N'Zidane vs Police
Match result probability Model pick: N'Zidane win
N'Zidane winPick
51.6%
Draw
27.4%
Police win
21.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.3%
No49.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.548.3%
Under 2.551.7%
How much we know
N'Zidane history34 matches
Police history22 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours N'Zidane
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 8 h ahead4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:15 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 16:15 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why N'Zidane are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
N'Zidane are rated 81 Elo points higher
Elo 1,527 against 1,446. On rating alone N'Zidane would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
N'Zidane score more
1.35 goals a game over 34 matches for N'Zidane, against 0.91 over 22 for Police.
-
Defences are close
N'Zidane concede 1.32 a game, Police 1.23.
-
N'Zidane games more often go over 2.5 goals
53% of N'Zidane matches, against 32% for Police. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 26 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Police@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1527.2
ELO
1445.7
34
ELO · Matches
22
1527.2
Current Team ELO
1445.7
1445.7
Current Opponent ELO
1527.2
81.49
Current ELO Difference
-81.49
0.62
Expected score
0.38
34
History Matches
22
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.11
53.25
Overperformance
44.01
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.33
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.20
2.20
Goals for per game
0.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.30
1.60
Goals for per game
0.50
1.50
Goals against per game
1.70
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
2.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.25
Overall performance9 signals 90
34
Matches
22
1.41
PPG
0.95
35.3%
Win rate
18.2%
35.3%
Draw rate
40.9%
29.4%
Loss rate
40.9%
73.5%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
31.8%
26.5%
Over 3.5 rate
9.1%
1.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.43
Venue performance10 signals 100
19
Matches
10
1.53
PPG
0.80
36.8%
Win rate
10.0%
42.1%
Draw rate
50.0%
21.1%
Loss rate
40.0%
57.9%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
47.4%
Over 2.5 rate
30.0%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
19
History Matches
10
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.35
Goals for per game
0.91
70.6%
Scoring rate
72.7%
61.8%
BTTS rate
59.1%
1.42
Goals for per game
0.70
63.2%
Scoring rate
70.0%
52.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
34
History Matches
22
1.35
Goals Mean
0.91
1.21
Goals Std
0.73
70.6%
Scored 1+ rate
72.7%
41.2%
Scored 2+ rate
13.6%
14.7%
Scored 3+ rate
4.5%
1.42
Venue Goals Mean
0.70
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.32
Goals against per game
1.23
76.5%
Conceding rate
81.8%
1.11
Goals against per game
1.50
63.2%
Conceding rate
80.0%
34
History Matches
22
1.32
Conceded Mean
1.23
1.18
Conceded Std
1.04
38.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
22.7%
8.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.1%
1.11
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
34
History Matches
22
1.00
Result entropy
0.95
1.46
Goal Difference Std
1.43
0.32
Stability score
5.22
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
31
Eligible Matches
22
10
Lead Matches
4
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.83
5
Trailing Matches
6
20.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
31
Halftime Coverage Matches
22
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.32
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
0.55
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
166.0
Rest days
166.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
16
Normal Rest History Matches
9
1.44
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
17
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.41
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.75
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.44
Portability PPG Std
—
0.88
Portability PPG Range
—
53.26
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
34
Clean History Matches
22
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO81.49
PPG0.46
GF0.44
GA0.10
PPG0.73
PPG2.00
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Failed-to-score rate2.1%
History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate16.8%
Failed-to-score rate6.8%
History Matches12
Goals Mean0.44
Goals Std0.48
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate27.5%
Scored 3+ rate10.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.72
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.86
History Matches12
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Conceded 2+ rate15.5%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.39
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.36
History Matches12
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score-4.90
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.44
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.77
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate15.0%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.01
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.44
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.66
Current Team ELO81.49
Current Opponent ELO-81.49
Current ELO Difference163.0
Expected score0.23
History Matches12
Residual Mean0.17
Overperformance9.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.37
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
N'Zidane
L
N'Zidane1–3Pompiers24 Oct · home
Pick: N'Zidane 34% · missed W
N'Zidane2–0Nouakchott King's17 Oct · home
Pick: Nouakchott King's 38% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Police
W
Kédia0–3Police24 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 34% · missed W
Police2–0Kaédi19 Oct · home
Pick: Kaédi 36% · missed D
Chemal0–0Police12 Oct · away
Pick: Chemal 51% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
N'Zidane and Police meet in Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC: N'Zidane win 51.6%, draw 27.4%, Police win 21.0%. The pick is N'Zidane win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.3%. Both teams to score: 50.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.