ScoreProb
Czech Liga Czechia Round 14 2026

Slavia Praha vs Artis

Slavia Praha Home · Elo 1,672
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Artis Away · Elo 1,501
Fortuna Arena, Prague Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slavia Praha win
Slavia Praha winPick
73.2%
Draw
14.5%
Artis win
12.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%

How much we know

Slavia Praha history80 matches
Artis history72 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.2%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Slavia Praha are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Slavia Praha are rated 171 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,672 against 1,501. On rating alone Slavia Praha would be expected to take 73% of the points on offer.

  • Slavia Praha score more

    1.99 goals a game over 80 matches for Slavia Praha, against 1.39 over 72 for Artis.

  • Slavia Praha concede fewer

    Slavia Praha concede 1.03 a game, Artis 1.46.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Slavia Praha matches, against 56% for Artis. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavia Praha
Artis
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1672.2
ELO
1500.9
80
ELO · Matches
72
1672.2
Current Team ELO
1500.9
1500.9
Current Opponent ELO
1672.2
171.2
Current ELO Difference
-171.2
0.73
Expected score
0.27
80
History Matches
72
0.11
Residual Mean
-0.01
59.07
Overperformance
49.10
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.20
2.80
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
2.40
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
0.70
2.20
Goals for per game
1.30
1.00
Goals against per game
2.20
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.83
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.37
Overall performance9 signals
90
80
Matches
72
2.01
PPG
1.32
58.8%
Win rate
34.7%
25.0%
Draw rate
27.8%
16.3%
Loss rate
37.5%
82.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.9%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
Venue performance10 signals
100
44
Matches
41
2.23
PPG
1.29
68.2%
Win rate
34.1%
18.2%
Draw rate
26.8%
13.6%
Loss rate
39.0%
77.3%
Over 1.5 rate
82.9%
65.9%
Over 2.5 rate
53.7%
36.4%
Over 3.5 rate
29.3%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
44
History Matches
41
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.99
Goals for per game
1.39
83.8%
Scoring rate
75.0%
51.3%
BTTS rate
55.6%
2.14
Goals for per game
1.34
84.1%
Scoring rate
73.2%
47.7%
BTTS rate
51.2%
2.80
Goals for per game
0.80
100.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
80.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
80
History Matches
72
1.99
Goals Mean
1.39
1.36
Goals Std
1.17
83.8%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
63.8%
Scored 2+ rate
43.1%
32.5%
Scored 3+ rate
12.5%
2.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.34
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.03
Goals against per game
1.46
58.8%
Conceding rate
73.6%
0.95
Goals against per game
1.39
54.5%
Conceding rate
73.2%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.40
80.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
80
History Matches
72
1.03
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.13
Conceded Std
1.29
26.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.3%
13.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.8%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
16.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
45.5%
Clean-sheet rate
26.8%
15.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.8%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
16.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
45.5%
Clean-sheet rate
26.8%
15.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.8%
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
80
History Matches
72
0.87
Result entropy
0.99
1.76
Goal Difference Std
1.92
13.13
Stability score
0.70
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
79
Eligible Matches
72
33
Lead Matches
19
78.8%
Lead Win Rate
78.9%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.82
14
Trailing Matches
24
50.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
21.4%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
79
Halftime Coverage Matches
72
0.89
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
1.10
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.59
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.83
Rest days
77.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
6
2.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
51
Normal Rest History Matches
42
1.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.57
24
Long Rest History Matches
23
2.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
80.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.20
Current Competition PPG
0.20
1.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.60
9
Competition Season Count
8
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.76
Portability PPG Std
0.48
2.13
Portability PPG Range
1.53
39.65
Portability Score
51.25
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
80
Clean History Matches
72
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO171.2
PPG0.69
GF0.60
GA-0.43
PPG2.00
PPG0.93
PPG2.00
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate14.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate18.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches8
Goals Mean0.60
Goals Std0.18
Scored 1+ rate8.8%
Scored 2+ rate20.7%
Scored 3+ rate20.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.79
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.62
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.43
Conceded Std-0.16
Clean-sheet rate14.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.47
History Matches8
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score12.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches14
Lead Win Rate0.00
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate25.0%
Trailing Win Rate13.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.40
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.59
Portability Score-11.60
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.75
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.39
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match1.04
Current Team ELO171.2
Current Opponent ELO-171.2
Current ELO Difference342.4
Expected score0.46
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance9.97
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slavia Praha

W
FK Jablonec0–5Slavia Praha31 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia Praha 43% · hit
W
Slavia Praha4–0Zbrojovka Brno27 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha 52% · hit
D
Slavia Praha1–1Mlada Boleslav24 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha 57% · missed
D
Fenerbahçe2–2Slavia Praha20 Oct · away
Pick: Fenerbahçe 48% · missed
D
Slavia Praha0–0Hradec Králové17 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha 56% · missed

Artis

D
Artis2–2Zlin31 Oct · home
Pick: Artis 40% · missed
D
Teplice0–0Artis24 Oct · away
Pick: Teplice 49% · missed
W
Pardubice1–2Artis29 Aug · away
Pick: Pardubice 46% · missed
W
Uherský Brod0–2Artis26 Aug · away
Pick: Uherský Brod 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Slavia Praha and Artis meet in Czech Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Fortuna Arena, Prague. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Slavia Praha win 73.2%, draw 14.5%, Artis win 12.3%. The pick is Slavia Praha win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.4%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.