ScoreProb
Championnat National Benin Round 7 2026

Kraké vs Coton Sport Ouidah

Kraké Home · Elo 1,494
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Coton Sport Ouidah Away · Elo 1,579
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Kraké win
22.2%
DrawPick
39.3%
Coton Sport Ouidah win
38.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes44.1%
No55.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.5%
Under 2.563.5%

How much we know

Kraké history38 matches
Coton Sport Ouidah history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Coton Sport Ouidah are rated 86 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,579 against 1,494. On rating alone Coton Sport Ouidah would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Coton Sport Ouidah score more

    0.97 goals a game over 38 matches for Kraké, against 1.21 over 39 for Coton Sport Ouidah.

  • Coton Sport Ouidah concede fewer

    Kraké concede 1.13 a game, Coton Sport Ouidah 0.69.

  • Kraké games more often go over 2.5 goals

    39% of Kraké matches, against 31% for Coton Sport Ouidah. The model puts this match at 37% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 20 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kraké
Coton Sport Ouidah
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1493.6
ELO
1579.5
38
ELO · Matches
39
1493.6
Current Team ELO
1579.5
1579.5
Current Opponent ELO
1493.6
-85.90
Current ELO Difference
85.90
0.38
Expected score
0.62
38
History Matches
39
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.10
49.26
Overperformance
56.73
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.60
1.30
Goals for per game
1.20
1.10
Goals against per game
0.90
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
0.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.75
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
38
Matches
39
1.08
PPG
1.82
21.1%
Win rate
48.7%
44.7%
Draw rate
35.9%
34.2%
Loss rate
15.4%
68.4%
Over 1.5 rate
61.5%
39.5%
Over 2.5 rate
30.8%
13.2%
Over 3.5 rate
7.7%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
19
1.00
PPG
2.00
22.2%
Win rate
57.9%
33.3%
Draw rate
26.3%
44.4%
Loss rate
15.8%
61.1%
Over 1.5 rate
63.2%
38.9%
Over 2.5 rate
36.8%
5.6%
Over 3.5 rate
5.3%
1.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.08
18
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.97
Goals for per game
1.21
65.8%
Scoring rate
76.9%
60.5%
BTTS rate
46.2%
0.78
Goals for per game
1.32
50.0%
Scoring rate
78.9%
44.4%
BTTS rate
42.1%
38
History Matches
39
0.97
Goals Mean
1.21
0.84
Goals Std
0.94
65.8%
Scored 1+ rate
76.9%
28.9%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
2.6%
Scored 3+ rate
7.7%
0.78
Venue Goals Mean
1.32
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.13
Goals against per game
0.69
78.9%
Conceding rate
56.4%
1.06
Goals against per game
0.63
72.2%
Conceding rate
52.6%
38
History Matches
39
1.13
Conceded Mean
0.69
0.77
Conceded Std
0.72
31.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
10.3%
2.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.6%
1.06
Venue Conceded Mean
0.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
34.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.4%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
34.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.4%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
38
History Matches
39
0.96
Result entropy
0.92
0.87
Goal Difference Std
1.17
3.98
Stability score
8.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
19
Eligible Matches
28
2
Lead Matches
7
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.90
6
Trailing Matches
7
0.0%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
19
Halftime Coverage Matches
28
0.37
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
141.0
Rest days
141.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.21
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.86
18
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.06
Portability PPG Std
0.35
0.12
Portability PPG Range
0.84
89.66
Portability Score
58.96
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
38
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-85.90
PPG-0.74
GF-0.23
GA0.44
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Failed-to-score rate11.1%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Failed-to-score rate28.9%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.23
Goals Std-0.10
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean-0.54
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.09
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.44
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Conceded 2+ rate21.3%
Conceded 3+ rate0.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.42
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.30
Stability score-4.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.44
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate14.3%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.29
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean-0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.29
Portability PPG Range-0.73
Portability Score30.69
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.65
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.71
Current Team ELO-85.90
Current Opponent ELO85.90
Current ELO Difference-171.8
Expected score-0.24
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-7.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kraké

D
Kraké1–1AS Sobemap31 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 44% · hit
D
AS Cotonou0–0Kraké25 Oct · away
Pick: AS Cotonou 37% · missed
W
Kraké2–0Dragons18 Oct · home
Pick: Kraké 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Coton Sport Ouidah

W
Coton Sport Ouidah2–1Panthères31 Oct · home
Pick: Coton Sport Ouidah 56% · hit
L
Damissa3–1Coton Sport Ouidah25 Oct · away
Pick: Coton Sport Ouidah 38% · missed
L
Coton Sport Ouidah1–3Cavaliers17 Oct · home
Pick: Coton Sport Ouidah 42% · missed
L
Coton Sport Ouidah0–1Bani Gansè4 Oct · home
Pick: Coton Sport Ouidah 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kraké and Coton Sport Ouidah meet in Championnat National on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Kraké win 22.2%, draw 39.3%, Coton Sport Ouidah win 38.5%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 36.5%. Both teams to score: 44.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.