ScoreProb
Championship Scotland Round 14 2026

Queen's Park vs Partick

Queen's Park Home · Elo 1,494
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Partick Away · Elo 1,616
The City Stadium, Glasgow Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Partick win
Queen's Park win
24.1%
Draw
22.1%
Partick winPick
53.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.9%
No49.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%

How much we know

Queen's Park history74 matches
Partick history80 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Partick are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Partick are rated 122 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,616 against 1,494. On rating alone Partick would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Partick score more

    1.18 goals a game over 74 matches for Queen's Park, against 1.51 over 80 for Partick.

  • Partick concede fewer

    Queen's Park concede 1.61 a game, Partick 1.05.

  • Queen's Park games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of Queen's Park matches, against 44% for Partick. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Queen's Park
Partick
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1494.1
ELO
1615.9
74
ELO · Matches
80
1494.1
Current Team ELO
1615.9
1615.9
Current Opponent ELO
1494.1
-121.9
Current ELO Difference
121.9
0.33
Expected score
0.67
74
History Matches
80
0.00
Residual Mean
0.07
49.68
Overperformance
55.35
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.60
1.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.70
1.80
Goals for per game
1.90
1.10
Goals against per game
0.70
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.76
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.09
Overall performance9 signals
90
74
Matches
80
1.14
PPG
1.74
28.4%
Win rate
46.3%
28.4%
Draw rate
35.0%
43.2%
Loss rate
18.8%
77.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.5%
54.1%
Over 2.5 rate
43.8%
32.4%
Over 3.5 rate
27.5%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.66
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
42
1.17
PPG
1.50
30.6%
Win rate
38.1%
25.0%
Draw rate
35.7%
44.4%
Loss rate
26.2%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
52.8%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
36
History Matches
42
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.18
Goals for per game
1.51
67.6%
Scoring rate
78.8%
54.1%
BTTS rate
52.5%
1.14
Goals for per game
1.36
63.9%
Scoring rate
76.2%
52.8%
BTTS rate
52.4%
0.33
Goals for per game
1.33
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
33.3%
74
History Matches
80
1.18
Goals Mean
1.51
1.18
Goals Std
1.19
67.6%
Scored 1+ rate
78.8%
29.7%
Scored 2+ rate
48.8%
13.5%
Scored 3+ rate
15.0%
1.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.36
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.61
Goals against per game
1.05
75.7%
Conceding rate
63.8%
1.61
Goals against per game
1.19
80.6%
Conceding rate
66.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
74
History Matches
80
1.61
Conceded Mean
1.05
1.57
Conceded Std
1.09
41.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.8%
18.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.3%
1.61
Venue Conceded Mean
1.19
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.3%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
21.3%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
36.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.3%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
21.3%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
36.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
74
History Matches
80
0.98
Result entropy
0.94
2.16
Goal Difference Std
1.66
1.93
Stability score
5.52
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
74
Eligible Matches
80
17
Lead Matches
36
58.8%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.83
25
Trailing Matches
21
12.0%
Non-loss rate
52.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
19.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
74
Halftime Coverage Matches
80
0.53
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.84
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.25
58
Normal Rest History Matches
60
1.05
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.65
13
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
2.33
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
10
Competition Season Count
10
8
Eligible Competition Season Count
8
0.83
Portability PPG Std
0.56
2.33
Portability PPG Range
1.75
37.73
Portability Score
47.04
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
74
Clean History Matches
80
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-121.9
PPG-0.60
GF-0.34
GA0.56
PPG-2.33
PPG-0.33
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate11.2%
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Failed-to-score rate12.3%
History Matches-6
Goals Mean-0.34
Goals Std-0.02
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.19
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.22
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.16
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.56
Conceded Std0.47
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate13.1%
Conceded 3+ rate12.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.42
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.05
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.50
Stability score-3.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.06
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-19
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.40
Trailing Win Rate-0.19
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.26
Portability PPG Range0.58
Portability Score-9.31
Rest days-0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.75
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.60
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.38
Current Team ELO-121.9
Current Opponent ELO121.9
Current ELO Difference-243.7
Expected score-0.34
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.67
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Queen's Park

L
Ayr Utd3–2Queen's Park31 Oct · away
Pick: Ayr Utd 57% · hit
L
Queen's Park0–1Dunfermline24 Oct · home
Pick: Dunfermline 47% · hit
L
Morton2–0Queen's Park17 Oct · away
Pick: Morton 41% · hit
W
Queen's Park2–1Inverness CT13 Oct · home
Pick: Inverness CT 50% · missed
D
Partick0–0Queen's Park29 Aug · away
Pick: Partick 62% · missed

Partick

W
Edinburgh City0–3Partick3 Nov · away
Pick: Partick 48% · hit
L
Partick2–3Morton31 Oct · home
Pick: Partick 66% · missed
W
Partick3–0Stenhousemuir24 Oct · home
Pick: Stenhousemuir 37% · missed
D
Dunfermline1–1Partick20 Oct · away
Pick: Partick 47% · missed
W
Ayr Utd0–1Partick16 Oct · away
Pick: Partick 42% · hit

About this match

Queen's Park and Partick meet in Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at The City Stadium, Glasgow. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Queen's Park win 24.1%, draw 22.1%, Partick win 53.8%. The pick is Partick win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.8%. Both teams to score: 50.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.