Mladost Lucani U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Draw
Mladost Lucani U19 winPick
71.6%
Draw Result
14.4%
IMT Novi Beograd U19 win
14.0%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickMladost Lucani U19 win · 71.6%
What happenedDraw · we gave it 14.4%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 70.3%
What happenedOver · 4 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 58.8%
What happenedYes · 2–2
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Draw. In our numbers it ranked second of the three.
14%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 6.9
on average A pick at 72% is expected to miss about 3 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes58.8%
No41.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%
How much we know
Mladost Lucani U19 history1 match
IMT Novi Beograd U19 history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full time: 2–2Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (71.6%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.
Why Mladost Lucani U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,508 against 1,508. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Scoring rates are level
4.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Mladost Lucani U19, against 4.00 over 1 for IMT Novi Beograd U19.
-
Mladost Lucani U19 concede fewer
Mladost Lucani U19 concede 0.00 a game, IMT Novi Beograd U19 2.00.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
100% of Mladost Lucani U19 matches, against 100% for IMT Novi Beograd U19. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
IMT Novi Beograd U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1508.2
ELO
1508.2
1
ELO · Matches
1
1508.2
Current Team ELO
1508.2
1508.2
Current Opponent ELO
1508.2
0.00
Current ELO Difference
0.00
0.50
Expected score
0.50
1
History Matches
1
0.50
Residual Mean
0.50
52.38
Overperformance
52.38
0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.50
Recent form16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Recent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
4.00
Goals for per game
4.00
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
4.00
Goals for per game
4.00
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
4.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
4.00
0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
Overall performance9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
0
3.00
PPG
—
100.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
0.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals Std
4.00
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
—
100.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
4.00
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
4.00
Goals Mean
4.00
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 3+ rate
100.0%
4.00
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Conceded Std
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.00
Goals against per game
—
0.0%
Conceding rate
—
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Conceded Mean
2.00
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.00
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal Difference Std
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Non-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
1
Eligible Matches
1
1
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals 50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
3.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
4.00
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
75.04
Rest days
73.25
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
4.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
1
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO0.00
PPG0.00
GF0.00
GA-2.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate100.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches1
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.00
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-2.00
Clean-sheet rate100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-1.00
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.00
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches1
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean-2.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days1.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO0.00
Current Opponent ELO0.00
Current ELO Difference0.00
Expected score0.00
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Mladost Lucani U19
L
OFK Beograd U193–1Mladost Lucani U1926 Oct · away
Pick: Mladost Lucani U19 50% · missed W
Mladost Lucani U193–2Sp. Subotica U194 Oct · home
Pick: Mladost Lucani U19 73% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
IMT Novi Beograd U19
W
Cukaricki U191–2IMT Novi Beograd U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Cukaricki U19 41% · missed W
Sp. Subotica U190–1IMT Novi Beograd U1912 Oct · away
Pick: IMT Novi Beograd U19 42% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Mladost Lucani U19 and IMT Novi Beograd U19 finished 2–2 in U19 league on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Mladost Lucani U19 win 71.6%, draw 14.4%, IMT Novi Beograd U19 win 14.0%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.