ScoreProb
League Two China Relegation Group - 30 2026

Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Dalian Yingbo B

Hubei Chufeng Heli Home · Elo 1,477
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dalian Yingbo B Away · Elo 1,497
Xinhua Road Sports Center, Wuhan Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hubei Chufeng Heli win
Hubei Chufeng Heli winPick
52.0%
Draw
26.3%
Dalian Yingbo B win
21.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.543.0%
Under 2.557.0%

How much we know

Hubei Chufeng Heli history55 matches
Dalian Yingbo B history22 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 21 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 06:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Hubei Chufeng Heli are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,477 against 1,497. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Hubei Chufeng Heli score more

    1.13 goals a game over 55 matches for Hubei Chufeng Heli, against 0.95 over 22 for Dalian Yingbo B.

  • Dalian Yingbo B concede fewer

    Hubei Chufeng Heli concede 1.42 a game, Dalian Yingbo B 1.00.

  • Hubei Chufeng Heli games more often go over 2.5 goals

    47% of Hubei Chufeng Heli matches, against 32% for Dalian Yingbo B. The model puts this match at 43% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Dalian Yingbo B
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1476.5
ELO
1497.1
55
ELO · Matches
22
1476.5
Current Team ELO
1497.1
1497.1
Current Opponent ELO
1476.5
-20.61
Current ELO Difference
20.61
0.47
Expected score
0.53
55
History Matches
22
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.01
48.66
Overperformance
49.67
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.40
0.60
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.20
1.20
Goals for per game
0.90
1.10
Goals against per game
1.10
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.25
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.30
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
0.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.98
Overall performance9 signals
90
55
Matches
22
1.13
PPG
1.27
27.3%
Win rate
27.3%
30.9%
Draw rate
45.5%
41.8%
Loss rate
27.3%
69.1%
Over 1.5 rate
59.1%
47.3%
Over 2.5 rate
31.8%
29.1%
Over 3.5 rate
13.6%
1.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
11
1.00
PPG
1.36
21.4%
Win rate
27.3%
35.7%
Draw rate
54.5%
42.9%
Loss rate
18.2%
67.9%
Over 1.5 rate
45.5%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
9.1%
21.4%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
28
History Matches
11
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.13
Goals for per game
0.95
63.6%
Scoring rate
59.1%
49.1%
BTTS rate
45.5%
0.93
Goals for per game
0.55
60.7%
Scoring rate
45.5%
46.4%
BTTS rate
27.3%
1.32
Goals for per game
0.95
72.7%
Scoring rate
59.1%
50.0%
BTTS rate
45.5%
55
History Matches
22
1.13
Goals Mean
0.95
1.11
Goals Std
0.98
63.6%
Scored 1+ rate
59.1%
32.7%
Scored 2+ rate
27.3%
12.7%
Scored 3+ rate
9.1%
0.93
Venue Goals Mean
0.55
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.42
Goals against per game
1.00
70.9%
Conceding rate
59.1%
1.29
Goals against per game
0.64
67.9%
Conceding rate
45.5%
1.05
Goals against per game
1.00
63.6%
Conceding rate
59.1%
55
History Matches
22
1.42
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.26
Conceded Std
1.04
43.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
31.8%
18.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.5%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
0.64
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.1%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
54.5%
39.3%
Failed-to-score rate
54.5%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
27.3%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
29.1%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
54.5%
39.3%
Failed-to-score rate
54.5%
29.1%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
55
History Matches
22
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.55
Goal Difference Std
0.98
1.53
Stability score
2.87
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
55
Eligible Matches
22
16
Lead Matches
5
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.67
17
Trailing Matches
5
11.8%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
22
0.56
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.55
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.79
Rest days
76.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
37
Normal Rest History Matches
14
1.27
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
15
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.86
Competition & season17 signals
170
22
Matches
22
1.55
PPG
1.27
40.9%
Win rate
27.3%
31.8%
Draw rate
45.5%
27.3%
Loss rate
27.3%
59.1%
Over 1.5 rate
59.1%
45.5%
Over 2.5 rate
31.8%
18.2%
Over 3.5 rate
13.6%
1.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
22
Current Competition Matches
22
1.55
Current Competition PPG
1.27
0.27
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.05
4
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.32
Portability PPG Std
—
0.65
Portability PPG Range
—
60.77
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
55
Clean History Matches
22
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-20.61
PPG-0.15
GF0.17
GA0.42
PPG0.27
PPG-0.36
PPG-0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches33
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches33
Goals Mean0.17
Goals Std0.14
Scored 1+ rate4.5%
Scored 2+ rate5.5%
Scored 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.31
History Matches33
Conceded Mean0.42
Conceded Std0.22
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate11.8%
Conceded 3+ rate13.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches33
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.57
Stability score-1.34
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches33
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate2.5%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate-0.28
Trailing Win Rate-0.14
Halftime Coverage Matches33
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.30
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.27
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.32
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-1.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches23
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.23
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.14
Current Team ELO-20.61
Current Opponent ELO20.61
Current ELO Difference-41.22
Expected score-0.06
History Matches33
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-1.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hubei Chufeng Heli

L
Rizhao Yuqi3–1Hubei Chufeng Heli31 Oct · away
Pick: Rizhao Yuqi 40% · hit
D
Hubei Chufeng Heli1–1Shanghai Second25 Oct · home
Pick: Hubei Chufeng Heli 56% · missed
L
Changchun Xidu1–0Hubei Chufeng Heli18 Oct · away
Pick: Hubei Chufeng Heli 36% · missed
W
Hubei Chufeng Heli2–0Rizhao Yuqi6 Oct · home
Pick: Hubei Chufeng Heli 40% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dalian Yingbo B

L
Dalian Yingbo B1–2Guangdong Mingtu31 Oct · home
Pick: Dalian Yingbo B 42% · missed
W
Guangzhou Dandelion1–2Dalian Yingbo B24 Oct · away
Pick: Guangzhou Dandelion 48% · missed
W
Dalian Yingbo B4–0Yichun Grand Tiger18 Oct · home
Pick: Dalian Yingbo B 45% · hit
D
Guangdong Mingtu1–1Dalian Yingbo B6 Oct · away
Pick: Guangdong Mingtu 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hubei Chufeng Heli and Dalian Yingbo B meet in League Two on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 06:30 UTC. The match is played at Xinhua Road Sports Center, Wuhan. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hubei Chufeng Heli win 52.0%, draw 26.3%, Dalian Yingbo B win 21.7%. The pick is Hubei Chufeng Heli win. Over 2.5 goals: 43.0%. Both teams to score: 46.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.