UEFA Youth League World Semi-finals 2026

Rangers U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19

Rangers U19 Home · Elo 1,500
Full time
3–0
Half time 1–0
Wed 4 Nov · 19:00 UTC
Dynamo Kyiv U19 Away · Elo 1,707
Forthbank Stadium, Stirling Referee: A. Kanagasingam Pick published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff
What we said before kickoff Result: Rangers U19 win
Rangers U19 win Result
31.7%
Draw
32.2%
Dynamo Kyiv U19 winPick
36.1%

How our picks did

Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.

2 of 3 hit
Match result
Our pickDynamo Kyiv U19 win · 36.1%
What happenedRangers U19 win · we gave it 31.7%
Missed
Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 52.1%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit
Both teams to score
Our pickNo · 50.6%
What happenedNo · 3–0
Hit

How surprising was it?

Result: Rangers U19 win. In our numbers it ranked third of the three.

32%
chance we gave it
0%50%100%
1 in 3.2
on average
A pick at 36% is expected to miss about 6 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record

Timeline

Newest at the bottom

7'
Yellow cardK. Hubenko
GoalL. Stewart · assist C. Ngwenya
16'
GoalK. Glasgow · assist L. Rankin
62'
65'
SubstitutionO. Savane off · M. Hrodzinskyi on
70'
Yellow cardM. Hrodzinskyi
Yellow cardA. Scally
70'
GoalM. Cameron · assist A. Kerr
73'
74'
SubstitutionA. Fedorenko off · D. Yermak on
74'
SubstitutionI. Andreyko off · I. Zaikin on
81'
Yellow cardD. Yermak
SubstitutionC. Young off · B. Hutton on
82'
84'
SubstitutionY. Buravtsov off · V. Kvikviniia on
SubstitutionL. Rankin off · C. Ferguson on
87'
90'
Yellow cardV. Ozymai
SubstitutionA. Kerr off · K. Urban on
90+1'

Both teams to score

Yes49.4%
No50.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.1%
Under 2.547.9%

How much we know

Rangers U19 history0 matches
Dynamo Kyiv U19 history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Life of this match

Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. Kickoff
    4 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full time: 3–0Two of our three picks hit
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

Share this result

A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.

The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
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How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Dynamo Kyiv U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals
  • Dynamo Kyiv U19 are rated 207 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,707 against 1,500. On rating alone Dynamo Kyiv U19 would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dynamo Kyiv U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.0
ELO
1706.6
0
ELO · Matches
51
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1706.6
1706.6
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-206.6
Current ELO Difference
206.6
0.23
Expected score
0.77
0
History Matches
51
—
Residual Mean
0.20
—
Overperformance
64.06
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
2.60
—
Goals for per game
3.40
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Win rate
80.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
2.80
—
Goals for per game
2.70
—
Goals against per game
0.60
—
Win rate
90.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.90
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
0
Matches
51
—
PPG
2.49
—
Win rate
76.5%
—
Draw rate
19.6%
—
Loss rate
3.9%
—
Over 1.5 rate
80.4%
—
Over 2.5 rate
58.8%
—
Over 3.5 rate
45.1%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
Venue performance10 signals
100
0
Matches
26
—
PPG
2.46
—
Win rate
73.1%
—
Draw rate
26.9%
—
Loss rate
0.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
—
Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
—
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.66
0
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
2.82
—
Scoring rate
94.1%
—
BTTS rate
45.1%
—
Goals for per game
2.31
—
Scoring rate
96.2%
—
BTTS rate
57.7%
0
History Matches
51
—
Goals Mean
2.82
—
Goals Std
2.00
—
Scored 1+ rate
94.1%
—
Scored 2+ rate
70.6%
—
Scored 3+ rate
45.1%
—
Venue Goals Mean
2.31
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
0.69
—
Conceding rate
47.1%
—
Goals against per game
0.65
—
Conceding rate
57.7%
0
History Matches
51
—
Conceded Mean
0.69
—
Conceded Std
1.04
—
Conceded 2+ rate
11.8%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
3.9%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
0.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
5.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
3.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
5.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
3.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
0
History Matches
51
—
Result entropy
0.59
—
Goal Difference Std
2.25
—
Stability score
40.69
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
0
Eligible Matches
51
0
Lead Matches
36
—
Lead Win Rate
86.1%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.91
0
Trailing Matches
3
—
Non-loss rate
66.7%
—
Trailing Win Rate
33.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
—
First Half Goals For Mean
1.51
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.18
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.31
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
77.42
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
31
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.58
0
Long Rest History Matches
19
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
5
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.28
—
Portability PPG Range
0.75
—
Portability Score
64.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
0
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-206.6
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-51
History Matches-26
History Matches-51
History Matches-51
History Matches-51
Eligible Matches-51
Lead Matches-36
Trailing Matches-3
Halftime Coverage Matches-51
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-31
Long Rest History Matches-19
Current Team ELO-206.6
Current Opponent ELO206.6
Current ELO Difference-413.3
Expected score-0.53
History Matches-51

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Rangers U19

L
Dynamo Kyiv U193–2Rangers U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 65% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dynamo Kyiv U19

W
Dynamo Kyiv U193–2Rangers U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 65% · hit
W
Veres Rivne U191–2Dynamo Kyiv U1921 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 54% · hit
W
Dynamo Kyiv U191–0Karpaty Lviv U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 69% · hit
W
Kolos Kovalivka U191–2Dynamo Kyiv U197 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 69% · hit
L
Zhytomyr U192–0Dynamo Kyiv U199 Sep · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 64% · missed

Match report

Rangers U19 and Dynamo Kyiv U19 finished 3–0 in UEFA Youth League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 1–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Rangers U19 win 31.7%, draw 32.2%, Dynamo Kyiv U19 win 36.1%. Two of the three picks hit.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.