ScoreProb
Pro League U23 United Arab Emirates Round 8 2026

Khorfakkan U23 vs Hatta U23

Khorfakkan U23 Home · Elo 1,421
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hatta U23 Away · Elo 1,492
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hatta U23 win
Khorfakkan U23 win
25.6%
Draw
17.8%
Hatta U23 winPick
56.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%

How much we know

Khorfakkan U23 history15 matches
Hatta U23 history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:55 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Hatta U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hatta U23 are rated 71 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,492 against 1,421. On rating alone Hatta U23 would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Hatta U23 score far more

    0.80 goals a game over 15 matches for Khorfakkan U23, against 1.50 over 2 for Hatta U23.

  • Hatta U23 concede fewer

    Khorfakkan U23 concede 2.80 a game, Hatta U23 2.00.

  • Hatta U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of Khorfakkan U23 matches, against 100% for Hatta U23. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Khorfakkan U23
Hatta U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1420.8
ELO
1491.6
15
ELO · Matches
2
1420.8
Current Team ELO
1491.6
1491.6
Current Opponent ELO
1420.8
-70.79
Current ELO Difference
70.79
0.40
Expected score
0.60
15
History Matches
2
-0.27
Residual Mean
-0.21
38.49
Overperformance
48.10
-0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
0.60
PPG
0.50
0.80
Goals for per game
1.50
3.20
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
0.50
0.90
Goals for per game
1.50
3.10
Goals against per game
2.00
10.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
3.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.64
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.00
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
15
Matches
2
0.40
PPG
0.50
6.7%
Win rate
0.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
73.3%
Loss rate
50.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
7
Matches
1
0.71
PPG
1.00
14.3%
Win rate
0.0%
28.6%
Draw rate
100.0%
57.1%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
7
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.80
Goals for per game
1.50
53.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
53.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
71.4%
Scoring rate
100.0%
71.4%
BTTS rate
100.0%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.50
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
15
History Matches
2
0.80
Goals Mean
1.50
0.98
Goals Std
0.50
53.3%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
13.3%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
13.3%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.80
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.71
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.50
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
15
History Matches
2
2.80
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.51
Conceded Std
0.00
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
60.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
2.71
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
46.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
46.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
15
History Matches
2
0.66
Result entropy
0.63
1.83
Goal Difference Std
0.50
33.56
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
13
Eligible Matches
2
1
Lead Matches
0
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.33
Lead Points Retention
—
11
Trailing Matches
2
18.2%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
13
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.23
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.46
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.50
1.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.95
Rest days
76.95
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
6
Normal Rest History Matches
1
0.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
8
Long Rest History Matches
0
0.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.50
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.50
-2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
2
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
15
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-70.79
PPG-0.10
GF-0.70
GA0.80
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.29
PPG0.10
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate46.7%
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate28.6%
History Matches13
Goals Mean-0.70
Goals Std0.48
Scored 1+ rate-0.47
Scored 2+ rate-0.37
Scored 3+ rate13.3%
Venue Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.64
History Matches13
Conceded Mean0.80
Conceded Std1.51
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.33
Conceded 3+ rate60.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.71
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.64
History Matches13
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std1.33
Stability score-3.34
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.59
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches1
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.32
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.46
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.46
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.33
Long Rest History Matches8
Current Team ELO-70.79
Current Opponent ELO70.79
Current ELO Difference-141.6
Expected score-0.20
History Matches13
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-9.61
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Khorfakkan U23

L
Khorfakkan U230–4United FC U2331 Oct · home
Pick: United FC U23 65% · hit
L
Al Wahda U232–0Khorfakkan U2319 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wahda U23 79% · hit
D
Al Dhafra U231–1Khorfakkan U2330 Aug · away
Pick: Al Dhafra U23 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hatta U23

W
Hatta U234–0Al Wahda U232 Nov · home
Pick: Al Wahda U23 46% · missed
D
Hatta U232–2Al Nasr U2318 Oct · home
Pick: Hatta U23 42% · missed
L
Al Sharjah U231–0Hatta U2331 Aug · away
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 66% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Khorfakkan U23 and Hatta U23 meet in Pro League U23 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:55 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Khorfakkan U23 win 25.6%, draw 17.8%, Hatta U23 win 56.7%. The pick is Hatta U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.5%. Both teams to score: 58.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.