ScoreProb
Regionalliga - West Austria West - 15 2026

Kufstein vs Wolfurt

Kufstein Home · Elo 1,422
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wolfurt Away · Elo 1,539
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kufstein win
Kufstein winPick
43.9%
Draw
24.9%
Wolfurt win
31.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.1%
No37.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%

How much we know

Kufstein history51 matches
Wolfurt history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Kufstein are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Wolfurt are rated 116 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,539 against 1,422. On rating alone Wolfurt would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Wolfurt score far more

    1.12 goals a game over 51 matches for Kufstein, against 2.24 over 33 for Wolfurt.

  • Defences are close

    Kufstein concede 1.86 a game, Wolfurt 1.82.

  • Wolfurt games more often go over 2.5 goals

    47% of Kufstein matches, against 82% for Wolfurt. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kufstein
Wolfurt
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1422.3
ELO
1538.7
51
ELO · Matches
33
1422.3
Current Team ELO
1538.7
1538.7
Current Opponent ELO
1422.3
-116.4
Current ELO Difference
116.4
0.34
Expected score
0.66
51
History Matches
33
-0.08
Residual Mean
0.06
44.45
Overperformance
53.45
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.00
1.60
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.60
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.77
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.34
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
33
0.75
PPG
1.64
13.7%
Win rate
51.5%
33.3%
Draw rate
9.1%
52.9%
Loss rate
39.4%
78.4%
Over 1.5 rate
97.0%
47.1%
Over 2.5 rate
81.8%
37.3%
Over 3.5 rate
54.5%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
17
0.92
PPG
1.47
16.7%
Win rate
47.1%
41.7%
Draw rate
5.9%
41.7%
Loss rate
47.1%
70.8%
Over 1.5 rate
94.1%
29.2%
Over 2.5 rate
82.4%
20.8%
Over 3.5 rate
52.9%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.29
24
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.12
Goals for per game
2.24
68.6%
Scoring rate
90.9%
64.7%
BTTS rate
75.8%
0.92
Goals for per game
2.00
62.5%
Scoring rate
82.4%
54.2%
BTTS rate
70.6%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
51
History Matches
33
1.12
Goals Mean
2.24
1.06
Goals Std
1.48
68.6%
Scored 1+ rate
90.9%
27.5%
Scored 2+ rate
69.7%
11.8%
Scored 3+ rate
30.3%
0.92
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.86
Goals against per game
1.82
88.2%
Conceding rate
84.8%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.94
79.2%
Conceding rate
88.2%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
51
History Matches
33
1.86
Conceded Mean
1.82
1.47
Conceded Std
1.31
43.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.5%
31.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
1.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
31.4%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
20.8%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
37.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
31.4%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
20.8%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
37.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.6%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
33
0.89
Result entropy
0.84
1.61
Goal Difference Std
2.09
11.21
Stability score
15.65
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
33
9
Lead Matches
9
44.4%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.48
Lead Points Retention
1.00
21
Trailing Matches
12
23.8%
Non-loss rate
41.7%
4.8%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
33
0.49
First Half Goals For Mean
0.82
0.92
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.42
0.94
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.88
Rest days
76.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.54
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.79
23
Long Rest History Matches
12
0.91
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.25
PPG
1.75
25.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.25
Current Competition PPG
1.75
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
4
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.36
Portability PPG Std
0.25
0.89
Portability PPG Range
0.56
57.84
Portability Score
66.94
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-116.4
PPG-0.89
GF-1.12
GA0.04
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.55
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches18
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate22.3%
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate9.1%
Failed-to-score rate19.9%
History Matches18
Goals Mean-1.12
Goals Std-0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.22
Scored 2+ rate-0.42
Scored 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Goals Mean-1.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.39
History Matches18
Conceded Mean0.04
Conceded Std0.16
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.69
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.58
History Matches18
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.48
Stability score-4.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.84
Eligible Matches18
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.56
Lead Points Retention-0.52
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.18
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches18
First Half Goals For Mean-0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.33
Portability Score-9.10
Rest days0.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.25
Long Rest History Matches11
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Current Team ELO-116.4
Current Opponent ELO116.4
Current ELO Difference-232.8
Expected score-0.32
History Matches18
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kufstein

W
Swarovski Tirol II0–2Kufstein31 Oct · away
Pick: Kufstein 41% · hit
W
Kufstein3–1SVG Reichenau23 Oct · home
Pick: Kufstein 46% · hit
D
Dornbirn0–0Kufstein17 Oct · away
Pick: Dornbirn 63% · missed
D
Röthis0–0Kufstein30 Aug · away
Pick: Röthis 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wolfurt

L
Wolfurt1–4Hohenems31 Oct · home
Pick: Hohenems 54% · hit
L
Kitzbühel3–2Wolfurt23 Oct · away
Pick: Kitzbühel 61% · hit
L
Wolfurt2–5Schwaz18 Oct · home
Pick: Wolfurt 49% · missed
L
Imst2–1Wolfurt29 Aug · away
Pick: Imst 66% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kufstein and Wolfurt meet in Regionalliga - West on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kufstein win 43.9%, draw 24.9%, Wolfurt win 31.2%. The pick is Kufstein win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.8%. Both teams to score: 62.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.