ScoreProb
Ligue 1 Algeria Round 9 2026

US Biskra vs ASO Chlef

US Biskra Home · Elo 1,529
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
ASO Chlef Away · Elo 1,477
18 February Stadium, Biskra Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
US Biskra win
35.5%
DrawPick
37.8%
ASO Chlef win
26.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.0%
No55.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.4%
Under 2.564.6%

How much we know

US Biskra history42 matches
ASO Chlef history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • US Biskra are rated 53 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,529 against 1,477. On rating alone US Biskra would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • US Biskra score more

    0.98 goals a game over 42 matches for US Biskra, against 0.85 over 48 for ASO Chlef.

  • US Biskra concede fewer

    US Biskra concede 0.81 a game, ASO Chlef 1.02.

  • ASO Chlef games more often go over 2.5 goals

    19% of US Biskra matches, against 31% for ASO Chlef. The model puts this match at 35% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
US Biskra
ASO Chlef
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1529.4
ELO
1476.7
42
ELO · Matches
48
1529.4
Current Team ELO
1476.7
1476.7
Current Opponent ELO
1529.4
52.74
Current ELO Difference
-52.74
0.58
Expected score
0.42
42
History Matches
48
0.04
Residual Mean
-0.02
52.37
Overperformance
48.69
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
0.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.30
1.40
Goals for per game
0.90
0.90
Goals against per game
1.10
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.54
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.08
Overall performance9 signals
90
42
Matches
48
1.45
PPG
1.13
40.5%
Win rate
29.2%
23.8%
Draw rate
25.0%
35.7%
Loss rate
45.8%
61.9%
Over 1.5 rate
54.2%
19.0%
Over 2.5 rate
31.3%
2.4%
Over 3.5 rate
8.3%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.05
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
23
1.57
PPG
0.78
42.9%
Win rate
17.4%
28.6%
Draw rate
26.1%
28.6%
Loss rate
56.5%
61.9%
Over 1.5 rate
60.9%
23.8%
Over 2.5 rate
43.5%
4.8%
Over 3.5 rate
17.4%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.88
21
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.98
Goals for per game
0.85
59.5%
Scoring rate
66.7%
23.8%
BTTS rate
41.7%
1.24
Goals for per game
0.87
66.7%
Scoring rate
65.2%
33.3%
BTTS rate
52.2%
42
History Matches
48
0.98
Goals Mean
0.85
1.14
Goals Std
0.71
59.5%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
26.2%
Scored 2+ rate
18.8%
4.8%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.24
Venue Goals Mean
0.87
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.81
Goals against per game
1.02
54.8%
Conceding rate
66.7%
0.67
Goals against per game
1.35
57.1%
Conceding rate
82.6%
42
History Matches
48
0.81
Conceded Mean
1.02
0.88
Conceded Std
0.85
21.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
4.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.1%
0.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
40.5%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
40.5%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
42
History Matches
48
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.73
Goal Difference Std
1.05
2.10
Stability score
3.19
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
48
13
Lead Matches
10
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.87
9
Trailing Matches
19
11.1%
Non-loss rate
15.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.38
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
182.9
Rest days
155.8
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
21
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
20
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.73
Portability PPG Std
0.46
1.46
Portability PPG Range
1.07
40.60
Portability Score
51.92
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
42
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO52.74
PPG0.33
GF0.12
GA-0.21
PPG0.79
PPG1.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate11.9%
Failed-to-score rate7.1%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate25.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.12
Goals Std0.44
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate7.4%
Scored 3+ rate4.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.37
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std1.15
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean-0.21
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate11.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate2.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.68
Stability score-1.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.26
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate4.6%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.27
Portability PPG Range0.40
Portability Score-11.32
Rest days27.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.77
Current Team ELO52.74
Current Opponent ELO-52.74
Current ELO Difference105.5
Expected score0.15
History Matches-6
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.69
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

US Biskra

D
Témouchent1–1US Biskra2 Nov · away
Pick: Témouchent 51% · missed
L
US Biskra0–1MC Alger27 Oct · home
Pick: MC Alger 46% · hit
L
JS Kabylie4–1US Biskra18 Oct · away
Pick: JS Kabylie 53% · hit
L
US Biskra0–1MC Oran13 Oct · home
Pick: US Biskra 37% · missed
L
CS Constantine4–0US Biskra7 Oct · away
Pick: CS Constantine 47% · hit

ASO Chlef

L
ASO Chlef1–2ES Setif30 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
D
ASO Chlef1–1MB Rouisset24 Oct · home
Pick: ASO Chlef 38% · missed
D
Témouchent1–1ASO Chlef18 Oct · away
Pick: Témouchent 48% · missed
D
ASO Chlef1–1MC Alger13 Oct · home
Pick: MC Alger 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

US Biskra and ASO Chlef meet in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at 18 February Stadium, Biskra. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: US Biskra win 35.5%, draw 37.8%, ASO Chlef win 26.7%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 35.4%. Both teams to score: 45.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.