Libertad San Carlos vs Atletico Torque
Match result probability Model pick: Atletico Torque win
Libertad San Carlos win
33.8%
Draw
30.3%
Atletico Torque winPick
35.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes51.6%
No48.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
How much we know
Libertad San Carlos history0 matches
Atletico Torque history59 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Atletico Torque
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 15 h ahead31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
- Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 23:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre6 Nov · 00:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (35.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Atletico Torque are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Atletico Torque are rated 70 Elo points higher
Elo 1,570 against 1,500. On rating alone Atletico Torque would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atletico Torque@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1570.0
0
ELO · Matches
59
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1570.0
1570.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-70.00
Current ELO Difference
70.00
0.40
Expected score
0.60
0
History Matches
59
—
Residual Mean
0.06
—
Overperformance
54.56
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
2.40
—
Goals for per game
1.60
—
Goals against per game
0.60
—
Win rate
80.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
2.20
—
Goals for per game
1.90
—
Goals against per game
1.20
—
Win rate
70.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.68
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
59
—
PPG
1.54
—
Win rate
44.1%
—
Draw rate
22.0%
—
Loss rate
33.9%
—
Over 1.5 rate
74.6%
—
Over 2.5 rate
52.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
32.2%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.67
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
29
—
PPG
1.59
—
Win rate
44.8%
—
Draw rate
24.1%
—
Loss rate
31.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
75.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
51.7%
—
Over 3.5 rate
34.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
0
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.56
—
Scoring rate
84.7%
—
BTTS rate
59.3%
—
Goals for per game
1.59
—
Scoring rate
86.2%
—
BTTS rate
58.6%
0
History Matches
59
—
Goals Mean
1.56
—
Goals Std
1.17
—
Scored 1+ rate
84.7%
—
Scored 2+ rate
45.8%
—
Scored 3+ rate
13.6%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.29
—
Conceding rate
69.5%
—
Goals against per game
1.28
—
Conceding rate
65.5%
0
History Matches
59
—
Conceded Mean
1.29
—
Conceded Std
1.22
—
Conceded 2+ rate
35.6%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
15.3%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.28
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
15.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
15.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
59
—
Result entropy
0.97
—
Goal Difference Std
1.67
—
Stability score
3.41
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
59
0
Lead Matches
14
—
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.81
0
Trailing Matches
18
—
Non-loss rate
27.8%
—
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
74.25
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Normal Rest History Matches
29
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
0
Long Rest History Matches
27
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
6
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.55
—
Portability PPG Range
1.54
—
Portability Score
47.61
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
59
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-70.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-59
History Matches-29
History Matches-59
History Matches-59
History Matches-59
Eligible Matches-59
Lead Matches-14
Trailing Matches-18
Halftime Coverage Matches-59
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-29
Long Rest History Matches-27
Current Team ELO-70.00
Current Opponent ELO70.00
Current ELO Difference-140.0
Expected score-0.20
History Matches-59
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Libertad San Carlos
No earlier results with our pick yet
Atletico Torque
W
Boston River1–2Atletico Torque1 Nov · away
Pick: Boston River 42% · missed W
Penarol0–2Atletico Torque27 Oct · away
Pick: Penarol 55% · missed W
Atletico Torque3–1Cerro25 Oct · home
Pick: Atletico Torque 69% · hit W
Atletico Torque2–0Atletico-MG21 Oct · home
Pick: Atletico Torque 35% · hit L
Albion FC2–1Atletico Torque18 Oct · away
Pick: Atletico Torque 43% · missed About this match
Libertad San Carlos and Atletico Torque meet in Copa Uruguay on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 00:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Libertad San Carlos win 33.8%, draw 30.3%, Atletico Torque win 35.9%. The pick is Atletico Torque win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.8%. Both teams to score: 51.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.