ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie C Czechia Group C - 14 2026

Přepeře vs Vysoké Mýto

Přepeře Home · Elo 1,593
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Vysoké Mýto Away · Elo 1,615
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Vysoké Mýto win
Přepeře win
34.2%
Draw
23.0%
Vysoké Mýto winPick
42.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.6%
No35.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%

How much we know

Přepeře history54 matches
Vysoké Mýto history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Vysoké Mýto are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,593 against 1,615. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.09 goals a game over 54 matches for Přepeře, against 2.18 over 55 for Vysoké Mýto.

  • Vysoké Mýto concede fewer

    Přepeře concede 1.46 a game, Vysoké Mýto 1.07.

  • Přepeře games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of Přepeře matches, against 60% for Vysoké Mýto. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Přepeře
Vysoké Mýto
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1592.9
ELO
1615.1
54
ELO · Matches
55
1592.9
Current Team ELO
1615.1
1615.1
Current Opponent ELO
1592.9
-22.22
Current ELO Difference
22.22
0.47
Expected score
0.53
54
History Matches
55
0.08
Residual Mean
0.10
56.14
Overperformance
57.55
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.00
3.00
Goals for per game
3.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.80
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.40
PPG
2.20
2.70
Goals for per game
3.40
1.50
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.40
1.42
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.74
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.36
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.83
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.41
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
55
1.85
PPG
2.00
57.4%
Win rate
60.0%
13.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
29.6%
Loss rate
20.0%
81.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.5%
68.5%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
34.5%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
27
2.07
PPG
1.96
63.0%
Win rate
55.6%
18.5%
Draw rate
29.6%
18.5%
Loss rate
14.8%
92.6%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
81.5%
Over 2.5 rate
70.4%
51.9%
Over 3.5 rate
51.9%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.98
27
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.09
Goals for per game
2.18
85.2%
Scoring rate
85.5%
53.7%
BTTS rate
56.4%
2.59
Goals for per game
2.41
92.6%
Scoring rate
85.2%
66.7%
BTTS rate
70.4%
2.67
Goals for per game
2.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
55
2.09
Goals Mean
2.18
1.43
Goals Std
1.61
85.2%
Scored 1+ rate
85.5%
61.1%
Scored 2+ rate
69.1%
38.9%
Scored 3+ rate
32.7%
2.59
Venue Goals Mean
2.41
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.46
Goals against per game
1.07
66.7%
Conceding rate
67.3%
1.52
Goals against per game
1.22
74.1%
Conceding rate
77.8%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
55
1.46
Conceded Mean
1.07
1.50
Conceded Std
1.06
40.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.6%
24.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.7%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
1.22
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.7%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.7%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
55
0.86
Result entropy
0.86
2.20
Goal Difference Std
1.97
14.09
Stability score
13.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
54
26
Lead Matches
31
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
80.6%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.85
8
Trailing Matches
9
12.5%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
1.15
First Half Goals For Mean
1.20
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.75
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.97
24
Long Rest History Matches
24
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.04
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
2.33
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.33
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.12
Portability PPG Std
0.15
0.30
Portability PPG Range
0.37
80.42
Portability Score
76.73
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-22.22
PPG-0.15
GF-0.09
GA0.39
PPG-0.33
PPG0.11
PPG0.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Failed-to-score rate0.3%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std-0.18
Scored 1+ rate0.00
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate6.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.33
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.39
Conceded Std0.44
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Conceded 2+ rate17.1%
Conceded 3+ rate11.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.23
Stability score0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.58
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate4.0%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.21
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.07
Portability Score3.68
Rest days0.27
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.22
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Current Team ELO-22.22
Current Opponent ELO22.22
Current ELO Difference-44.43
Expected score-0.06
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.41
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Přepeře

W
Přepeře3–1Kolín31 Oct · home
Pick: Přepeře 58% · hit
L
Trutnov3–0Přepeře24 Oct · away
Pick: Přepeře 42% · missed
W
Přepeře1–0Ústí nad Orlicí17 Oct · home
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 45% · missed
W
Chrudim II1–2Přepeře29 Aug · away
Pick: Přepeře 70% · hit
L
Přepeře0–2Slovan Liberec26 Aug · home
Pick: Přepeře 38% · missed

Vysoké Mýto

W
Vysoké Mýto3–0Trutnov31 Oct · home
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 66% · hit
D
Ústí nad Orlicí0–0Vysoké Mýto24 Oct · away
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 55% · missed
W
Vysoké Mýto1–0Vykan17 Oct · home
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 48% · hit
W
Turnov0–2Vysoké Mýto30 Aug · away
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Přepeře and Vysoké Mýto meet in 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Přepeře win 34.2%, draw 23.0%, Vysoké Mýto win 42.7%. The pick is Vysoké Mýto win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.3%. Both teams to score: 64.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.