ScoreProb
Division One League Ghana Round 7 2026

Golden Warriors vs WAFA

Golden Warriors Home · Elo 1,500
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
WAFA Away · Elo 1,505
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Golden Warriors win
Golden Warriors winPick
40.4%
Draw
33.3%
WAFA win
26.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.0%
No49.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%

How much we know

Golden Warriors history19 matches
WAFA history19 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Golden Warriors are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,500 against 1,505. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.32 goals a game over 19 matches for Golden Warriors, against 1.21 over 19 for WAFA.

  • Defences are close

    Golden Warriors concede 1.21 a game, WAFA 1.21.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    47% of Golden Warriors matches, against 53% for WAFA. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 30 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Golden Warriors
WAFA@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.0
ELO
1504.8
19
ELO · Matches
19
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1504.8
1504.8
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-4.74
Current ELO Difference
4.74
0.49
Expected score
0.51
19
History Matches
19
0.00
Residual Mean
0.02
50.24
Overperformance
50.84
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
1.30
Goals against per game
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.11
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.20
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.75
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.81
Overall performance9 signals
90
19
Matches
19
1.32
PPG
1.42
31.6%
Win rate
36.8%
36.8%
Draw rate
31.6%
31.6%
Loss rate
31.6%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
47.4%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
21.1%
Over 3.5 rate
15.8%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
Venue performance10 signals
100
10
Matches
9
1.50
PPG
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
22.2%
30.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
30.0%
Loss rate
44.4%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
11.1%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.33
10
History Matches
9
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.32
Goals for per game
1.21
73.7%
Scoring rate
73.7%
57.9%
BTTS rate
57.9%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
55.6%
19
History Matches
19
1.32
Goals Mean
1.21
1.17
Goals Std
0.95
73.7%
Scored 1+ rate
73.7%
42.1%
Scored 2+ rate
36.8%
5.3%
Scored 3+ rate
10.5%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.21
Goals against per game
1.21
73.7%
Conceding rate
68.4%
1.10
Goals against per game
1.33
60.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
19
History Matches
19
1.21
Conceded Mean
1.21
1.06
Conceded Std
1.06
31.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.8%
10.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.8%
1.10
Venue Conceded Mean
1.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
19
History Matches
19
1.00
Result entropy
1.00
1.77
Goal Difference Std
1.41
0.25
Stability score
0.25
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
11
Eligible Matches
10
7
Lead Matches
2
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
1.00
4
Trailing Matches
2
25.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
11
Halftime Coverage Matches
10
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.20
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.20
1.09
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.55
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
161.2
Rest days
176.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
5
Normal Rest History Matches
9
1.60
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.22
13
Long Rest History Matches
9
1.08
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.78
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
19
Clean History Matches
19
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-4.74
PPG-0.11
GF0.11
GA0.00
PPG0.50
PPG1.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate6.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std0.22
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate5.3%
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.00
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.30
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.36
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.07
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.14
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate25.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean0.35
Second Half Goals For Mean0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-14.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.38
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.70
Current Team ELO-4.74
Current Opponent ELO4.74
Current ELO Difference-9.49
Expected score-0.01
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.60
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Golden Warriors

No earlier results with our pick yet

WAFA

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Golden Warriors and WAFA meet in Division One League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Golden Warriors win 40.4%, draw 33.3%, WAFA win 26.3%. The pick is Golden Warriors win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.5%. Both teams to score: 51.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.