ScoreProb
3. liga - West Slovakia West - 14 2026

Púchov vs Komárno II

Púchov Home · Elo 1,503
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Komárno II Away · Elo 1,481
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Púchov win
Púchov winPick
65.2%
Draw
16.0%
Komárno II win
18.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.9%
No45.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%

How much we know

Púchov history60 matches
Komárno II history11 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.2%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Púchov are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,503 against 1,481. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.47 goals a game over 60 matches for Púchov, against 1.36 over 11 for Komárno II.

  • Púchov concede fewer

    Púchov concede 1.55 a game, Komárno II 2.18.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Púchov matches, against 64% for Komárno II. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Púchov
Komárno II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1503.1
ELO
1480.8
60
ELO · Matches
11
1503.1
Current Team ELO
1480.8
1480.8
Current Opponent ELO
1503.1
22.26
Current ELO Difference
-22.26
0.53
Expected score
0.47
60
History Matches
11
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.11
50.46
Overperformance
46.03
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.90
1.30
Goals for per game
1.50
1.20
Goals against per game
2.00
30.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.26
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.75
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
11
1.32
PPG
0.82
33.3%
Win rate
9.1%
31.7%
Draw rate
54.5%
35.0%
Loss rate
36.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.9%
63.3%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
46.7%
Over 3.5 rate
63.6%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
7
1.45
PPG
0.57
38.7%
Win rate
0.0%
29.0%
Draw rate
57.1%
32.3%
Loss rate
42.9%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
61.3%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
48.4%
Over 3.5 rate
71.4%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
31
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.47
Goals for per game
1.36
76.7%
Scoring rate
63.6%
60.0%
BTTS rate
63.6%
1.61
Goals for per game
1.29
83.9%
Scoring rate
71.4%
64.5%
BTTS rate
71.4%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.33
66.7%
Scoring rate
66.7%
33.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
60
History Matches
11
1.47
Goals Mean
1.36
1.18
Goals Std
1.30
76.7%
Scored 1+ rate
63.6%
43.3%
Scored 2+ rate
45.5%
21.7%
Scored 3+ rate
18.2%
1.61
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.55
Goals against per game
2.18
70.0%
Conceding rate
90.9%
1.48
Goals against per game
2.71
71.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.67
Goals against per game
2.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
60
History Matches
11
1.55
Conceded Mean
2.18
1.33
Conceded Std
1.34
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
63.6%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
36.4%
1.48
Venue Conceded Mean
2.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.1%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.1%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
11
1.00
Result entropy
0.83
1.73
Goal Difference Std
1.95
0.08
Stability score
16.58
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
11
20
Lead Matches
4
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
25.0%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.50
22
Trailing Matches
5
22.7%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
11
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.91
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.90
Rest days
77.15
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
34
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.60
21
Long Rest History Matches
5
1.43
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.20
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.67
PPG
0.67
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
66.7%
Draw rate
66.7%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.67
Current Competition PPG
0.67
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
7
Competition Season Count
2
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.34
Portability PPG Std
0.10
0.95
Portability PPG Range
0.21
59.49
Portability Score
82.76
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
11
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO22.26
PPG0.50
GF0.10
GA-0.63
PPG1.00
PPG0.88
PPG1.20
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches49
Clean-sheet rate20.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches24
Clean-sheet rate29.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches49
Goals Mean0.10
Goals Std-0.12
Scored 1+ rate13.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate3.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.10
History Matches49
Conceded Mean-0.63
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate20.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-1.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.10
History Matches49
Result entropy0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.22
Stability score-16.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.17
Eligible Matches49
Lead Matches16
Lead Win Rate50.0%
Lead Points Retention0.32
Trailing Matches17
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate4.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches49
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean0.28
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.67
Competition Season Count5
Eligible Competition Season Count4
Portability PPG Std0.24
Portability PPG Range0.74
Portability Score-23.26
Rest days-1.25
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest History Matches29
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.55
Long Rest History Matches16
Long Rest Points Per Match0.23
Current Team ELO22.26
Current Opponent ELO-22.26
Current ELO Difference44.51
Expected score0.06
History Matches49
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance4.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Púchov

W
Rača1–8Púchov1 Nov · away
Pick: Púchov 49% · hit
W
Púchov4–0Slovan Duslo Šaľa24 Oct · home
Pick: Púchov 67% · hit
L
DAC II2–0Púchov18 Oct · away
Pick: Púchov 37% · missed
L
Púchov0–1Nové Zámky29 Aug · home
Pick: Púchov 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Komárno II

L
Komárno II0–2Dunajská Lužná30 Oct · home
Pick: Dunajská Lužná 40% · hit
L
Nitra5–1Komárno II24 Oct · away
Pick: Nitra 73% · hit
W
Rača0–3Komárno II18 Oct · away
Pick: Rača 53% · missed
L
DAC II4–0Komárno II4 Oct · away
Pick: DAC II 58% · hit
L
Komárno II0–5Beluša30 Aug · home
Pick: Beluša 55% · hit

About this match

Púchov and Komárno II meet in 3. liga - West on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Púchov win 65.2%, draw 16.0%, Komárno II win 18.8%. The pick is Púchov win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.3%. Both teams to score: 54.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.