ScoreProb
3. liga - MSFL Czechia MSFL - 15 2026

Slovácko II vs Havířov

Slovácko II Home · Elo 1,507
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Havířov Away · Elo 1,542
Stadion Na Belince, Kunovice - UH Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slovácko II win
Slovácko II winPick
55.3%
Draw
19.2%
Havířov win
25.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.2%
No38.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.8%
Under 2.531.2%

How much we know

Slovácko II history67 matches
Havířov history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.3%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Slovácko II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Havířov are rated 35 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,542 against 1,507. On rating alone Havířov would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Havířov score far more

    1.42 goals a game over 67 matches for Slovácko II, against 2.34 over 58 for Havířov.

  • Defences are close

    Slovácko II concede 1.61 a game, Havířov 1.66.

  • Havířov games more often go over 2.5 goals

    63% of Slovácko II matches, against 72% for Havířov. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slovácko II
Havířov
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1507.4
ELO
1542.0
67
ELO · Matches
58
1507.4
Current Team ELO
1542.0
1542.0
Current Opponent ELO
1507.4
-34.59
Current ELO Difference
34.59
0.45
Expected score
0.55
67
History Matches
58
0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
50.62
Overperformance
51.63
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.31
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.60
1.90
Goals for per game
1.30
1.70
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.42
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.05
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
58
1.33
PPG
1.62
35.8%
Win rate
48.3%
25.4%
Draw rate
17.2%
38.8%
Loss rate
34.5%
79.1%
Over 1.5 rate
91.4%
62.7%
Over 2.5 rate
72.4%
37.3%
Over 3.5 rate
58.6%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.58
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
33
1.44
PPG
1.42
38.2%
Win rate
42.4%
29.4%
Draw rate
15.2%
32.4%
Loss rate
42.4%
79.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.9%
61.8%
Over 2.5 rate
69.7%
38.2%
Over 3.5 rate
57.6%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.37
34
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.42
Goals for per game
2.34
80.6%
Scoring rate
86.2%
58.2%
BTTS rate
69.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.06
76.5%
Scoring rate
84.8%
52.9%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
67
History Matches
58
1.42
Goals Mean
2.34
1.05
Goals Std
1.84
80.6%
Scored 1+ rate
86.2%
41.8%
Scored 2+ rate
62.1%
14.9%
Scored 3+ rate
34.5%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
2.06
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.61
Goals against per game
1.66
71.6%
Conceding rate
81.0%
1.56
Goals against per game
1.88
70.6%
Conceding rate
78.8%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
67
History Matches
58
1.61
Conceded Mean
1.66
1.52
Conceded Std
1.36
47.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.8%
22.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.1%
1.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
19.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
28.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
19.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
28.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
58
0.99
Result entropy
0.93
1.93
Goal Difference Std
2.58
1.41
Stability score
6.99
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
65
Eligible Matches
56
19
Lead Matches
23
73.7%
Lead Win Rate
91.3%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.93
20
Trailing Matches
14
25.0%
Non-loss rate
7.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
65
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
1.04
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.36
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.74
Rest days
78.68
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
43
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.21
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.69
21
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.49
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
0.50
0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.75
5
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.70
Portability PPG Std
0.66
1.89
Portability PPG Range
1.43
41.76
Portability Score
43.09
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-34.59
PPG-0.29
GF-0.93
GA-0.04
PPG1.25
PPG0.02
PPG1.00
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate9.4%
Failed-to-score rate5.6%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate8.2%
Failed-to-score rate8.4%
History Matches9
Goals Mean-0.93
Goals Std-0.79
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.20
Scored 3+ rate-0.20
Venue Goals Mean-0.56
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches9
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std0.16
Clean-sheet rate9.4%
Conceded 2+ rate2.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.32
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.21
History Matches9
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.66
Stability score-5.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.08
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.18
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate17.9%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean-0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.04
Portability PPG Range0.46
Portability Score-1.33
Rest days-1.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches14
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.48
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Current Team ELO-34.59
Current Opponent ELO34.59
Current ELO Difference-69.17
Expected score-0.10
History Matches9
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-1.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.47

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slovácko II

W
Uherský Brod1–2Slovácko II31 Oct · away
Pick: Uherský Brod 42% · missed
L
Slovácko II1–2Uničov25 Oct · home
Pick: Slovácko II 44% · missed
L
Frýdek-Místek2–1Slovácko II17 Oct · away
Pick: Frýdek-Místek 49% · hit
D
Slovácko II1–1Zlín II30 Aug · home
Pick: Slovácko II 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Havířov

L
Havířov0–1Hodonín1 Nov · home
Pick: Hodonín 47% · hit
L
Vrchovina2–0Havířov24 Oct · away
Pick: Vrchovina 55% · hit
W
Havířov3–1Polanka nad Odrou18 Oct · home
Pick: Polanka nad Odrou 42% · missed
L
Havířov1–3Zbrojovka Brno II30 Aug · home
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno II 45% · hit
W
Zabreh0–4Havířov26 Aug · away
Pick: Zabreh 48% · missed

About this match

Slovácko II and Havířov meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Na Belince, Kunovice - UH. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Slovácko II win 55.3%, draw 19.2%, Havířov win 25.5%. The pick is Slovácko II win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.8%. Both teams to score: 61.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.