U19 league Serbia Round 13 2026

OFK Beograd U19 vs TSC U19

OFK Beograd U19 Home · Elo 1,488
Full time
2–0
Half time 1–0
Wed 4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
TSC U19 Away · Elo 1,492
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Pick published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff
What we said before kickoff Result: OFK Beograd U19 win
OFK Beograd U19 winPick Result
60.9%
Draw
13.9%
TSC U19 win
25.2%

How our picks did

Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.

1 of 3 hit
Match result
Our pickOFK Beograd U19 win · 60.9%
What happenedOFK Beograd U19 win · we gave it 60.9%
Hit
Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 80.6%
What happenedUnder · 2 goals
Missed
Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 67.1%
What happenedNo · 2–0
Missed

How surprising was it?

Result: OFK Beograd U19 win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.

61%
chance we gave it
0%50%100%
1 in 1.6
on average
A pick at 61% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record

Both teams to score

Yes67.1%
No32.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.580.6%
Under 2.519.4%

How much we know

OFK Beograd U19 history1 match
TSC U19 history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Life of this match

Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. Kickoff
    4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full time: 2–0One of our three picks hit
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

Share this result

A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.

The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
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How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,872 matches.

Why OFK Beograd U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals
  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,488 against 1,492. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • OFK Beograd U19 score more

    3.00 goals a game over 1 matches for OFK Beograd U19, against 2.00 over 1 for TSC U19.

  • Defences are close

    OFK Beograd U19 concede 4.00 a game, TSC U19 4.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    100% of OFK Beograd U19 matches, against 100% for TSC U19. The model puts this match at 81% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
TSC U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1488.1
ELO
1491.8
1
ELO · Matches
1
1488.1
Current Team ELO
1491.8
1491.8
Current Opponent ELO
1488.1
-3.75
Current ELO Difference
3.75
0.49
Expected score
0.51
1
History Matches
1
-0.50
Residual Mean
-0.50
47.61
Overperformance
47.62
-0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.50
Recent form16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Recent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
4.00
Goals against per game
4.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
4.00
Goals against per game
4.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
4.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
4.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals Std
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
3.00
Goals Mean
2.00
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
3.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Conceded Std
4.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
4.00
Conceded Mean
4.00
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
100.0%
4.00
Venue Conceded Mean
4.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal Difference Std
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points Retention
1
Eligible Matches
1
0
Lead Matches
0
1
Trailing Matches
0
0.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
4.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
2.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
2.00
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
4.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
74.04
Rest days
73.25
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-3.75
PPG0.00
GF1.00
GA0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean1.00
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate100.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches1
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean4.00
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean-4.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-3.75
Current Opponent ELO3.75
Current ELO Difference-7.50
Expected score-0.01
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

OFK Beograd U19

W
OFK Beograd U193–1Mladost Lucani U1926 Oct · home
Pick: Mladost Lucani U19 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

TSC U19

W
TSC U192–1Vozdovac U194 Oct · home
Pick: TSC U19 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Match report

OFK Beograd U19 and TSC U19 finished 2–0 in U19 league on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 1–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: OFK Beograd U19 win 60.9%, draw 13.9%, TSC U19 win 25.2%. One of the three picks hit.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.