ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - VFV A Belgium VFV A - 11 2026

Londerzeel vs Voorde Appelterre

Londerzeel Home · Elo 1,593
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Voorde Appelterre Away · Elo 1,424
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Londerzeel win
Londerzeel winPick
63.4%
Draw
15.1%
Voorde Appelterre win
21.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.5%
No50.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.4%
Under 2.528.6%

How much we know

Londerzeel history33 matches
Voorde Appelterre history12 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Londerzeel are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Londerzeel are rated 170 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,593 against 1,424. On rating alone Londerzeel would be expected to take 73% of the points on offer.

  • Londerzeel score far more

    2.30 goals a game over 33 matches for Londerzeel, against 0.42 over 12 for Voorde Appelterre.

  • Londerzeel concede fewer

    Londerzeel concede 1.24 a game, Voorde Appelterre 1.92.

  • Londerzeel games more often go over 2.5 goals

    70% of Londerzeel matches, against 42% for Voorde Appelterre. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 15 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Londerzeel
Voorde Appelterre
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1593.4
ELO
1423.5
33
ELO · Matches
12
1593.4
Current Team ELO
1423.5
1423.5
Current Opponent ELO
1593.4
169.9
Current ELO Difference
-169.9
0.73
Expected score
0.27
33
History Matches
12
0.14
Residual Mean
-0.33
58.78
Overperformance
37.57
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.35
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
0.20
2.80
Goals for per game
0.40
1.40
Goals against per game
2.60
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
0.20
2.50
Goals for per game
0.50
1.70
Goals against per game
2.20
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.67
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.60
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
12
2.18
PPG
0.25
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
18.2%
Draw rate
25.0%
15.2%
Loss rate
75.0%
84.8%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
69.7%
Over 2.5 rate
41.7%
51.5%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
7
2.24
PPG
0.00
70.6%
Win rate
0.0%
11.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
17.6%
Loss rate
100.0%
76.5%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
70.6%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
52.9%
Over 3.5 rate
57.1%
1.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
17
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.30
Goals for per game
0.42
93.9%
Scoring rate
33.3%
75.8%
BTTS rate
33.3%
2.47
Goals for per game
0.57
94.1%
Scoring rate
42.9%
70.6%
BTTS rate
42.9%
33
History Matches
12
2.30
Goals Mean
0.42
1.34
Goals Std
0.64
93.9%
Scored 1+ rate
33.3%
63.6%
Scored 2+ rate
8.3%
48.5%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
2.47
Venue Goals Mean
0.57
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.24
Goals against per game
1.92
78.8%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.41
Goals against per game
2.71
70.6%
Conceding rate
100.0%
33
History Matches
12
1.24
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.07
Conceded Std
1.61
27.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
12.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
41.7%
1.41
Venue Conceded Mean
2.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
6.1%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
57.1%
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
6.1%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
57.1%
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
12
0.79
Result entropy
0.51
1.41
Goal Difference Std
1.38
21.16
Stability score
48.81
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
23
Eligible Matches
5
8
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
7
Trailing Matches
4
57.1%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
28.6%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
23
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.20
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
1.22
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.20
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
177.9
Rest days
560.8
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
16
Normal Rest History Matches
7
2.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.14
16
Long Rest History Matches
4
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.25
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
12
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO169.9
PPG1.93
GF1.89
GA-0.67
PPG2.24
PPG2.40
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches21
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.61
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate29.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.51
History Matches21
Goals Mean1.89
Goals Std0.70
Scored 1+ rate60.6%
Scored 2+ rate55.3%
Scored 3+ rate48.5%
Venue Goals Mean1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.96
History Matches21
Conceded Mean-0.67
Conceded Std-0.53
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate-0.30
Venue Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.25
History Matches21
Result entropy0.28
Goal Difference Std0.03
Stability score-27.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.09
Eligible Matches18
Lead Matches8
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate57.1%
Trailing Win Rate28.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches18
First Half Goals For Mean0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean1.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.63
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-382.9
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.17
Long Rest History Matches12
Long Rest Points Per Match1.75
Current Team ELO169.9
Current Opponent ELO-169.9
Current ELO Difference339.8
Expected score0.45
History Matches21
Residual Mean0.47
Overperformance21.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.37

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Londerzeel

L
FC Lebbeke3–0Londerzeel31 Oct · away
Pick: Londerzeel 41% · missed
D
Londerzeel1–1HO Kalken25 Oct · home
Pick: Londerzeel 54% · missed
W
Londerzeel3–2Diksmuide18 Oct · home
Pick: Diksmuide 44% · missed
L
Londerzeel0–1VW Hamme4 Oct · home
Pick: Londerzeel 49% · missed
W
Londerzeel2–1Mechelen II30 Aug · home
Pick: Londerzeel 48% · hit

Voorde Appelterre

W
Voorde Appelterre1–0Ninove1 Nov · home
Pick: Ninove 44% · missed
W
Zulte Waregem II1–2Voorde Appelterre24 Oct · away
Pick: Zulte Waregem II 61% · missed
D
Voorde Appelterre1–1Eendracht Aalst18 Oct · home
Pick: Voorde Appelterre 54% · missed
W
Voorde Appelterre2–0Torhout4 Oct · home
Pick: Torhout 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Londerzeel and Voorde Appelterre meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV A on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Londerzeel win 63.4%, draw 15.1%, Voorde Appelterre win 21.5%. The pick is Londerzeel win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.4%. Both teams to score: 49.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.