Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Slavoj Český Krumlov
Match result probability Model pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou win
Hluboka nad Vltavou winPick
72.0%
Draw
14.1%
Slavoj Český Krumlov win
14.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes61.2%
No38.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%
How much we know
Hluboka nad Vltavou history54 matches
Slavoj Český Krumlov history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Hluboka nad Vltavou
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (72.0%). Picks in that band won 76.0% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 601 matches.
Why Hluboka nad Vltavou are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Hluboka nad Vltavou are rated 59 Elo points higher
Elo 1,552 against 1,493. On rating alone Hluboka nad Vltavou would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
Slavoj Český Krumlov score more
1.72 goals a game over 54 matches for Hluboka nad Vltavou, against 2.06 over 49 for Slavoj Český Krumlov.
-
Hluboka nad Vltavou concede fewer
Hluboka nad Vltavou concede 1.48 a game, Slavoj Český Krumlov 2.04.
-
Slavoj Český Krumlov games more often go over 2.5 goals
59% of Hluboka nad Vltavou matches, against 76% for Slavoj Český Krumlov. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavoj Český Krumlov@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1551.7
ELO
1493.1
54
ELO · Matches
49
1551.7
Current Team ELO
1493.1
1493.1
Current Opponent ELO
1551.7
58.58
Current ELO Difference
-58.58
0.58
Expected score
0.42
54
History Matches
49
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.01
53.98
Overperformance
49.60
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
0.80
Goals against per game
2.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
1.30
2.10
Goals for per game
2.30
1.10
Goals against per game
2.50
70.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.58
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.85
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.69
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.16
Overall performance9 signals 90
54
Matches
49
1.52
PPG
1.47
42.6%
Win rate
44.9%
24.1%
Draw rate
12.2%
33.3%
Loss rate
42.9%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
93.9%
59.3%
Over 2.5 rate
75.5%
40.7%
Over 3.5 rate
55.1%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.37
Venue performance10 signals 100
29
Matches
24
1.66
PPG
1.58
48.3%
Win rate
50.0%
20.7%
Draw rate
8.3%
31.0%
Loss rate
41.7%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
48.3%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
2.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.75
29
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.72
Goals for per game
2.06
85.2%
Scoring rate
83.7%
64.8%
BTTS rate
71.4%
1.93
Goals for per game
2.25
86.2%
Scoring rate
83.3%
65.5%
BTTS rate
70.8%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
33.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
49
1.72
Goals Mean
2.06
1.41
Goals Std
1.57
85.2%
Scored 1+ rate
83.7%
46.3%
Scored 2+ rate
57.1%
22.2%
Scored 3+ rate
34.7%
1.93
Venue Goals Mean
2.25
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.48
Goals against per game
2.04
75.9%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.52
Goals against per game
2.08
75.9%
Conceding rate
87.5%
0.67
Goals against per game
3.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
49
1.48
Conceded Mean
2.04
1.26
Conceded Std
1.54
40.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
59.2%
22.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.6%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
2.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
54
History Matches
49
0.98
Result entropy
0.89
1.95
Goal Difference Std
2.37
2.37
Stability score
10.81
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
54
Eligible Matches
49
20
Lead Matches
16
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.92
15
Trailing Matches
18
20.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.83
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.10
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
80.04
Rest days
83.36
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
28
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.13
24
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.94
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.60
Portability PPG Std
0.26
1.67
Portability PPG Range
0.60
45.47
Portability Score
66.06
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
54
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO58.58
PPG0.05
GF-0.34
GA-0.56
PPG1.33
PPG0.07
PPG0.80
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate9.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate11.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches5
Goals Mean-0.34
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate1.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.27
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.56
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate9.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.64
History Matches5
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.42
Stability score-8.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.37
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate2.5%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate3.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.27
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.34
Portability PPG Range1.07
Portability Score-20.59
Rest days-3.32
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.76
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.82
Current Team ELO58.58
Current Opponent ELO-58.58
Current ELO Difference117.2
Expected score0.17
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.37
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.29
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Hluboka nad Vltavou
W
Hluboka nad Vltavou1–0Rokycany30 Oct · home
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 57% · hit W
Strakonice1–2Hluboka nad Vltavou25 Oct · away
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 49% · hit L
Hluboka nad Vltavou1–3Spartak Pribram16 Oct · home
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 48% · missed L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0–2Viktoria Žižkov25 Aug · home
Pick: Viktoria Žižkov 42% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Slavoj Český Krumlov
L
Petřín Plzeň4–0Slavoj Český Krumlov31 Oct · away
Pick: Petřín Plzeň 65% · hit D
Slavoj Český Krumlov2–2Hořovicko24 Oct · home
Pick: Hořovicko 45% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Hluboka nad Vltavou and Slavoj Český Krumlov meet in 4. liga - Divizie A on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Hluboka nad Vltavou win 72.0%, draw 14.1%, Slavoj Český Krumlov win 14.0%. The pick is Hluboka nad Vltavou win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.6%. Both teams to score: 61.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.