ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Hvězda Cheb vs Tempo Praha

Hvězda Cheb Home · Elo 1,477
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tempo Praha Away · Elo 1,543
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Tempo Praha win
Hvězda Cheb win
21.9%
Draw
21.2%
Tempo Praha winPick
57.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.5%
No38.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.578.3%
Under 2.521.7%

How much we know

Hvězda Cheb history4 matches
Tempo Praha history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Tempo Praha are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tempo Praha are rated 66 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,543 against 1,477. On rating alone Tempo Praha would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Tempo Praha score more

    1.75 goals a game over 4 matches for Hvězda Cheb, against 2.37 over 54 for Tempo Praha.

  • Tempo Praha concede fewer

    Hvězda Cheb concede 3.50 a game, Tempo Praha 1.61.

  • Hvězda Cheb games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Hvězda Cheb matches, against 80% for Tempo Praha. The model puts this match at 78% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hvězda Cheb
Tempo Praha
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1477.2
ELO
1543.1
4
ELO · Matches
54
1477.2
Current Team ELO
1543.1
1543.1
Current Opponent ELO
1477.2
-65.85
Current ELO Difference
65.85
0.41
Expected score
0.59
4
History Matches
54
-0.24
Residual Mean
0.05
46.04
Overperformance
53.36
-0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
4
Matches
5
0.75
PPG
1.40
1.75
Goals for per game
2.60
3.50
Goals against per game
1.60
25.0%
Win rate
40.0%
4
Matches
10
0.75
PPG
1.50
1.75
Goals for per game
2.00
3.50
Goals against per game
1.30
25.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.75
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.79
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.48
3.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.51
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
4
Matches
54
0.75
PPG
1.56
25.0%
Win rate
44.4%
0.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
75.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
96.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
79.6%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
51.9%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.52
Venue performance10 signals
100
3
Matches
25
1.00
PPG
1.20
33.3%
Win rate
32.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
24.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
44.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
76.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
3
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.75
Goals for per game
2.37
50.0%
Scoring rate
92.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
77.8%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.88
66.7%
Scoring rate
88.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
76.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.67
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
54
1.75
Goals Mean
2.37
1.79
Goals Std
1.91
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
92.6%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
55.6%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
38.9%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.88
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
3.50
Goals against per game
1.61
100.0%
Conceding rate
83.3%
3.33
Goals against per game
1.68
100.0%
Conceding rate
84.0%
3.67
Goals against per game
1.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
54
3.50
Conceded Mean
1.61
0.50
Conceded Std
1.19
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.1%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.4%
3.33
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
7.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
7.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
4
History Matches
54
0.51
Result entropy
0.97
1.92
Goal Difference Std
2.52
48.81
Stability score
3.44
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
4
Eligible Matches
52
0
Lead Matches
18
—
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.91
3
Trailing Matches
16
0.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.98
1.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
1.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.25
1.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.00
Rest days
77.32
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
3
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
0
Long Rest History Matches
23
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
1.33
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
2
Competition Season Count
6
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.69
—
Portability PPG Range
1.88
—
Portability Score
41.97
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
4
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-65.85
PPG-0.81
GF-0.62
GA1.89
PPG-0.33
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.65
PPG-0.75
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-50
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate42.6%
History Matches-22
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate21.3%
History Matches-50
Goals Mean-0.62
Goals Std-0.12
Scored 1+ rate-0.43
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate11.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.45
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.25
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches-50
Conceded Mean1.89
Conceded Std-0.69
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate51.9%
Conceded 3+ rate79.6%
Venue Conceded Mean1.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.40
History Matches-50
Result entropy-0.45
Goal Difference Std-0.60
Stability score45.38
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-48
Lead Matches-18
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate-0.25
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-48
First Half Goals For Mean-0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.04
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days0.68
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-27
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Long Rest History Matches-23
Current Team ELO-65.85
Current Opponent ELO65.85
Current ELO Difference-131.7
Expected score-0.19
History Matches-50
Residual Mean-0.28
Overperformance-7.32
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hvězda Cheb

L
Ostrov3–0Hvězda Cheb31 Oct · away
Pick: Ostrov 60% · hit
L
Hvězda Cheb1–2Karlovy Vary23 Oct · home
Pick: Karlovy Vary 69% · hit
W
Hvězda Cheb6–0Ústí nad Labem II17 Oct · home
Pick: Hvězda Cheb 52% · hit
W
Slavoj Vyšehrad1–2Hvězda Cheb29 Aug · away
Pick: Slavoj Vyšehrad 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Tempo Praha

D
Tempo Praha2–2Slaný31 Oct · home
Pick: Tempo Praha 40% · missed
L
Štětí1–0Tempo Praha24 Oct · away
Pick: Tempo Praha 46% · missed
W
Tempo Praha4–2Meteor Praha17 Oct · home
Pick: Tempo Praha 56% · hit
W
Brandýs nad Labem1–2Tempo Praha29 Aug · away
Pick: Brandýs nad Labem 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hvězda Cheb and Tempo Praha meet in 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hvězda Cheb win 21.9%, draw 21.2%, Tempo Praha win 57.0%. The pick is Tempo Praha win. Over 2.5 goals: 78.3%. Both teams to score: 61.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.