JS Saoura vs Khenchela
Match result probability Model pick: JS Saoura win
JS Saoura winPick
48.6%
Draw
29.2%
Khenchela win
22.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.3%
No50.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
How much we know
JS Saoura history50 matches
Khenchela history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours JS Saoura
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 16:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,387 matches.
Why JS Saoura are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
JS Saoura are rated 73 Elo points higher
Elo 1,608 against 1,535. On rating alone JS Saoura would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.32 goals a game over 50 matches for JS Saoura, against 1.19 over 47 for Khenchela.
-
JS Saoura concede fewer
JS Saoura concede 0.88 a game, Khenchela 1.36.
-
Khenchela games more often go over 2.5 goals
42% of JS Saoura matches, against 55% for Khenchela. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 6 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Khenchela@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1607.6
ELO
1534.8
50
ELO · Matches
47
1607.6
Current Team ELO
1534.8
1534.8
Current Opponent ELO
1607.6
72.74
Current ELO Difference
-72.74
0.60
Expected score
0.40
50
History Matches
47
0.10
Residual Mean
0.03
57.39
Overperformance
52.27
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
2.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
0.20
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
1.90
1.60
Goals for per game
1.50
0.40
Goals against per game
1.30
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.81
0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.49
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.47
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.66
Overall performance9 signals 90
50
Matches
47
1.82
PPG
1.43
54.0%
Win rate
40.4%
20.0%
Draw rate
21.3%
26.0%
Loss rate
38.3%
62.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.6%
42.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.3%
18.0%
Over 3.5 rate
19.1%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
Venue performance10 signals 100
24
Matches
25
2.29
PPG
0.88
70.8%
Win rate
24.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
16.0%
12.5%
Loss rate
60.0%
70.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.0%
54.2%
Over 2.5 rate
68.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.55
24
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.32
Goals for per game
1.19
72.0%
Scoring rate
76.6%
44.0%
BTTS rate
55.3%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.04
87.5%
Scoring rate
68.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
50
History Matches
47
1.32
Goals Mean
1.19
1.07
Goals Std
0.89
72.0%
Scored 1+ rate
76.6%
44.0%
Scored 2+ rate
34.0%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
8.5%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.88
Goals against per game
1.36
64.0%
Conceding rate
76.6%
0.83
Goals against per game
1.84
50.0%
Conceding rate
92.0%
50
History Matches
47
0.88
Conceded Mean
1.36
0.82
Conceded Std
1.02
20.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.7%
4.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.8%
0.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.84
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
8.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
8.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
50
History Matches
47
0.91
Result entropy
0.97
1.33
Goal Difference Std
1.49
8.53
Stability score
3.24
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
50
Eligible Matches
47
18
Lead Matches
16
94.4%
Lead Win Rate
68.8%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.75
10
Trailing Matches
10
30.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.64
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
0.68
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
160.9
Rest days
161.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
21
Normal Rest History Matches
18
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
27
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.78
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.32
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.24
Portability PPG Std
0.07
0.56
Portability PPG Range
0.13
67.72
Portability Score
88.24
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
50
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO72.74
PPG0.39
GF0.13
GA-0.48
PPG1.41
PPG0.20
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate12.6%
Failed-to-score rate4.6%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate42.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.13
Goals Std0.18
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate10.0%
Scored 3+ rate5.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.63
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.55
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.48
Conceded Std-0.20
Clean-sheet rate12.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-1.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.61
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score5.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.19
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate25.7%
Lead Points Retention0.21
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate20.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.17
Portability PPG Range0.43
Portability Score-20.52
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.33
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.46
Current Team ELO72.74
Current Opponent ELO-72.74
Current ELO Difference145.5
Expected score0.21
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
JS Saoura
L
CR Belouizdad1–0JS Saoura2 Nov · away
Pick: CR Belouizdad 53% · hit D
JS Saoura0–0Ben Aknoun24 Oct · home
Pick: JS Saoura 43% · missed L
MB Rouisset1–0JS Saoura18 Oct · away
Pick: JS Saoura 35% · missed D
JS Saoura0–0Olympique Akbou8 Oct · home
Pick: JS Saoura 38% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Khenchela
L
Khenchela0–3JS Kabylie24 Oct · home
Pick: JS Kabylie 38% · hit L
MC Oran1–0Khenchela17 Oct · away
Pick: MC Oran 44% · hit W
Khenchela2–0CS Constantine12 Oct · home
Pick: CS Constantine 34% · missed L
CR Belouizdad1–0Khenchela7 Oct · away
Pick: CR Belouizdad 58% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
JS Saoura and Khenchela meet in Ligue 1 on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: JS Saoura win 48.6%, draw 29.2%, Khenchela win 22.2%. The pick is JS Saoura win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.5%. Both teams to score: 49.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.