ScoreProb
Botola Pro Morocco Round 7 2026

FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida

FAR Rabat Home · Elo 1,629
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Difaa EL Jadida Away · Elo 1,540
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FAR Rabat win
FAR Rabat winPick
59.0%
Draw
25.5%
Difaa EL Jadida win
15.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.2%
No51.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.4%
Under 2.555.6%

How much we know

FAR Rabat history62 matches
Difaa EL Jadida history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (59.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why FAR Rabat are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FAR Rabat are rated 90 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,629 against 1,540. On rating alone FAR Rabat would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • FAR Rabat score more

    1.39 goals a game over 62 matches for FAR Rabat, against 1.14 over 43 for Difaa EL Jadida.

  • FAR Rabat concede fewer

    FAR Rabat concede 0.76 a game, Difaa EL Jadida 1.12.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    40% of FAR Rabat matches, against 44% for Difaa EL Jadida. The model puts this match at 44% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FAR Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1629.4
ELO
1539.8
62
ELO · Matches
43
1629.4
Current Team ELO
1539.8
1539.8
Current Opponent ELO
1629.4
89.67
Current ELO Difference
-89.67
0.63
Expected score
0.37
62
History Matches
43
0.11
Residual Mean
0.04
58.01
Overperformance
52.99
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.10
1.50
Goals for per game
1.20
1.10
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
0.81
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.60
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
0.80
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
43
1.81
PPG
1.44
46.8%
Win rate
34.9%
40.3%
Draw rate
39.5%
12.9%
Loss rate
25.6%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
65.1%
40.3%
Over 2.5 rate
44.2%
14.5%
Over 3.5 rate
23.3%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
22
2.31
PPG
1.23
65.6%
Win rate
27.3%
34.4%
Draw rate
40.9%
0.0%
Loss rate
31.8%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
63.6%
40.6%
Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
9.4%
Over 3.5 rate
13.6%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.04
32
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.39
Goals for per game
1.14
75.8%
Scoring rate
74.4%
46.8%
BTTS rate
53.5%
1.63
Goals for per game
1.09
87.5%
Scoring rate
72.7%
46.9%
BTTS rate
59.1%
62
History Matches
43
1.39
Goals Mean
1.14
1.05
Goals Std
0.93
75.8%
Scored 1+ rate
74.4%
45.2%
Scored 2+ rate
30.2%
16.1%
Scored 3+ rate
7.0%
1.63
Venue Goals Mean
1.09
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.76
Goals against per game
1.12
53.2%
Conceding rate
65.1%
0.56
Goals against per game
1.00
46.9%
Conceding rate
68.2%
62
History Matches
43
0.76
Conceded Mean
1.12
0.87
Conceded Std
1.15
17.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.2%
3.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.3%
0.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
46.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.6%
53.1%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
46.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.6%
53.1%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
46.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
43
0.90
Result entropy
0.99
1.30
Goal Difference Std
1.47
10.26
Stability score
1.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
42
21
Lead Matches
9
76.2%
Lead Win Rate
55.6%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.67
9
Trailing Matches
13
44.4%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.53
First Half Goals For Mean
0.38
0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
0.85
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
123.0
Rest days
126.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.86
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
36
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.81
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
18
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.72
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.41
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
6
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.23
Portability PPG Range
0.18
84.22
Portability Score
84.84
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO89.67
PPG0.36
GF0.25
GA-0.36
PPG1.09
PPG-0.40
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches19
Clean-sheet rate11.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate21.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches19
Goals Mean0.25
Goals Std0.12
Scored 1+ rate1.4%
Scored 2+ rate14.9%
Scored 3+ rate9.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.53
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.21
History Matches19
Conceded Mean-0.36
Conceded Std-0.27
Clean-sheet rate11.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.03
History Matches19
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.17
Stability score8.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.07
Eligible Matches20
Lead Matches12
Lead Win Rate20.6%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches20
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.00
Portability PPG Range0.05
Portability Score-0.62
Rest days-3.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.52
Normal Rest History Matches17
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.31
Current Team ELO89.67
Current Opponent ELO-89.67
Current ELO Difference179.3
Expected score0.25
History Matches19
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance5.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FAR Rabat

D
CODM Meknès0–0FAR Rabat1 Nov · away
Pick: FAR Rabat 42% · missed
W
FAR Rabat2–0Ittihad Tanger28 Oct · home
Pick: FAR Rabat 57% · hit
W
FAR Rabat2–1Korhogo25 Oct · home
Pick: FAR Rabat 61% · hit
D
Korhogo0–0FAR Rabat17 Oct · away
Pick: FAR Rabat 48% · missed
D
Hassania Agadir2–2FAR Rabat12 Oct · away
Pick: FAR Rabat 41% · missed

Difaa EL Jadida

D
Difaa EL Jadida1–1UTS Rabat30 Oct · home
Pick: Difaa EL Jadida 36% · missed
D
Kawkab Marrakech1–1Difaa EL Jadida25 Oct · away
Pick: Kawkab Marrakech 54% · missed
W
Difaa EL Jadida4–1Moghreb Tetouan17 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida meet in Botola Pro on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: FAR Rabat win 59.0%, draw 25.5%, Difaa EL Jadida win 15.5%. The pick is FAR Rabat win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.4%. Both teams to score: 48.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.