ScoreProb
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Germany NOFV-Nord - 11 2026

Union Klosterfelde vs Hertha Zehlendorf

Union Klosterfelde Home · Elo 1,545
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hertha Zehlendorf Away · Elo 1,360
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Union Klosterfelde win
Union Klosterfelde winPick
39.0%
Draw
24.4%
Hertha Zehlendorf win
36.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.7%
No37.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.1%
Under 2.528.9%

How much we know

Union Klosterfelde history36 matches
Hertha Zehlendorf history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.0%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Union Klosterfelde are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Union Klosterfelde are rated 185 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,545 against 1,360. On rating alone Union Klosterfelde would be expected to take 74% of the points on offer.

  • Union Klosterfelde score far more

    1.97 goals a game over 36 matches for Union Klosterfelde, against 1.19 over 57 for Hertha Zehlendorf.

  • Union Klosterfelde concede fewer

    Union Klosterfelde concede 1.64 a game, Hertha Zehlendorf 2.12.

  • Union Klosterfelde games more often go over 2.5 goals

    72% of Union Klosterfelde matches, against 58% for Hertha Zehlendorf. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Union Klosterfelde
Hertha Zehlendorf
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1545.2
ELO
1359.9
36
ELO · Matches
57
1545.2
Current Team ELO
1359.9
1359.9
Current Opponent ELO
1545.2
185.3
Current ELO Difference
-185.3
0.74
Expected score
0.26
36
History Matches
57
0.07
Residual Mean
-0.12
54.38
Overperformance
41.24
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.30
1.80
Goals for per game
1.10
1.80
Goals against per game
2.70
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.70
1.08
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
36
Matches
57
1.64
PPG
0.74
47.2%
Win rate
17.5%
22.2%
Draw rate
21.1%
30.6%
Loss rate
61.4%
94.4%
Over 1.5 rate
80.7%
72.2%
Over 2.5 rate
57.9%
52.8%
Over 3.5 rate
43.9%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
28
2.00
PPG
0.36
63.2%
Win rate
7.1%
10.5%
Draw rate
14.3%
26.3%
Loss rate
78.6%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
89.5%
Over 2.5 rate
53.6%
63.2%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
19
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.97
Goals for per game
1.19
83.3%
Scoring rate
66.7%
72.2%
BTTS rate
57.9%
2.32
Goals for per game
0.89
100.0%
Scoring rate
64.3%
89.5%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
36
History Matches
57
1.97
Goals Mean
1.19
1.46
Goals Std
1.18
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
55.6%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
36.1%
Scored 3+ rate
12.3%
2.32
Venue Goals Mean
0.89
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.64
Goals against per game
2.12
86.1%
Conceding rate
87.7%
1.63
Goals against per game
2.39
89.5%
Conceding rate
89.3%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
36
History Matches
57
1.64
Conceded Mean
2.12
1.18
Conceded Std
1.53
47.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.1%
19.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.1%
1.63
Venue Conceded Mean
2.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.3%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
10.5%
Clean-sheet rate
10.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.3%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
10.5%
Clean-sheet rate
10.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
36
History Matches
57
0.96
Result entropy
0.85
2.17
Goal Difference Std
1.94
4.35
Stability score
15.09
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
36
Eligible Matches
55
9
Lead Matches
11
88.9%
Lead Win Rate
45.5%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.52
12
Trailing Matches
24
41.7%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
1.11
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.86
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.02
Rest days
84.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
15
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.80
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.83
19
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.77
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
3
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.24
Portability PPG Std
0.43
0.49
Portability PPG Range
0.99
67.13
Portability Score
53.85
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
36
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO185.3
PPG0.90
GF0.78
GA-0.48
PPG0.50
PPG1.64
PPG0.80
PPG1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-21
Clean-sheet rate1.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate-0.36
History Matches-21
Goals Mean0.78
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate16.7%
Scored 2+ rate22.2%
Scored 3+ rate23.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.42
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.38
History Matches-21
Conceded Mean-0.48
Conceded Std-0.35
Clean-sheet rate1.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.09
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-0.76
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.48
History Matches-21
Result entropy0.11
Goal Difference Std0.24
Stability score-10.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches-19
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate43.4%
Lead Points Retention0.41
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate29.2%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-19
First Half Goals For Mean0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.34
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.18
Portability PPG Range-0.50
Portability Score13.28
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-15
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.97
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.75
Current Team ELO185.3
Current Opponent ELO-185.3
Current ELO Difference370.7
Expected score0.49
History Matches-21
Residual Mean0.19
Overperformance13.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.27

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Union Klosterfelde

D
Union Klosterfelde1–1Mecklenburg Schwerin1 Nov · home
Pick: Union Klosterfelde 58% · missed
D
Neustrelitz0–0Union Klosterfelde25 Oct · away
Pick: Neustrelitz 50% · missed
L
Union Klosterfelde1–3Eintracht Mahlsdorf16 Oct · home
Pick: Union Klosterfelde 46% · missed
L
Siedenbollentin3–0Union Klosterfelde29 Aug · away
Pick: Siedenbollentin 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hertha Zehlendorf

W
Hertha Zehlendorf3–0Neustrelitz30 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha Zehlendorf 48% · hit
L
Eintracht Mahlsdorf2–1Hertha Zehlendorf24 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Mahlsdorf 40% · hit
W
Hertha Zehlendorf3–0BAK '0718 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha Zehlendorf 41% · hit
L
Lichtenberg2–0Hertha Zehlendorf30 Aug · away
Pick: Lichtenberg 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Union Klosterfelde and Hertha Zehlendorf meet in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Union Klosterfelde win 39.0%, draw 24.4%, Hertha Zehlendorf win 36.5%. The pick is Union Klosterfelde win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.1%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.