Masar W vs FUS Rabat W
What we said before kickoff Result: Masar W win
Masar W winPick Result
55.1%
Draw
25.2%
FUS Rabat W win
19.7%
How our picks did
Settled automatically from the final score. Every miss stays on the record.
Match result
Our pickMasar W win · 55.1%
What happenedMasar W win · we gave it 55.1%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 53.1%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 52.2%
What happenedNo · 3–0
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Masar W win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
55%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.8
on average A pick at 55% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Timeline
Newest at the bottom
Yellow cardF. El Mahdy
9' GoalJ. Shikangwa
15' SubstitutionF. El Mahdy off · A. C. Ba on
46' 46'
SubstitutionK. Diabate off · A. Jaidi on
72'
SubstitutionS. Fikri off · M. Ebula Tobuasiche on
SubstitutionY. Zezo off · M. Ezzat on
74' GoalJ. Shikangwa · assist A. C. Ba
79' GoalA. C. Ba
87' SubstitutionH. Moustafa off · Y. Sabry on
90' SubstitutionC. Folorunsho off · A. Tark on
90+4' Both teams to score
Yes52.2%
No47.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.553.1%
Under 2.546.9%
How much we know
Masar W history5 matches
FUS Rabat W history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 6 h ahead30 Oct · 08:13 UTC
- Re-published 12 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–0Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically from the final score.5 Nov · 03:19 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.1%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,755 matches.
Why Masar W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,492 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FUS Rabat W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1492.4
ELO
1500.0
5
ELO · Matches
0
1492.4
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1492.4
-7.64
Current ELO Difference
7.64
0.49
Expected score
0.51
5
History Matches
0
-0.09
Residual Mean
—
48.11
Overperformance
—
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
0
1.00
PPG
—
1.40
Goals for per game
—
1.00
Goals against per game
—
20.0%
Win rate
—
5
Matches
0
1.00
PPG
—
1.40
Goals for per game
—
1.00
Goals against per game
—
20.0%
Win rate
—
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.85
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
2.42
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
5
Matches
0
1.00
PPG
—
20.0%
Win rate
—
40.0%
Draw rate
—
40.0%
Loss rate
—
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.42
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
2
Matches
0
2.00
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
50.0%
Draw rate
—
0.0%
Loss rate
—
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.40
Goals for per game
—
60.0%
Scoring rate
—
40.0%
BTTS rate
—
2.50
Goals for per game
—
50.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
5
History Matches
0
1.40
Goals Mean
—
1.85
Goals Std
—
60.0%
Scored 1+ rate
—
20.0%
Scored 2+ rate
—
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
—
2.50
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
—
60.0%
Conceding rate
—
0.00
Goals against per game
—
0.0%
Conceding rate
—
5
History Matches
0
1.00
Conceded Mean
—
1.10
Conceded Std
—
20.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
0.00
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
5
History Matches
0
0.96
Result entropy
—
2.42
Goal Difference Std
—
3.98
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
5
Eligible Matches
0
1
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
2
Trailing Matches
0
50.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
5
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
0.40
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.80
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Long Rest Points Per Match
348.1
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
2
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
0
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
5
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-7.64
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
History Matches2
History Matches5
History Matches5
History Matches5
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches1
Trailing Matches2
Halftime Coverage Matches5
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches2
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-7.64
Current Opponent ELO7.64
Current ELO Difference-15.28
Expected score-0.02
History Matches5
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Masar W
No earlier results with our pick yet
FUS Rabat W
No earlier results with our pick yet
Match report
Masar W and FUS Rabat W finished 3–0 in CAF Women's Champions League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 1–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 30 Oct, 08:13 UTC, before kickoff: Masar W win 55.1%, draw 25.2%, FUS Rabat W win 19.7%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.