Quindio vs Tigres FC
Quindio
Postponed
Sun 8 Nov
Was due at 21:00 UTC
Tigres FC
Match result probability Model pick: Quindio win
Quindio winPick
53.2%
Draw
26.4%
Tigres FC win
20.4%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes45.6%
No54.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
How much we know
Quindio history57 matches
Tigres FC history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 12 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Kickoff8 Nov · 21:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Quindio are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Quindio are rated 93 Elo points higher
Elo 1,537 against 1,444. On rating alone Quindio would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
Quindio score more
1.18 goals a game over 57 matches for Quindio, against 0.84 over 61 for Tigres FC.
-
Defences are close
Quindio concede 1.14 a game, Tigres FC 1.11.
-
Quindio games more often go over 2.5 goals
44% of Quindio matches, against 28% for Tigres FC. The model puts this match at 43% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Quindio
Tigres FC
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1537.4
ELO
1444.0
57
ELO · Matches
61
1537.4
Current Team ELO
1444.0
1444.0
Current Opponent ELO
1537.4
93.45
Current ELO Difference
-93.45
0.63
Expected score
0.37
57
History Matches
61
0.04
Residual Mean
-0.04
52.79
Overperformance
46.96
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.40
1.00
Goals for per game
0.60
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.80
0.80
Goals for per game
0.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.60
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.89
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.02
Overall performance9 signals 90
57
Matches
61
1.49
PPG
1.10
40.4%
Win rate
26.2%
28.1%
Draw rate
31.1%
31.6%
Loss rate
42.6%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
65.6%
43.9%
Over 2.5 rate
27.9%
19.3%
Over 3.5 rate
9.8%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
Venue performance10 signals 100
30
Matches
29
1.73
PPG
0.86
46.7%
Win rate
17.2%
33.3%
Draw rate
34.5%
20.0%
Loss rate
48.3%
63.3%
Over 1.5 rate
65.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
31.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
13.8%
1.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.40
30
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.18
Goals for per game
0.84
71.9%
Scoring rate
59.0%
49.1%
BTTS rate
42.6%
1.47
Goals for per game
0.69
76.7%
Scoring rate
51.7%
56.7%
BTTS rate
41.4%
1.04
Goals for per game
0.88
70.8%
Scoring rate
58.3%
37.5%
BTTS rate
41.7%
57
History Matches
61
1.18
Goals Mean
0.84
1.09
Goals Std
0.81
71.9%
Scored 1+ rate
59.0%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
23.0%
5.3%
Scored 3+ rate
1.6%
1.47
Venue Goals Mean
0.69
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.14
Goals against per game
1.11
68.4%
Conceding rate
73.8%
0.93
Goals against per game
1.34
70.0%
Conceding rate
79.3%
0.63
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
57
History Matches
61
1.14
Conceded Mean
1.11
1.05
Conceded Std
0.96
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
27.9%
7.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.6%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
1.34
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
31.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.2%
28.1%
Failed-to-score rate
41.0%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.7%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
48.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
41.7%
31.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.2%
28.1%
Failed-to-score rate
41.0%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.7%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
48.3%
31.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
57
History Matches
61
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.56
Goal Difference Std
1.37
1.07
Stability score
1.89
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
57
Eligible Matches
61
19
Lead Matches
13
68.4%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.85
11
Trailing Matches
19
27.3%
Non-loss rate
36.8%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
10.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.60
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.38
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
76.92
Rest days
76.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
39
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
16
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.95
Competition & season17 signals 170
24
Matches
24
1.79
PPG
1.17
50.0%
Win rate
29.2%
29.2%
Draw rate
29.2%
20.8%
Loss rate
41.7%
45.8%
Over 1.5 rate
54.2%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
4.2%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.20
24
Current Competition Matches
24
1.79
Current Competition PPG
1.17
0.42
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.13
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.01
0.56
Portability PPG Range
0.02
68.04
Portability Score
98.51
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
57
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO93.45
PPG0.39
GF0.34
GA0.03
PPG0.63
PPG0.87
PPG0.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate9.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.34
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate12.9%
Scored 2+ rate10.4%
Scored 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.78
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.20
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.03
Conceded Std0.09
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Conceded 2+ rate5.5%
Conceded 3+ rate0.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.41
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.15
History Matches-4
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.19
Stability score-0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.13
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate-0.09
Lead Points Retention-0.11
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.63
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.54
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.23
Portability PPG Range0.55
Portability Score-30.47
Rest days0.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.92
Current Team ELO93.45
Current Opponent ELO-93.45
Current ELO Difference186.9
Expected score0.26
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Quindio
W
Quindio2–0Tigres FC24 Oct · home
Pick: Quindio 53% · hit W
Depor FC0–1Quindio20 Oct · away
Pick: Quindio 61% · hit D
Quindio1–1Real Cartagena16 Oct · home
Pick: Quindio 45% · missed W
Orsomarso0–1Quindio6 Oct · away
Pick: Orsomarso 37% · missed W
Union Magdalena0–2Quindio29 Aug · away
Pick: Union Magdalena 43% · missed Tigres FC
L
Quindio2–0Tigres FC24 Oct · away
Pick: Quindio 53% · hit D
Tigres FC0–0Real Soacha20 Oct · home
Pick: Tigres FC 34% · missed D
Ind. Yumbo1–1Tigres FC8 Oct · away
Pick: Ind. Yumbo 46% · missed W
Tigres FC1–0Internacional Palmira4 Oct · home
Pick: Internacional Palmira 37% · missed W
Real Cartagena0–3Tigres FC29 Aug · away
Pick: Real Cartagena 53% · missed About this match
Quindio and Tigres FC were due to play in Primera B on Sunday 8 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.