ScoreProb
Tweede Divisie Netherlands Round 13 2026

Kloetinge vs Hoek

Kloetinge Home · Elo 1,620
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hoek Away · Elo 1,588
Sportpark Wesselopark, Kloetinge Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kloetinge win
Kloetinge winPick
36.3%
Draw
27.8%
Hoek win
35.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.0%
No40.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%

How much we know

Kloetinge history49 matches
Hoek history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,748 matches.

Why Kloetinge are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kloetinge are rated 32 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,620 against 1,588. On rating alone Kloetinge would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.06 goals a game over 49 matches for Kloetinge, against 1.97 over 58 for Hoek.

  • Hoek concede fewer

    Kloetinge concede 1.37 a game, Hoek 1.07.

  • Kloetinge games more often go over 2.5 goals

    71% of Kloetinge matches, against 60% for Hoek. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kloetinge
Hoek@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1620.3
ELO
1588.2
49
ELO · Matches
58
1620.3
Current Team ELO
1588.2
1588.2
Current Opponent ELO
1620.3
32.07
Current ELO Difference
-32.07
0.55
Expected score
0.45
49
History Matches
58
0.12
Residual Mean
0.07
58.19
Overperformance
55.58
0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.60
3.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
1.70
2.50
Goals for per game
2.30
1.30
Goals against per game
1.30
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
58
2.02
PPG
1.93
59.2%
Win rate
56.9%
24.5%
Draw rate
22.4%
16.3%
Loss rate
20.7%
91.8%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
60.3%
46.9%
Over 3.5 rate
39.7%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
28
2.39
PPG
1.82
73.9%
Win rate
53.6%
17.4%
Draw rate
21.4%
8.7%
Loss rate
25.0%
91.3%
Over 1.5 rate
82.1%
73.9%
Over 2.5 rate
64.3%
39.1%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
23
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.06
Goals for per game
1.97
89.8%
Scoring rate
89.7%
71.4%
BTTS rate
63.8%
2.13
Goals for per game
1.96
95.7%
Scoring rate
89.3%
69.6%
BTTS rate
71.4%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
58
2.06
Goals Mean
1.97
1.19
Goals Std
1.39
89.8%
Scored 1+ rate
89.7%
71.4%
Scored 2+ rate
55.2%
30.6%
Scored 3+ rate
29.3%
2.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.37
Goals against per game
1.07
79.6%
Conceding rate
69.0%
1.17
Goals against per game
1.25
73.9%
Conceding rate
78.6%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
58
1.37
Conceded Mean
1.07
1.04
Conceded Std
1.00
38.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.9%
14.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.6%
1.17
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
10.2%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
10.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
10.2%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
10.7%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
58
0.87
Result entropy
0.89
1.64
Goal Difference Std
1.77
13.45
Stability score
10.61
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
38
Eligible Matches
55
17
Lead Matches
14
82.4%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.79
8
Trailing Matches
10
50.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.79
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
1.29
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.18
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.21
Rest days
83.21
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
32
2.16
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.81
23
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
4
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.44
0.28
Portability PPG Range
1.17
78.43
Portability Score
53.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO32.07
PPG0.09
GF0.10
GA0.30
PPG0.00
PPG0.57
PPG0.60
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate0.00
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate4.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-9
Goals Mean0.10
Goals Std-0.20
Scored 1+ rate0.1%
Scored 2+ rate16.3%
Scored 3+ rate1.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.24
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate12.9%
Conceded 3+ rate5.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.41
History Matches-9
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score2.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.75
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate10.9%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate2.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.30
Portability PPG Range-0.89
Portability Score24.99
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.35
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Current Team ELO32.07
Current Opponent ELO-32.07
Current ELO Difference64.15
Expected score0.09
History Matches-9
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.62
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kloetinge

L
Kloetinge0–2Cambuur27 Oct · home
Pick: Cambuur 40% · hit
L
Kloetinge1–3Katwijk24 Oct · home
Pick: Kloetinge 57% · missed
L
Koninklijke HFC2–1Kloetinge17 Oct · away
Pick: Kloetinge 54% · missed
W
NSVV2–4Kloetinge1 Sep · away
Pick: Kloetinge 42% · hit
L
Quick Boys4–0Kloetinge29 Aug · away
Pick: Quick Boys 65% · hit

Hoek

W
Hoek4–2Sparta Nijkerk29 Oct · home
Pick: Hoek 57% · hit
L
Quick Boys3–1Hoek24 Oct · away
Pick: Quick Boys 60% · hit
D
Hoek0–0Kozakken Boys17 Oct · home
Pick: Hoek 51% · missed
L
Hoek0–2Spakenburg29 Aug · home
Pick: Hoek 56% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kloetinge and Hoek meet in Tweede Divisie on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Sportpark Wesselopark, Kloetinge. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Kloetinge win 36.3%, draw 27.8%, Hoek win 35.9%. The pick is Kloetinge win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%. Both teams to score: 60.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.