ScoreProb
Regionalliga - Ost Austria Ost - 15 2026

Favoritner AC vs Mattersburg SV 2020

Favoritner AC Home · Elo 1,493
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Mattersburg SV 2020 Away · Elo 1,473
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Favoritner AC win
Favoritner AC winPick
58.1%
Draw
19.3%
Mattersburg SV 2020 win
22.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.5%
No52.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%

How much we know

Favoritner AC history56 matches
Mattersburg SV 2020 history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:10 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Favoritner AC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,493 against 1,473. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Favoritner AC score far more

    1.41 goals a game over 56 matches for Favoritner AC, against 0.80 over 5 for Mattersburg SV 2020.

  • Defences are close

    Favoritner AC concede 1.75 a game, Mattersburg SV 2020 1.60.

  • Favoritner AC games more often go over 2.5 goals

    55% of Favoritner AC matches, against 40% for Mattersburg SV 2020. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Favoritner AC
Mattersburg SV 2020
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1492.7
ELO
1472.9
56
ELO · Matches
5
1492.7
Current Team ELO
1472.9
1472.9
Current Opponent ELO
1492.7
19.82
Current ELO Difference
-19.82
0.53
Expected score
0.47
56
History Matches
5
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.22
50.42
Overperformance
45.67
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.60
1.20
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
5
1.50
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
0.80
1.30
Goals against per game
1.60
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
2.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
5
1.21
PPG
0.60
35.7%
Win rate
20.0%
14.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
80.0%
73.2%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
55.4%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
1
1.39
PPG
0.00
41.9%
Win rate
0.0%
12.9%
Draw rate
0.0%
45.2%
Loss rate
100.0%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
61.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
38.7%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
31
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.41
Goals for per game
0.80
64.3%
Scoring rate
60.0%
48.2%
BTTS rate
40.0%
1.58
Goals for per game
1.00
64.5%
Scoring rate
100.0%
45.2%
BTTS rate
100.0%
0.25
Goals for per game
0.75
25.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
56
History Matches
5
1.41
Goals Mean
0.80
1.50
Goals Std
0.75
64.3%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
37.5%
Scored 2+ rate
20.0%
23.2%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.58
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.75
Goals against per game
1.60
80.4%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.68
Goals against per game
3.00
74.2%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
56
History Matches
5
1.75
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.49
Conceded Std
1.02
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.0%
21.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.68
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
25.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
35.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
25.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
35.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
5
0.90
Result entropy
0.46
2.12
Goal Difference Std
1.47
9.68
Stability score
54.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
56
Eligible Matches
5
17
Lead Matches
1
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
1.00
19
Trailing Matches
4
15.8%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
5.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.82
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.09
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
21
Normal Rest History Matches
2
1.48
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
32
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.03
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
0.75
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
25.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
0.75
-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
5
Competition Season Count
2
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.83
Portability PPG Std
—
2.25
Portability PPG Range
—
37.68
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO19.82
PPG0.61
GF0.61
GA0.15
PPG0.00
PPG1.39
PPG0.60
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches51
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches30
Clean-sheet rate25.8%
Failed-to-score rate35.5%
History Matches51
Goals Mean0.61
Goals Std0.75
Scored 1+ rate4.3%
Scored 2+ rate17.5%
Scored 3+ rate23.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.58
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std1.19
History Matches51
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std0.47
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate1.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-1.32
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.17
History Matches51
Result entropy0.45
Goal Difference Std0.65
Stability score-44.77
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.91
Eligible Matches51
Lead Matches16
Lead Win Rate-0.29
Lead Points Retention-0.24
Trailing Matches15
Non-loss rate15.8%
Trailing Win Rate5.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches51
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean0.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.53
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count4
Rest days0.95
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches19
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.48
Long Rest History Matches30
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.47
Current Team ELO19.82
Current Opponent ELO-19.82
Current ELO Difference39.64
Expected score0.06
History Matches51
Residual Mean0.22
Overperformance4.75
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Favoritner AC

L
Gloggnitz3–0Favoritner AC31 Oct · away
Pick: Gloggnitz 47% · hit
L
Oberwart3–0Favoritner AC23 Oct · away
Pick: Oberwart 64% · hit
L
Favoritner AC1–2Traiskirchen16 Oct · home
Pick: Favoritner AC 45% · missed
W
Wienerberg0–2Favoritner AC29 Aug · away
Pick: Favoritner AC 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Mattersburg SV 2020

D
Mattersburg SV 20201–1Oberwart31 Oct · home
Pick: Oberwart 52% · missed
L
Traiskirchen2–1Mattersburg SV 202023 Oct · away
Pick: Traiskirchen 66% · hit
W
Mattersburg SV 20201–0SV Horn16 Oct · home
Pick: SV Horn 46% · missed
W
Fach-Donaufeld0–2Mattersburg SV 202029 Aug · away
Pick: Fach-Donaufeld 64% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Favoritner AC and Mattersburg SV 2020 meet in Regionalliga - Ost on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:10 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Favoritner AC win 58.1%, draw 19.3%, Mattersburg SV 2020 win 22.6%. The pick is Favoritner AC win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.2%. Both teams to score: 47.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.