ScoreProb
Super League Zambia Round 7 2026

NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos

NAPSA Stars Home · Elo 1,475
Wed 4 Nov
UTC
Not started
Power Dynamos Away · Elo 1,683
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
NAPSA Stars win
22.6%
DrawPick
39.8%
Power Dynamos win
37.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes39.7%
No60.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.531.1%
Under 2.568.9%

How much we know

NAPSA Stars history46 matches
Power Dynamos history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    4 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Power Dynamos are rated 208 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,683 against 1,475. On rating alone Power Dynamos would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

  • Power Dynamos score far more

    0.74 goals a game over 46 matches for NAPSA Stars, against 1.51 over 57 for Power Dynamos.

  • Power Dynamos concede fewer

    NAPSA Stars concede 0.85 a game, Power Dynamos 0.54.

  • Power Dynamos games more often go over 2.5 goals

    15% of NAPSA Stars matches, against 30% for Power Dynamos. The model puts this match at 31% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
NAPSA Stars
Power Dynamos
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1475.1
ELO
1682.7
46
ELO · Matches
57
1475.1
Current Team ELO
1682.7
1682.7
Current Opponent ELO
1475.1
-207.5
Current ELO Difference
207.5
0.23
Expected score
0.77
46
History Matches
57
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.15
48.40
Overperformance
61.40
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.20
0.80
Goals for per game
1.40
0.40
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
2.60
1.00
Goals for per game
1.70
1.00
Goals against per game
0.30
30.0%
Win rate
80.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
0.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.30
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
57
1.20
PPG
2.23
26.1%
Win rate
66.7%
41.3%
Draw rate
22.8%
32.6%
Loss rate
10.5%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.9%
15.2%
Over 2.5 rate
29.8%
10.9%
Over 3.5 rate
14.0%
1.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
29
1.50
PPG
2.03
37.5%
Win rate
58.6%
37.5%
Draw rate
27.6%
25.0%
Loss rate
13.8%
45.8%
Over 1.5 rate
62.1%
12.5%
Over 2.5 rate
31.0%
8.3%
Over 3.5 rate
13.8%
1.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.29
24
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.74
Goals for per game
1.51
56.5%
Scoring rate
84.2%
30.4%
BTTS rate
33.3%
0.79
Goals for per game
1.31
66.7%
Scoring rate
75.9%
29.2%
BTTS rate
37.9%
46
History Matches
57
0.74
Goals Mean
1.51
0.74
Goals Std
1.01
56.5%
Scored 1+ rate
84.2%
17.4%
Scored 2+ rate
47.4%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
15.8%
0.79
Venue Goals Mean
1.31
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.85
Goals against per game
0.54
52.2%
Conceding rate
40.4%
0.71
Goals against per game
0.66
45.8%
Conceding rate
48.3%
46
History Matches
57
0.85
Conceded Mean
0.54
0.95
Conceded Std
0.77
26.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
10.5%
6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.5%
0.71
Venue Conceded Mean
0.66
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
59.6%
43.5%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
54.2%
Clean-sheet rate
51.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
24.1%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
59.6%
43.5%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
54.2%
Clean-sheet rate
51.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
24.1%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
59.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
57
0.98
Result entropy
0.77
1.11
Goal Difference Std
1.27
1.59
Stability score
23.14
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
56
11
Lead Matches
29
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
89.7%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.92
8
Trailing Matches
5
12.5%
Non-loss rate
60.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
60.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.25
0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.30
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
164.0
Rest days
165.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
6
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.67
20
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.30
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.26
23
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.94
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.26
Portability PPG Std
0.54
0.52
Portability PPG Range
1.29
65.59
Portability Score
48.06
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-207.5
PPG-1.03
GF-0.77
GA0.30
PPG-0.53
PPG-0.60
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate27.7%
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Failed-to-score rate9.2%
History Matches-11
Goals Mean-0.77
Goals Std-0.28
Scored 1+ rate-0.28
Scored 2+ rate-0.30
Scored 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Goals Mean-0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.27
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.18
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate15.6%
Conceded 3+ rate3.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.36
History Matches-11
Result entropy0.22
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score-21.55
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.02
Eligible Matches-12
Lead Matches-18
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.48
Trailing Win Rate-0.60
Halftime Coverage Matches-12
First Half Goals For Mean-0.35
First Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.28
Portability PPG Range-0.77
Portability Score17.54
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.67
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.96
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.72
Current Team ELO-207.5
Current Opponent ELO207.5
Current ELO Difference-415.1
Expected score-0.54
History Matches-11
Residual Mean-0.18
Overperformance-12.99
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

NAPSA Stars

D
Kansanshi Dynamos2–2NAPSA Stars31 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 39% · hit
L
NAPSA Stars0–1Nchanga Rangers24 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 47% · missed
D
Zanaco1–1NAPSA Stars17 Oct · away
Pick: Zanaco 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Power Dynamos

D
Power Dynamos0–0Nkana31 Oct · home
Pick: Power Dynamos 57% · missed
L
Man Utd Zambia Academy1–0Power Dynamos24 Oct · away
Pick: Power Dynamos 39% · missed
W
Power Dynamos2–1Trident18 Oct · home
Pick: Power Dynamos 63% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

NAPSA Stars and Power Dynamos meet in Super League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: NAPSA Stars win 22.6%, draw 39.8%, Power Dynamos win 37.6%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 31.1%. Both teams to score: 39.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.