ScoreProb
K League 2 South Korea Round 32 2026

Suwon Bluewings vs Yongin City

Suwon Bluewings Home · Elo 1,584
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Yongin City Away · Elo 1,461
Suwon World Cup Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Suwon Bluewings win
Suwon Bluewings winPick
61.2%
Draw
22.1%
Yongin City win
16.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.2%
No46.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%

How much we know

Suwon Bluewings history66 matches
Yongin City history23 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 20 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 05:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.2%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Suwon Bluewings are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Suwon Bluewings are rated 123 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,584 against 1,461. On rating alone Suwon Bluewings would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Suwon Bluewings score more

    1.68 goals a game over 66 matches for Suwon Bluewings, against 1.17 over 23 for Yongin City.

  • Suwon Bluewings concede fewer

    Suwon Bluewings concede 1.15 a game, Yongin City 1.52.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    53% of Suwon Bluewings matches, against 57% for Yongin City. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Suwon Bluewings
Yongin City
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1583.8
ELO
1461.0
66
ELO · Matches
23
1583.8
Current Team ELO
1461.0
1461.0
Current Opponent ELO
1583.8
122.9
Current ELO Difference
-122.9
0.67
Expected score
0.33
66
History Matches
23
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.08
54.67
Overperformance
45.71
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.00
1.50
Goals for per game
1.10
0.90
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
66
Matches
23
1.82
PPG
0.96
51.5%
Win rate
17.4%
27.3%
Draw rate
43.5%
21.2%
Loss rate
39.1%
75.8%
Over 1.5 rate
82.6%
53.0%
Over 2.5 rate
56.5%
36.4%
Over 3.5 rate
34.8%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.34
Venue performance10 signals
100
33
Matches
11
1.88
PPG
1.00
51.5%
Win rate
18.2%
33.3%
Draw rate
45.5%
15.2%
Loss rate
36.4%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
51.5%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
36.4%
Over 3.5 rate
36.4%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
33
History Matches
11
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.68
Goals for per game
1.17
83.3%
Scoring rate
73.9%
60.6%
BTTS rate
65.2%
1.70
Goals for per game
1.18
78.8%
Scoring rate
81.8%
54.5%
BTTS rate
72.7%
1.45
Goals for per game
1.24
81.8%
Scoring rate
76.2%
45.5%
BTTS rate
66.7%
66
History Matches
23
1.68
Goals Mean
1.17
1.23
Goals Std
0.96
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
73.9%
48.5%
Scored 2+ rate
34.8%
25.8%
Scored 3+ rate
4.3%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.15
Goals against per game
1.52
71.2%
Conceding rate
82.6%
0.94
Goals against per game
1.55
63.6%
Conceding rate
81.8%
0.86
Goals against per game
1.48
50.0%
Conceding rate
81.0%
66
History Matches
23
1.15
Conceded Mean
1.52
0.96
Conceded Std
0.93
34.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.5%
7.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.0%
0.94
Venue Conceded Mean
1.55
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
66
History Matches
23
0.93
Result entropy
0.94
1.47
Goal Difference Std
1.34
6.70
Stability score
5.93
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
23
22
Lead Matches
3
81.8%
Lead Win Rate
33.3%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.56
18
Trailing Matches
7
61.1%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
22.2%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
23
0.67
First Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
1.02
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.77
Rest days
76.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
43
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.86
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.75
21
Long Rest History Matches
6
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
22
Matches
21
2.00
PPG
1.05
59.1%
Win rate
19.0%
22.7%
Draw rate
47.6%
18.2%
Loss rate
33.3%
54.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
38.1%
1.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.34
22
Current Competition Matches
21
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.05
0.59
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.24
5
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.08
Portability PPG Std
—
0.15
Portability PPG Range
—
86.67
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
66
Clean History Matches
23
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO122.9
PPG0.86
GF0.51
GA-0.37
PPG0.95
PPG0.88
PPG1.20
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches43
Clean-sheet rate11.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches22
Clean-sheet rate18.2%
Failed-to-score rate3.0%
History Matches43
Goals Mean0.51
Goals Std0.27
Scored 1+ rate9.4%
Scored 2+ rate13.7%
Scored 3+ rate21.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.32
History Matches43
Conceded Mean-0.37
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate11.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.61
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.09
History Matches43
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.13
Stability score0.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.34
Eligible Matches43
Lead Matches19
Lead Win Rate48.5%
Lead Points Retention0.29
Trailing Matches11
Non-loss rate46.8%
Trailing Win Rate22.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches43
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.28
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.95
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.83
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches27
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.11
Long Rest History Matches15
Long Rest Points Per Match0.12
Current Team ELO122.9
Current Opponent ELO-122.9
Current ELO Difference245.7
Expected score0.34
History Matches43
Residual Mean0.14
Overperformance8.97
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.16

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Suwon Bluewings

D
Daegu FC2–2Suwon Bluewings31 Oct · away
Pick: Daegu FC 40% · missed
W
Seongnam FC0–2Suwon Bluewings25 Oct · away
Pick: Suwon Bluewings 40% · hit
W
Suwon Bluewings3–2Hwaseong18 Oct · home
Pick: Suwon Bluewings 49% · hit
W
Gimpo Citizen1–4Suwon Bluewings29 Aug · away
Pick: Suwon Bluewings 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Yongin City

W
Yongin City4–2Seoul E-Land FC31 Oct · home
Pick: Seoul E-Land FC 44% · missed
W
Cheongju0–2Yongin City25 Oct · away
Pick: Cheongju 45% · missed
L
Yongin City0–4Ansan Greeners17 Oct · home
Pick: Yongin City 51% · missed
W
Gimhae City0–3Yongin City30 Aug · away
Pick: Gimhae City 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Suwon Bluewings and Yongin City meet in K League 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 05:00 UTC. The match is played at Suwon World Cup Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Suwon Bluewings win 61.2%, draw 22.1%, Yongin City win 16.7%. The pick is Suwon Bluewings win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.1%. Both teams to score: 53.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.