ScoreProb
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany Baden-Württemberg - 15 2026

Türkspor Neckarsulm vs Oberachern

Türkspor Neckarsulm Home · Elo 1,456
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Oberachern Away · Elo 1,560
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Oberachern win
Türkspor Neckarsulm win
19.3%
Draw
21.7%
Oberachern winPick
59.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.6%
No39.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.1%
Under 2.533.9%

How much we know

Türkspor Neckarsulm history37 matches
Oberachern history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (59.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Oberachern are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Oberachern are rated 103 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,560 against 1,456. On rating alone Oberachern would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Oberachern score more

    1.41 goals a game over 37 matches for Türkspor Neckarsulm, against 1.66 over 53 for Oberachern.

  • Oberachern concede fewer

    Türkspor Neckarsulm concede 1.92 a game, Oberachern 1.64.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Türkspor Neckarsulm matches, against 66% for Oberachern. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Türkspor Neckarsulm
Oberachern
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1456.2
ELO
1559.7
37
ELO · Matches
53
1456.2
Current Team ELO
1559.7
1559.7
Current Opponent ELO
1456.2
-103.5
Current ELO Difference
103.5
0.36
Expected score
0.64
37
History Matches
53
-0.07
Residual Mean
0.05
45.78
Overperformance
53.87
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.40
2.00
Goals for per game
3.00
1.60
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.90
1.90
Goals for per game
2.50
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.50
1.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.48
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
53
1.05
PPG
1.66
29.7%
Win rate
49.1%
16.2%
Draw rate
18.9%
54.1%
Loss rate
32.1%
75.7%
Over 1.5 rate
75.5%
62.2%
Over 2.5 rate
66.0%
48.6%
Over 3.5 rate
43.4%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
27
0.71
PPG
1.67
17.6%
Win rate
51.9%
17.6%
Draw rate
11.1%
64.7%
Loss rate
37.0%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
70.4%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
63.0%
52.9%
Over 3.5 rate
48.1%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
17
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.41
Goals for per game
1.66
70.3%
Scoring rate
84.9%
56.8%
BTTS rate
62.3%
1.29
Goals for per game
1.59
82.4%
Scoring rate
85.2%
64.7%
BTTS rate
63.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.33
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
37
History Matches
53
1.41
Goals Mean
1.66
1.32
Goals Std
1.08
70.3%
Scored 1+ rate
84.9%
37.8%
Scored 2+ rate
54.7%
21.6%
Scored 3+ rate
22.6%
1.29
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.92
Goals against per game
1.64
78.4%
Conceding rate
73.6%
2.24
Goals against per game
1.70
82.4%
Conceding rate
77.8%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
37
History Matches
53
1.92
Conceded Mean
1.64
1.58
Conceded Std
1.59
51.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.5%
35.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.4%
2.24
Venue Conceded Mean
1.70
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
21.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
29.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
21.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
29.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
21.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
53
0.90
Result entropy
0.94
2.04
Goal Difference Std
1.88
10.05
Stability score
6.36
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
53
8
Lead Matches
14
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.88
17
Trailing Matches
15
23.5%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
11.8%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.02
Rest days
78.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.33
22
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.18
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.82
12
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.05
Portability PPG Std
0.66
0.09
Portability PPG Range
1.41
91.67
Portability Score
43.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-103.5
PPG-0.61
GF-0.25
GA0.28
PPG-2.00
PPG-0.96
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate14.6%
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate2.8%
History Matches-16
Goals Mean-0.25
Goals Std0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.15
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.62
History Matches-16
Conceded Mean0.28
Conceded Std-0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate9.8%
Conceded 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.23
History Matches-16
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std0.16
Stability score3.70
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.81
Eligible Matches-16
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate-0.11
Lead Points Retention-0.09
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches-16
First Half Goals For Mean0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.20
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.67
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.62
Portability PPG Range-1.32
Portability Score48.67
Rest days-0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.67
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.64
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Current Team ELO-103.5
Current Opponent ELO103.5
Current ELO Difference-207.0
Expected score-0.29
History Matches-16
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance-8.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Türkspor Neckarsulm

L
Backnang4–2Türkspor Neckarsulm31 Oct · away
Pick: Backnang 69% · hit
L
Türkspor Neckarsulm2–4Normannia Gmünd25 Oct · home
Pick: Türkspor Neckarsulm 49% · missed
L
Reutlingen3–0Türkspor Neckarsulm17 Oct · away
Pick: Reutlingen 73% · hit
L
Türkspor Neckarsulm0–3Balingen30 Aug · home
Pick: Türkspor Neckarsulm 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Oberachern

D
Oberachern0–0Essingen31 Oct · home
Pick: Oberachern 50% · missed
W
Young Boys Reutlingen1–2Oberachern24 Oct · away
Pick: Oberachern 43% · hit
W
Oberachern4–1TSV Singen17 Oct · home
Pick: Oberachern 67% · hit
W
FC Nöttingen0–1Oberachern29 Aug · away
Pick: Oberachern 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Türkspor Neckarsulm and Oberachern meet in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Türkspor Neckarsulm win 19.3%, draw 21.7%, Oberachern win 59.0%. The pick is Oberachern win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.1%. Both teams to score: 60.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.