Karpaty Lviv U19 vs Lviv U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Karpaty Lviv U19 win
Karpaty Lviv U19 winPick Result
63.6%
Draw
19.5%
Lviv U19 win
16.9%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickKarpaty Lviv U19 win · 63.6%
What happenedKarpaty Lviv U19 win · we gave it 63.6%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 68.2%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickNo · 56.7%
What happenedYes · 2–1
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Karpaty Lviv U19 win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
64%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.6
on average A pick at 64% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes43.3%
No56.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
How much we know
Karpaty Lviv U19 history44 matches
Lviv U19 history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full time: 2–1Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Karpaty Lviv U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Karpaty Lviv U19 are rated 46 Elo points higher
Elo 1,525 against 1,479. On rating alone Karpaty Lviv U19 would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.
-
Karpaty Lviv U19 score far more
1.98 goals a game over 44 matches for Karpaty Lviv U19, against 0.33 over 3 for Lviv U19.
-
Karpaty Lviv U19 concede fewer
Karpaty Lviv U19 concede 1.48 a game, Lviv U19 2.00.
-
Karpaty Lviv U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals
57% of Karpaty Lviv U19 matches, against 33% for Lviv U19. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 19 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Lviv U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1524.9
ELO
1478.9
44
ELO · Matches
3
1524.9
Current Team ELO
1478.9
1478.9
Current Opponent ELO
1524.9
45.99
Current ELO Difference
-45.99
0.57
Expected score
0.43
44
History Matches
3
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.37
51.60
Overperformance
45.12
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.37
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
3
1.20
PPG
0.00
1.80
Goals for per game
0.33
2.40
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
0.00
2.30
Goals for per game
0.33
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.33
1.27
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.47
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.82
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.47
Overall performance9 signals 90
44
Matches
3
1.57
PPG
0.00
45.5%
Win rate
0.0%
20.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
34.1%
Loss rate
100.0%
84.1%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
56.8%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
47.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
2
1.52
PPG
0.00
42.9%
Win rate
0.0%
23.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
21
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.98
Goals for per game
0.33
75.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
56.8%
BTTS rate
33.3%
2.33
Goals for per game
0.50
81.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
71.4%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
50.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
44
History Matches
3
1.98
Goals Mean
0.33
1.89
Goals Std
0.47
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
33.3%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
29.5%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
0.50
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.48
Goals against per game
2.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.57
Goals against per game
2.50
81.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
44
History Matches
3
1.48
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.41
Conceded Std
0.82
36.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.7%
20.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.57
Venue Conceded Mean
2.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
44
History Matches
3
0.96
Result entropy
0.00
2.62
Goal Difference Std
0.47
4.44
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
44
Eligible Matches
3
15
Lead Matches
1
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.00
14
Trailing Matches
1
28.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
1.14
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.67
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
83.90
Rest days
77.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
26
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.35
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
17
Long Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
2
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.25
Portability PPG Std
—
0.50
Portability PPG Range
—
66.61
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
44
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO45.99
PPG1.57
GF1.64
GA-0.52
PPG3.00
PPG1.52
PPG1.20
PPG1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches41
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.42
History Matches19
Clean-sheet rate19.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.31
History Matches41
Goals Mean1.64
Goals Std1.42
Scored 1+ rate41.7%
Scored 2+ rate50.0%
Scored 3+ rate29.5%
Venue Goals Mean1.83
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.97
Recent 10 Goals Std0.80
History Matches41
Conceded Mean-0.52
Conceded Std0.59
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.93
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.51
History Matches41
Result entropy0.96
Goal Difference Std2.15
Stability score-95.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.63
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.74
Eligible Matches41
Lead Matches14
Lead Win Rate93.3%
Lead Points Retention0.96
Trailing Matches13
Non-loss rate28.6%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches41
First Half Goals For Mean0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean0.44
Second Half Goals For Mean1.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.96
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.17
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days6.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches25
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.35
Long Rest History Matches16
Long Rest Points Per Match2.00
Current Team ELO45.99
Current Opponent ELO-45.99
Current ELO Difference91.98
Expected score0.13
History Matches41
Residual Mean0.40
Overperformance6.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.35
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Karpaty Lviv U19
W
Kolos Kovalivka U190–1Karpaty Lviv U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Karpaty Lviv U19 40% · hit D
Karpaty Lviv U190–0Metalist 1925 U1921 Oct · home
Pick: Karpaty Lviv U19 65% · missed L
Dynamo Kyiv U191–0Karpaty Lviv U1914 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 69% · hit W
Karpaty Lviv U192–0Zhytomyr U197 Oct · home
Pick: Karpaty Lviv U19 47% · hit W
SK Metalurh U191–5Karpaty Lviv U199 Sep · away
Pick: Karpaty Lviv U19 52% · hit Lviv U19
W
Lviv U192–0SK Metalurh U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Lviv U19 40% · hit W
Kolos Kovalivka U191–3Lviv U1921 Oct · away
Pick: Kolos Kovalivka U19 57% · missed L
Lviv U190–3Livyi Bereh U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Livyi Bereh U19 46% · hit L
Metalist 1925 U193–2Lviv U197 Oct · away
Pick: Metalist 1925 U19 53% · hit L
Lviv U191–2Rukh Vynnyky U199 Sep · home
Pick: Rukh Vynnyky U19 66% · hit Match report
Karpaty Lviv U19 and Lviv U19 finished 2–1 in U19 League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 1–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Karpaty Lviv U19 win 63.6%, draw 19.5%, Lviv U19 win 16.9%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.