NPFL Nigeria Round 12 2027

Ranchers Bees vs Enyimba

Ranchers Bees Home · Elo 1,500
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Enyimba Away · Elo 1,498
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Ranchers Bees win
34.1%
DrawPick
37.8%
Enyimba win
28.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.7%
No47.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%

How much we know

Ranchers Bees history0 matches
Enyimba history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals
  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,500 against 1,498. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ranchers Bees
Enyimba
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.0
ELO
1498.3
0
ELO · Matches
58
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1498.3
1498.3
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
1.68
Current ELO Difference
-1.68
0.50
Expected score
0.50
0
History Matches
58
—
Residual Mean
0.00
—
Overperformance
49.68
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.40
—
Goals for per game
1.40
—
Goals against per game
1.20
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.70
—
Goals for per game
1.60
—
Goals against per game
1.10
—
Win rate
50.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.75
Overall performance9 signals
90
0
Matches
58
—
PPG
1.34
—
Win rate
36.2%
—
Draw rate
25.9%
—
Loss rate
37.9%
—
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
—
Over 2.5 rate
43.1%
—
Over 3.5 rate
12.1%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
Venue performance10 signals
100
0
Matches
30
—
PPG
0.67
—
Win rate
13.3%
—
Draw rate
26.7%
—
Loss rate
60.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
—
Over 2.5 rate
46.7%
—
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.10
0
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.16
—
Scoring rate
72.4%
—
BTTS rate
50.0%
—
Goals for per game
0.90
—
Scoring rate
66.7%
—
BTTS rate
56.7%
0
History Matches
58
—
Goals Mean
1.16
—
Goals Std
0.92
—
Scored 1+ rate
72.4%
—
Scored 2+ rate
34.5%
—
Scored 3+ rate
8.6%
—
Venue Goals Mean
0.90
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.12
—
Conceding rate
69.0%
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Conceding rate
83.3%
0
History Matches
58
—
Conceded Mean
1.12
—
Conceded Std
0.93
—
Conceded 2+ rate
36.2%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
6.9%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.60
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
0
History Matches
58
—
Result entropy
0.99
—
Goal Difference Std
1.36
—
Stability score
1.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
0
Eligible Matches
57
0
Lead Matches
12
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
19
—
Non-loss rate
21.1%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.49
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
—
Rest days
155.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
40
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.28
0
Long Rest History Matches
15
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.09
—
Portability PPG Range
0.18
—
Portability Score
84.44
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
0
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO1.68
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-58
History Matches-30
History Matches-58
History Matches-58
History Matches-58
Eligible Matches-57
Lead Matches-12
Trailing Matches-19
Halftime Coverage Matches-57
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-40
Long Rest History Matches-15
Current Team ELO1.68
Current Opponent ELO-1.68
Current ELO Difference3.37
Expected score0.00
History Matches-58

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ranchers Bees

D
Inter Lagos1–1Ranchers Bees1 Nov · away
Pick: Inter Lagos 50% · missed
L
Kwara United2–1Ranchers Bees4 Oct · away
Pick: Kwara United 64% · hit
L
Ikorodu City3–1Ranchers Bees30 Aug · away
Pick: Ikorodu City 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Enyimba

W
Enyimba1–0Kun Khalifat FC1 Nov · home
Pick: Enyimba 49% · hit
L
Nasarawa United1–0Enyimba25 Oct · away
Pick: Nasarawa United 40% · hit
D
Enyimba0–0Warri Wolves18 Oct · home
Pick: Enyimba 54% · missed
W
Enyimba2–0Plateau United4 Oct · home
Pick: Enyimba 38% · hit
L
Niger Tornadoes2–1Enyimba30 Aug · away
Pick: Niger Tornadoes 38% · hit

About this match

Ranchers Bees and Enyimba meet in NPFL on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Ranchers Bees win 34.1%, draw 37.8%, Enyimba win 28.1%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 47.0%. Both teams to score: 52.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.