Scheiblingkirchen vs SV Horn
Scheiblingkirchen
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
SV Horn
Match result probability Model pick: SV Horn win
Scheiblingkirchen win
34.6%
Draw
25.1%
SV Horn winPick
40.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.6%
No47.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
How much we know
Scheiblingkirchen history31 matches
SV Horn history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours SV Horn
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why SV Horn are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Scheiblingkirchen are rated 61 Elo points higher
Elo 1,568 against 1,507. On rating alone Scheiblingkirchen would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.55 goals a game over 31 matches for Scheiblingkirchen, against 1.64 over 55 for SV Horn.
-
Scheiblingkirchen concede fewer
Scheiblingkirchen concede 1.00 a game, SV Horn 1.20.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
55% of Scheiblingkirchen matches, against 49% for SV Horn. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Scheiblingkirchen
SV Horn
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1568.0
ELO
1507.3
31
ELO · Matches
55
1568.0
Current Team ELO
1507.3
1507.3
Current Opponent ELO
1568.0
60.71
Current ELO Difference
-60.71
0.59
Expected score
0.41
31
History Matches
55
0.11
Residual Mean
0.01
56.75
Overperformance
51.05
0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.00
1.90
Goals for per game
1.30
1.00
Goals against per game
1.10
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.18
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.78
Overall performance9 signals 90
31
Matches
55
1.90
PPG
1.47
54.8%
Win rate
40.0%
25.8%
Draw rate
27.3%
19.4%
Loss rate
32.7%
67.7%
Over 1.5 rate
67.3%
54.8%
Over 2.5 rate
49.1%
32.3%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
Venue performance10 signals 100
16
Matches
25
2.00
PPG
1.04
56.3%
Win rate
24.0%
31.3%
Draw rate
32.0%
12.5%
Loss rate
44.0%
56.3%
Over 1.5 rate
56.0%
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
44.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
16
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.55
Goals for per game
1.64
74.2%
Scoring rate
72.7%
41.9%
BTTS rate
52.7%
1.44
Goals for per game
1.24
75.0%
Scoring rate
64.0%
31.3%
BTTS rate
56.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.25
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
31
History Matches
55
1.55
Goals Mean
1.64
1.19
Goals Std
1.68
74.2%
Scored 1+ rate
72.7%
51.6%
Scored 2+ rate
38.2%
25.8%
Scored 3+ rate
25.5%
1.44
Venue Goals Mean
1.24
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
51.6%
Conceding rate
69.1%
0.88
Goals against per game
1.48
37.5%
Conceding rate
76.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
0.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
31
History Matches
55
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.20
1.32
Conceded Std
1.18
22.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.1%
16.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.5%
0.88
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
48.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.9%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
62.5%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
48.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.9%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
62.5%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
48.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
31
History Matches
55
0.91
Result entropy
0.99
1.85
Goal Difference Std
2.06
9.26
Stability score
1.11
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
31
Eligible Matches
54
10
Lead Matches
17
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
82.4%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.88
4
Trailing Matches
16
25.0%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
31
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.65
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
76.88
Rest days
77.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
10
Normal Rest History Matches
27
2.10
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.56
20
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.90
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.28
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
1.25
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
1.25
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
5
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.86
0.43
Portability PPG Range
2.67
71.71
Portability Score
36.84
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
31
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO60.71
PPG0.43
GF-0.09
GA-0.20
PPG0.50
PPG0.96
PPG0.20
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-24
Clean-sheet rate17.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate38.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-24
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std-0.49
Scored 1+ rate1.5%
Scored 2+ rate13.4%
Scored 3+ rate0.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.19
History Matches-24
Conceded Mean-0.20
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate17.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate1.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.61
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-24
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.21
Stability score8.15
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.09
Eligible Matches-23
Lead Matches-7
Lead Win Rate17.6%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate12.5%
Trailing Win Rate18.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-23
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.66
Portability PPG Range-2.23
Portability Score34.87
Rest days-0.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-17
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.54
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.62
Current Team ELO60.71
Current Opponent ELO-60.71
Current ELO Difference121.4
Expected score0.17
History Matches-24
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance5.70
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.19
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Scheiblingkirchen
D
Scheiblingkirchen1–1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf31 Oct · home
Pick: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 52% · missed L
Parndorf5–0Scheiblingkirchen23 Oct · away
Pick: Parndorf 67% · hit L
Scheiblingkirchen1–2Krems / Rehberg16 Oct · home
Pick: Scheiblingkirchen 52% · missed W
Scheiblingkirchen2–1Leobendorf4 Oct · home
Pick: Scheiblingkirchen 40% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
SV Horn
D
Wiener Viktoria1–1SV Horn31 Oct · away
Pick: SV Horn 40% · missed L
SV Horn3–4Wiener SC23 Oct · home
Pick: Wiener SC 43% · hit L
Mattersburg SV 20201–0SV Horn16 Oct · away
Pick: SV Horn 46% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Scheiblingkirchen and SV Horn meet in Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Sparkasse Horn Arena. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Scheiblingkirchen win 34.6%, draw 25.1%, SV Horn win 40.3%. The pick is SV Horn win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.9%. Both teams to score: 52.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.