%
Scored 1+ rate
70.8%
32.3%
Scored 2+ rate
43.1%
13.8%
Scored 3+ rate
18.5%
1.51
Venue Goals Mean
1.46
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.23
Goals against per game
1.20
67.7%
Conceding rate
70.8%
1.09
Goals against per game
1.29
65.7%
Conceding rate
74.3%
2.25
Goals against per game
0.25
75.0%
Conceding rate
25.0%
65
History Matches
65
1.23
Conceded Mean
1.20
1.27
Conceded Std
1.15
29.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.8%
15.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.8%
1.09
Venue Conceded Mean
1.29
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
34.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
75.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
34.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
65
History Matches
65
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.96
1.77
Stability score
1.16
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
64
19
Lead Matches
23
78.9%
Lead Win Rate
69.6%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.80
16
Trailing Matches
14
6.3%
Non-loss rate
21.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
37
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.73
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.56
24
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.08
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.35
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
3.00
25.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.43
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.25
7
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.48
Portability PPG Std
0.81
1.12
Portability PPG Range
2.67
51.27
Portability Score
38.29
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
65
Clean History Matches
65
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-28.43
PPG0.00
GF-0.25
GA0.03
PPG-2.25
PPG0.31
PPG-1.80
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.25
Goals Std-0.25
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.01
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.03
Conceded Std0.12
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.37
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.03
Stability score0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.54
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate9.4%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.15
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.25
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.33
Portability PPG Range-1.55
Portability Score12.98
Rest days0.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.33
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.17
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.26
Current Team ELO-28.43
Current Opponent ELO28.43
Current ELO Difference-56.86
Expected score-0.08
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.41

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FA 2000

W
Brabrand1–2FA 200031 Oct · away
Pick: Brabrand 38% · missed
L
FA 20000–2HIK23 Oct · home
Pick: FA 2000 46% · missed
L
Skive2–0FA 200017 Oct · away
Pick: Skive 48% · hit
D
VSK Århus0–0FA 200029 Aug · away
Pick: VSK Århus 57% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

VSK Århus

L
Skive4–1VSK Århus30 Oct · away
Pick: VSK Århus 46% · missed
D
VSK Århus2–2Naestved24 Oct · home
Pick: VSK Århus 59% · missed
D
Thisted FC2–2VSK Århus18 Oct · away
Pick: VSK Århus 44% · missed
D
VSK Århus0–0FA 200029 Aug · home
Pick: VSK Århus 57% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FA 2000 and VSK Århus meet in 2. Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: FA 2000 win 31.1%, draw 26.3%, VSK Århus win 42.6%. The pick is VSK Århus win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.4%. Both teams to score: 49.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.